Archive for the ‘Agriculture’ Category

ROK’s planned food aid for DPRK tied up

Sunday, March 7th, 2010

According to Yonhap:

South Korea’s planned shipment of its first food aid to North Korea in years has hit a snag due to sourcing difficulties, an official said Saturday.

The South has been preparing to send 10,000 tons of corn to the impoverished neighbor since mid-January, right after Pyongyang accepted its aid offer made months earlier. The shipment would mark Seoul’s first food assistance to the North since President Lee Myung-bak took office in early 2008.

The government has since approved a 4 billion won (US$3.5 million) budget to fund the assistance and notified the North of a shipping route, based on a plan to buy corn in China and ship it directly to the North from there.

“Considering shipping costs, it would make the most sense to send Chinese corn” to the North, a government official said on customary condition of anonymity.

The official said, however, that the plan has faltered because of China’s “grain export quota,” which places restrictions on food exports in order to meet the country’s rising domestic demand.

The delay has raised concern that the planned aid may not be delivered by the time the North needs it the most — usually between March and May when food shortages in the country worsen — because it usually takes at least a month after the purchase is made for such to be delivered.

But the government official said that he believes the problem will be resolved soon, though he did not elaborate.

Read the full article here:
South Korea’s planned food aid for North Korea hits snag
Yonhap
3/6/2010

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DPRK holds national meeting of agricultural workers

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No. 10-3-4-1
3/4/2010

As the failure of North Korea’s currency reform drives the country’s food woes to even greater depths, DPRK authorities and farmers from around the country met on February 25 for two days of meetings under the theme, “Let’s Focus All Efforts on Farming and Resolve the Food Problem!”

It has been four years since North Korean authorities called for a nationwide meeting of agricultural workers, with the last meeting in February 2006. From 1974 to 1994, meetings were held annually in January or February, when farmers had a chance to rest between the fall harvest and the spring planting season. However, after the famine in 1995, in which millions starved to death, no meetings were held for twelve years.

This year’s New Year’s Joint Editorial called for North Koreans to revolutionize the light industrial and agricultural sectors in order to improve the lives of the people, and for them to struggle to resolve the country’s ‘eating issues’. However, in the aftermath of last December’s failed currency reform, the North’s food problems actually worsened to the point that people are starving to death. This led authorities to hold a nationwide agricultural meeting in order to show their determination to focus efforts on resolving food shortages and to encourage farmers and other residents to focus on agriculture.

According to the (North) Korean Central News Agency (KCNA), the meetings were attended by “[Cabinet Premier] Kim Young Il, [National Defense Commission Vice-Chairman] Ri Yong Mu, and [Supreme People’s Assembly Chairman] Choe Tae Bok, leading officials of ministries and national institutions, party and people”s committees and agricultural guidance organs in provinces, cities and counties, officials of farm primary organizations, model farmers, scientists and technicians in the field of agriculture and officials of relevant industrial establishments.”

Vice-Premier Kwak Pom Gi presented a report, stressing, “On the agricultural front this year, marking the 65th anniversary of the founding of the Party, we must decisively ease the country’s food issue, [and] the people’s eating issue, charging forward with the improvement of the lives of the people and the construction of a strong and prosperous nation.” He also called for assistance to agricultural communities and related sectors, and for the prioritization of agricultural goods and materials.

According to a source in North Korea reporting to the South Korean organization Good Friends, deaths due to starvation in South Hamgyong Province’s Danchon city and South Pyongan Province’s Pyongsong city were reported to central Party authorities. This led to meetings on January 27 and February 1 of central Party members, cabinet officials and People’s Security authorities at which emergency measures to stave off famine were discussed.

Results of a survey of living conditions in Danchon and North Hamgyong Province’s Chongjin reported to central Party authorities revealed many deaths due to starvation, while currently, the most deaths due to lack of food appear to be occurring in South Pyongan Province’s Sunchon and Pyongsong cities. Last year, Party authorities in these cities turned over approximately 65 percent of harvests to the military, while farmers were only issued, on average, five months worth of rations.

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Malaysian farmers adopt DPRK agriculture technology

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

According to Bernama (Malyasia):

Farmers in Pahang will soon be able to use North Korean technology to commercially grow paddy, after an alliance was formed between North Korea and Syarikat Sungai Duri Plantations Sdn Bhd.

Sungai Duri Plantations managing director Datuk Normala A. Kahar said the technology acquired from North Korea was used countries like China, Uganda, Angola and the Philippines successfully.

Normala said five experts from North Korea who would be involved in a project that covers an area of 263 hectares in Sungai Pelak, Pekan, would conduct a study and research to help soil enrichment and identify pest that can be a problem to the growth of paddy.

She added that an area of 60 hectares in Mambang, Pekan had already been planted with the MR219 type of seeds produced by Mardi and would be ready for harvest in May.

“The results have been very encouraging and we are optimistic that the project will be a success,” she told reporters after sealing an agreement with the North Korean government here on Thursday.

Normala said through the technology, farmers can reap up to seven tonnes of paddy per hectare a season.

Malaysia has an interesting relationship with the DPRK.  I have been told that Malaysia does not require entry visas for North Koreans.  If this is not true, please let me know.  There are also a couple of North Korean restaurants in Kuala Lumpur.  Finally, the Mansudae Overseas Projets Group built the Rice Museum (“Muzium Padi” located here) in northern Malaysia.

Pahang is here.

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DPRK reopens markets, authorizes food sales

Thursday, February 25th, 2010

Institute for Far Eastern Studies
NK Brief No. 10-2-24-1
2/24/00

Suffering from severe food shortages, North Korean authorities ordered that markets be opened unconditionally, and that there be absolutely no crack-down on the sale of foodstuffs within the markets. This is according to a report issued on February 18 by the North Korean human rights organization ‘Good Friends’.

Good Friends’ newsletter revealed, “After examining a report on food shortages and the conditions of residents in each region throughout the country by the Office of Economic Policy Review, the Central Committee of the Korean Workers’ Party issued an ‘Order for Absolutely No Regulation Regarding Foodstuffs’ to each law enforcement office.” The order stated that until central distribution is running smoothly, all markets are to be reopened as they were prior to recent government crack-downs, and that under no circumstances were authorities to try to regulate food sales.

Furthermore, it reported that “the People’s Security Bureau also received the Central Committee’s order, and passed on a special instruction to each regional security office ordering agents not to crack down on markets for anything other than illegal goods, and not to regulate food sales, in particular.” Local authorities were also ordered not to engage in altercations with market traders and not to intervene or interfere in fights between traders working within the markets.

According to Good Friends, “Central Party authorities set the price of one kilogram of rice at 24~25 Won, corn at 9 Won/Kg, and corn noodles at 10 Won in an attempt to stabilize the daily lives of people, but the lack of central distribution made the attempt meaningless.”

A North Korean public health official relayed to Good Friends that a report released by central authorities on January 22 stated that there were more than 47 thousand cases of tuberculosis in the North, but that more than half were unable to receive treatment in a hospital, and that “the rise in the number of deaths due to starvation among the most indigent was due to TB patients being unable to eat and subsequently dying after catching a cold or the flu.”

In mid-January, Kim Jong Il called a meeting of Party administrative director (and brother-in-law) Jang Sung-taek and other high-level authorities in order to ease the side-effects of last year’s currency reform. A North Korean source relayed to Daily NK on February 17 that at the meeting, it had been decided that authorities would issue emergency rations to residents facing the threat of starvation.

According to this order, the Office of Food Procurement has been tasked with distribution of the emergency food; neighborhood units receive 5 kg of food daily, while offices receive between 5~15 kg, depending on the number of employees. Neighborhood unit directors or factory supervisors are responsible for assessing the food needs of their neighbors or employees, and prioritize food distribution to those households at risk of starvation.

Until the end of January, currency reform measures that banned the sale of food and drove prices up drove a significant number of households to starvation. However, since the emergency rations measure began to be enforced on February 1, there have been no reports of large-scale famine.

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DPRK government delivering rice to high risk areas

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

Daily NK
Jung Kwon Ho
2/22/2010

In late January, Kim Jong Il held a meeting of his highest officials, including Jang Sung Taek, Director of the Ministry of Administration of the Party, aiming to find ways to alleviate the negative side effects of November’s currency redenomination. In the meeting, the group apparently agreed to release emergency supplies of rice to those on the brink of starvation.

According to a Daily NK source, “Following the meeting, which he chaired, Kim Jong Il handed down a handwritten decree to the chief secretaries of all provinces on January 20 in which it was stated, ‘Preventing anyone from starving to death is your obligation.’”

Chief Secretaries of Provincial Committees of the Party, the recipients of the decree, handed on the threat to their subordinates, warning provincial cadres, “You will resign if anyone starves to death, because this was a direct instruction from the General.”

In the decree, the three most vulnerable provinces were named as Yangkang, South Hamkyung, and Kangwon Provinces, so the officials governing those provinces are understandably nervous. They are the provinces where most casualties occurred during the March of Tribulation, and they remain the most food insecure.

Under the decree, the Ministry of Procurement and Food Policy makes daily deliveries of 5kg of relief rice to each people’s unit and 5-15kg to each factory and enterprise. Chairpersons of people’s units and managers of factories are required to observe the circumstances of the people under their control and provide those in the greatest danger of starvation with relief rice first.

In late January, quite a number of households were reportedly facing starvation due to the aftermath of the currency redenomination; notably sky high prices coupled to strict market regulations. However, there have been no reports of starvation since relief rice deliveries began on February 1.

Alongside the chairpersons of People’s Units, cadres working for local government offices are required to cross-check whether or not starvation is occurring. In theory, they are reprimanded if they do not report the situation truthfully.

Upon hearing the news, a defector in Seoul commented, “It seems that the people will not lie still and suffer that dire situation. Kim Jong Il may have done this because he senses a crisis situation this time.”

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Food shortage worsens in N. Korea

Wednesday, February 10th, 2010

According to Yonhap:

North Korea’s food shortage is expected to further worsen this year, as the communist state’s grain output in 2009 is believed to have fallen from the previous year, a government official in Seoul said Wednesday.

The North is estimated to have produced 4.1 million tons of grain last year, a drop of about 200,000 tons compared to 2008, the Unification Ministry official said on condition of anonymity.

Read the full article here:
Food shortage worsens in N. Korea: official
Yonhap
2/10/2010

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North Korea dictates new prices on February 4

Tuesday, February 9th, 2010

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No.10-02-09-1
2/9/2010

According to a report from the webzine Daily NK, authorities in the North posted notices at the entrances of all markets across the country in the afternoon of February 4, setting state-wide standard prices for 100 different goods. The prices went into effect the next day. The notice reportedly stated, “In the case of foods not being sold at state-set prices, the state will confiscate all goods.”

The list of 100 items for which prices were set includes rice and corn, indicating that the government is allowing the sale of food items in markets (some of the prices can be seen in the table below). It appears, however, that the state-set prices are causing disruptions in the markets due to the significant difference between Pyongyang’s pricing and the actual prices for which goods in the markets are being sold.

Currently, rice is selling for 350 won/Kg, more than 100 won more than state prices. Corn, costing 180 won/Kg, is trading at 50 won more than the government is demanding. In addition, cooking oil and pork are selling for 1,000 won, 300-400 won more than state-mandated prices. Sources in the North report that, while market traders put on the appearance of adhering to the state’s regulation, many continue to trade at prices dictated by the markets.

Most previous attempts by North Korean authorities to clamp down on markets have failed, making it unlikely that this attempt to mandate prices will have any real impact. Actually, authorities have mandated ‘market price caps’ and regulated prices since the North’s economic adjustment measures taken on July 1, 2002. The government has also banned the sale of grains and other food, but this has not helped the North reach its policy goals and, in fact, has done little but stimulate black market activities. Furthermore, one reason for the recent and significant rise in inflation is the lack of policy for improving the supply sector at a time when currency reforms led to a sudden jump in the purchasing power of farmers and laborers. This adds weight to the argument that these latest price controls will not be maintained with any consistency.

GOODS PRICE (DPRK Won)
Rice (kg)  240
Corn (kg)  130
Pork (kg)  700
Beans (kg)  160
Cooking Oil (bottle) 600
Toothbrush  25
Toothpaste  50
Soap  50
Laundry Detergent 25
Athletic Shoes 500
Toilet Paper 50
Workbook  25-55
Lighter  70
Dress Shoes 1,300
Flashlight  500
Battery  100
Children’s Clothes 1,500
Children’s Padded Clothing 5,000
Socks  350
Apples (kg) 250
Egg  21

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North Korea’s Failed Currency Reform

Sunday, February 7th, 2010

Marcus Noland wrote an op-ed for the BBC which is posted on the Peterson Institute web page.  There are some differences in the two (the BBC piece is shorter), so you can read whichever you prefer.  Below, however, I have posted the graphs from the Peterson Institute web page with some commentary:

noland-rice-corn-2008.JPG

This chart indicates the market for rice was surprisingly efficient before the currency conversion.  Over a two year window, the observed price seems remarkably stable (although the scale of the graph makes it hard to see the the actual level of price volatility).  Still, it seems fair to say that North Korean rice producers, vendors, and smugglers are quick to spot and eliminate regional price differentials through arbitrage. The supply of rice must also be highly highly elastic.  If the North Korean economy was experiencing inflationary pressures in this time, productivity gains and competition would have to have kept the nominal price essentially flat and caused the real price of rice to fall!

The price of corn is somewhat more volatile and I would be interested in hearing theories as to why this is. 

noland-dollar-2008.JPG

This chart is surprising as well. We see a highly stable US Dollar/DPRK won black market exchange rate (though again, the scale of the graph makes it difficult to determine just how stable).  Although the DPRK has not published its monetary policy goals (as far as I am aware), I think it is fair to say that the North Koreans practice exchange rate targeting. Most likely the target is not the US dollar, but the Chinese yuan–which trades at a nearly constant level with the US dollar.  Since China is the DPRK’s largest trading partner, it would make sense that the authorities would aim for exchange rate stability.  This would suggest, however, that the DPRK’s monetary authorities are well aware of the black market value of their currency and have the tools to  affect the exchange rate (i.e. lots of RMB reserves to sell on the black market).  I am not sure how plausible this is, but I am not sure how else we can explain this level of exchange rate stability.

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Kim Jong-il admits being ‘heartbroken’ over North Korean diet

Monday, February 1st, 2010

According to the Telegraph:

Rodong Sinmun, the official newspaper of the ruling Communist Party, said Kim’s immediate ambition is to end his people’s dependence on corn for subsistence and to feed them rice and wheat products instead.

“I’m the most heartbroken by the fact that our people are still living on corn,” he was quoted as saying. “What I must do now is to feed them white rice, bread and noodles generously.”

The paper did not disclose when or where Kim’s remarks were made or how he intended to improve the diet of North Koreans, who have for years suffered food shortages and even starvation.

Kim also urged North Koreans to keep a vow made to his father, the late president Kim Il-Sung, to build a nation whose people do not even eat corn.

Last month Kim described “white rice and meat soups” as a long-cherished dream for North Koreans while admitting to failing to deliver an acceptable standard of living for the communist nation’s people.

North Korea has suffered severe food shortages since a famine in the 1990s killed hundreds of thousands people. At the time it was reported that parts of the population had resorted to eating grass.

A shock currency revaluation on Nov 30 reportedly played havoc on distribution networks, aggravating food shortages and sparking inflation.

Read the full article below:
Kim Jong-il admits being ‘heartbroken’ over diet of North Koreans
Telegraph
2/1/2010

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Food prices continue to increase

Sunday, January 10th, 2010

According to an AFP report that cites Good Friends:

Good Friends, citing its own contacts in the reclusive North, said prices for rice and corn doubled last week at markets in the capital Pyongyang and in the eastern port city of Chongjin.

Rice prices ranged from 120-150 won per kilogramme (2.2 pounds) in Pyongyang and 110 to 140 won in Chongjin last week — up from 40 to 50 won reported on December 30, the group said.

Corn also traded higher at 70-75 won last week — up from 20-25 won on December 30 in the areas, it added. Seoul’s unification ministry, handling cross-border issues, could not confirm the data.

The official exchange rate is 135 won to the dollar but the black market rate is between 2,000 and 3,000 won.

The report came as the World Food Programme struggles to raise relief funds for the food shortage-hit North.

Major donors — including South Korea and the United States — refuse to help in protest at its second nuclear test in May last year.

Statistics available at the WFP website display it raised 89.8 million dollars as of late last month, around only 18 percent of its target of 492 million dollars in relief funds for the communist North.

Read the full article here:
Food prices soaring in N. Korea: group
AFP
1/10/10

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