North Korean Economy Watch

Korea Times
10/9/007

Most impoverished North Koreans do not have access to food aid sent by South Korea due to corruption and lack of proper monitoring, a human rights group said Tuesday.

“Many North Korean defectors have said they heard about a considerable amount of food aid from South Korea, but they have not received any of it,” said Kay Seok, a researcher for the United States-based non-governmental organization Human Rights Watch, citing North Koreans who recently defected from one of the world’s poorest countries.

The remark comes amid accusations by critics here that hundreds of thousands of tons of South Korean rice aid may be funneled each year to the North Korean military and elite groups.

The Roh Moo-hyun administration, which has engaged the communist North despite Pyongyang’s detonation of a nuclear bomb in October last year, has often been criticized for failing to ensure that the food aid is distributed to those in need.

In an interview with Washington-based Radio Free Asia, Seok said the food aid is sold for profit in the North, stressing that South Korea needs to demand proper monitoring to ensure that the aid reaches the intended recipients.

One of the reasons that South Korean food aid does not reach poor North Korean people is that the food is given to privileged people or sold for profit by them, she explained.

“At the moment the food aid arrives at the port, merchants flocked about and buy it with U.S. dollars,” she said.

“In the course of the shipment to the final destination, shippers, stationmasters and high-ranking officials take the food either for themselves or for sale. Even sentinels take it,” according to defectors who witnessed it, she said.

South Korea has been providing North Korea with food aid since the mid-1990s. It resumed shipping aid to North Korea in June after a hiatus of more than one year as the North began taking steps toward nuclear disarmament. The promised aid, which consists of 400,000 tons of rice, will be delivered over the coming months.

Korea Times
Andrei Lankov
10/7/2007

The Chinese-Korean border is easy to cross, and it is clear that numbers of the defectors are kept small only by security measures undertaken by the North Korean side. However, the story of the region is essentially the story of the cross-border movement. Technically, the narrow Tumen and relatively broad Yalu divide the territories of two different countries. However, both banks of the Tumen are inhabited by the Koreans, and for large part of the last century neither state was either willing or able to control the border completely. It has been porous for decades, and in a sense it remains porous nowadays. The cross-border migration, legal or otherwise, has never stopped completely.

It might sound strange now, but until the late 1970s North Korea was seen by the Chinese as a land of relative prosperity, so the refugee flow moved from China to Korea. In the 1960s many ethnic Koreans fled the famine and the madness of the “cultural revolution,” looking for a refuge in Kim’s country. There, at least, people were certain to receive 700 grams of corn every day. Many of those early refugees eventually moved back, but only a handful were persecuted by the Chinese authorities. In most cases the returned migrants just resumed the work at the factories and people’s communes where they had worked before their escape. This movement was large, it involved few ten thousand people at least, and many of those people were saved by their sojourn in North Korea.

This episode, not widely known outside the area, is still well remembered by the Chinese. Many of my interlocutors explained their willingness to help the North Korean refugees in the following way: “When life was harsh here, they helped us. Now it is our turn.”

The Chinese border protection system has always been quite lax, but from the 1970s North Korean authorities have tried to the keep border tightly controlled. However, all their efforts could not prevent a massive exodus of the North Koreans, which began around 1995.

In those years North Korea was struck by a disastrous famine which led to massive deaths. The number of its victims has been estimated at between 250,000 and 3,000,000 with 600-900,000 being probably the most reliable figure so far. The northern parts of the country, adjacent to the border, were the hardest hit.

So it comes as no surprise that many North Koreans illegally moved across the border to find work and refuge in China. Around 1999 when the famine reached its height the number of such people reached an estimated 200-300,000.

This movement was not authorized, but from around 1996 Pyongyang authorities ceased to apply harsh penalties to the border-crossers. Until that time, an attempted escape to China would land you a prison for years. From the late 1990s, an escape to China was treated as a minor offence. It is even possible that the North Korean authorities deliberately turned a blind eye on the defectors: after all, people who moved to China were not to be fed, and also, being most active and adventurous those people would probably become trouble-makers had they been forced to stay in North Korea.

A vast majority of those refugees stayed in the borderland area where one can survive without any command of Chinese (the ethnic Koreans form some 35% of the population, and Korean villages are common). The refugees took up odd jobs, becoming construction workers, farm hands, waitresses and cooks in small restaurants. The authorities hunted them down and deported them back to North Korea, but generally without much enthusiasm, since both low-level officials and population by and large was sympathetic to the refugees’ plight. The older Chinese know only too well what it means to suffer from famine.

Most of the refugees were women, some of whom married the local farmers – usually those who would not find a wife otherwise. In most cases it means that they were paired with drunkards, drug addicts or gamblers, but in some cases their partners were merely dirt-poor farmers. These marriages were not usually recognized by Chinese law since these women, technically speaking, did not exist. In some cases, they saved enough money to bribe the officials and had a Chinese citizen ID issued. If this happened, a refugee woman changed her identity, becoming a Chinese national.

Nowadays, the refugees’ number has shrunk considerably, even though old figures are often uncritically cited by the world media. Nowadays, people in the know believed that between 30-50,000 North Koreans are hiding in China.

Why did their numbers go down recently? There are few reasons for that. To start with, a remarkable improvement of the domestic situation in North Korea played a role, but most people with whom I talked to in China in July agreed that the major reason for this change is the revival of the North Korean border security in recent few years. Until 2004 or so, North Korean authorities usually turned a blind eye to mass exodus of their people to China. Now their position has changed. They understand that the border serves as a major conduit for unauthorized information about the outside world, and now this information is becoming dangerous. They also believe that the famine is over, so people can be fed if they stay in North Korea. So, it seems that the era of large-scale illegal migration is over. Nonetheless, history of the region indicates that this movement is unlikely to ever be stopped completely.

Version 5: Download it here (on Google Earth) 

This map covers North Korea’s agriculture, aviation, cultural locations, manufacturing facilities, railroad, energy infrastructure, politics, sports venues, military establishments, religious facilities, leisure destinations, and national parks. It is continually expanding and undergoing revisions. This is the fifth version.

Additions to the latest version of “North Korea Uncovered” include updates to new Google Earth overlays of Sinchon, UNESCO sites, Railroads, canals, and the DMZ, in addition to Kim Jong Suk college of eduation (Hyesan), a huge expansion of the electricity grid (with a little help from Martyn Williams) plus a few more parks, antiaircraft sites, dams, mines, canals, etc.

Disclaimer: I cannot vouch for the authenticity of many locations since I have not seen or been to them, but great efforts have been made to check for authenticity. These efforts include pouring over books, maps, conducting interviews, and keeping up with other peoples’ discoveries. In many cases, I have posted sources, though not for all. This is a thorough compilation of lots of material, but I will leave it up to the reader to make up their own minds as to what they see. I cannot catch everything and I welcome contributions.

I hope this map will increase interest in North Korea. There is still plenty more to learn, and I look forward to receiving your additions to this project.

Until recently, I was only aware of two recordings of Kim Jong il’s voice.  The first was his proclamation, “Long live the Korean People’s Army,” to a crowded Kim il Sung square.  The second recording was made by kidnapped South Korean film director Shin Sang-ok.  

This week, we got a third from the inter-Korean summit.  Click here to see it on Youtube. 

Joong Ang Daily
Kim Soe-jung
10/5/2007

President Roh Moo-hyun’s two-night, three-day visit to North Korea concluded with a friendly luncheon with North Korean leader Kim Jong-il followed later by enthusiastic cheering on the streets.

After signing a declaration at 1 p.m. yesterday, Roh and Kim dined together for about two hours at Paekhwawon State Guest House, clinking glasses, sipping wine and having a friendly conversation.

“President Kim Dae-jung also sat on this seat,” Kim said to Roh, sitting next to him at a round table.

“There have been reports that I have diabetes or heart problems but that’s not true at all,” Kim said.

“There have been reports about even my slightest movements. I think they are novelists, not journalists,” he said, drawing laughter from the audience. “But it does not feel bad to be widely covered.”

Roh and Kim said goodbye to each other about 3:15 p.m. at the front door of the guest house. “This is it,” said Kim. “Take care,” the two leaders said to each other.

Roh left the guest house where he stayed during the visit after leaving a message in the guestbook reading, “Thank you for the warm welcome. I appreciate it.”

Before the luncheon, Roh and First Lady Kwon Yang-sook visited an auto plant in Nampo city, about a 50-minute drive from Pyongyang. The plant produces about 1,000 vehicles per year, with 216 employees.

Roh and Kwon got in a sedan called “Junma,” manufactured with auto parts from South Korea’s Ssangyong Motors, and started the car. But the car did not move. Hyundai Motor Group Chairman Chung Mong-koo helped the president, but the car still did not move.

After the 20-minute visit to the plant, Roh went to a memorial tower to commemorate Seohaegapmun, a seawall built in 1986.

He wrote, “North Korean people are great,” at the guestbook there.

After the luncheon, Roh attended a ceremony to plant a pine tree he had brought from the South at a botanical garden in Pyongyang.

Kim Yong-nam, the nominal head of the communist country, and Roh scattered soil from Mount Halla in the South and Mount Paektu in the North around the root of the tree. They watered it with water from lakes in both mountains.

Roh left Pyongyang amidst cheering from the city residents carrying pink azalea bouquets.

On his way home, Roh visited the Kaesong Industrial Complex for the first time as the country’s president.

He arrived back in Seoul after 9 p.m. last night.

Joong Ang Daily
Ser Myo-ja and Kim Han-byul
10/5/2007

Thank you for flying, we’ll be landing in North Korea soon.

That announcement could be heard on a regular basis as the inter-Korean summit agreement laid out the groundwork for the first regular air route between North and South Korea.

Passengers will be allowed to fly from Seoul to an airport on Mount Paektu, on the North Korea-China border, according to the deal.

President Roh Moo-hyun and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il said the new air route is intended to boost inter-Korean tourism to the mountain. In 2005, Kim promised such a program to Hyundai Asan Chairwoman Hyun Jeong-eun during her visit. With cooperation from the Korea National Tourism Organization, Hyundai Group’s North Korea business arm began preparing for it, although nothing substantial now exists.

Standing 2,744 meters (9,002 feet), Mount Paektu has been worshiped by Koreans throughout history as the place of their ancestral origin, according to the foundation legend.

“The air route will be the starting point for new aviation cooperation between the two Koreas,” said Ahn Byung-min, a North Korea expert at the Korea Transport Institute. “The runway of Samjiyon Airport in the mountain has been repaired a bit, but other facilities, including the terminal, need more work.”

Since Kim’s promise to Hyun, the South has provided material to repair the military airport, located 1,300 meters above sea level.

Hyundai Asan welcomed the agreement yesterday, saying it has already researched various tour packages and promotional strategies. The company said it will consult with the government to expedite the beginning of the tour.

Tourism industry sources said tourists take no trips in the winter. So if everything somehow came together and the airport was fully upgraded, the earliest the trip could be offered is next spring.

Yun Chi-sul, owner of the travel agency Mount Paektu.com, said, “May is still wintertime on Mount Paektu. Some trips have been canceled even in early June.” He has sold tour packages to the North Korean mountain since 1998 by using routes from China.

South Korea’s two major airlines, Korean Air and Asiana, also welcomed the news, expecting increased demand. About 100,000 South Koreans visit the mountain via China each year by using air and car routes to the mountain. Direct air travel is expected to cut the travel time to about an hour.

The Ministry of Construction and Transportation said more detailed agreements need to be worked out between the two Koreas for the flights to actually be operated. Whether the North will allow a plane to fly above its inland areas or force it to detour above the Yellow Sea is still unclear.

Roh and Kim also agreed yesterday to send inter-Korean cheer teams to the 2008 Beijing Olympics via the Gyeongui Line, which links Seoul and Shinuiju in the North. It will be the first non-ceremonial use of the restored inter-Korean railroad, the leaders said.

“We will have to wait and see how far the railroad can be used for the travel,” said Ahn, of the Korea Transport Institute. “The North probably will feel a burden in allowing a civilian train from Seoul to run through the entire country.” The train trip from Seoul to Beijing will be 1,614 kilometers (1,002 miles).

The 518.5-kilometer-long Gyeongui Line, completed in 1906, was severed during the Korean War. The two Koreas agreed to restore the railroad in 2000 at the ministerial talks, and the South has spent 545.4 billion won ($588.7 million) for railroad construction, including 180.9 billion won worth of material and equipment sent to the North. After several setbacks, the two Koreas tested the restored railroad on May 17 of this year.

Joong Ang Daily
10/5/2007
Moon Gwang-lip

A raft of economic deals, including easing restrictions for South Korean companies hoping to invest on the western part of North Korea, new rail lines and more effective cooperation between the two countries filled yesterday’s agreement.

President Roh Moo-hyun and his North Korean counterpart Kim Jong-il agreed to accelerate the expansion of the Kaesong Industrial Complex in the North Korean border city.

Some economists and businesspeople in the South hailed the accord as a possible initial step toward developing the entire western section of North Korea.

Lim Soo-ho, a researcher at Samsung Economic Research Institute, said the agreement will provide a driving force for the two Koreas to produce “substantial” economic exchanges.

“The agreement to upgrade the dialogue channel for economic cooperation shows the North’s willingness to push forward with wider inter-Korean economic exchanges,” Lim said.

In the joint declaration made yesterday on the final day of Roh’s three-day visit to Pyongyang, the two Koreas agreed to upgrade the Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation Promotion Committee, the discussion channel between the two nations, from a vice minister-level group to a minister-level group.

Lim said the North’s willingness to make deals “has already been shown by its agreement to improve the ‘three-tong.’ ”

Three-tong refers to the poor conditions of passage (tonghaeng in Korean), communication (tongsin) and customs clearance procedures (tonggwan), which have been singled out as the biggest hurdles for the North in attracting outside investment into the Kaesong Complex, where more than 20 South Korean firms employ about 15,000 North Korean workers.

In the agreement, the two leaders agreed to “promptly complete various institutional measures” to tackle those areas.”

Currently, entry to the Kaesong Industrial Complex is only granted several days after it is requested. Cell phones and the Internet are not available in the area due to a lack of facilities. It also takes considerable time to clear customs.

In other accords, the two Koreas agreed on development projects in west coast areas of the North, including the establishment of cooperative complexes for shipbuilding in Anbyon and Nampo.

In addition, they agreed to create a “special peace and cooperation zone in the West Sea” encompassing Haeju. Civilian ships from North and South Korea will be allowed to pass through the Northern Limit Line, the de facto sea border between the two countries.

It was also agreed that freight rail services would be opened between Munsan and Bongdong.

“The agreements may be seen as the North preparing to develop its whole west coast region as an extension of the Kaesong Complex,” Lim said. “That is a positive sign for businesses interested in investing in the North.”

Business groups in the South welcomed the agreements, calling them substantial.

“I believe the inter-Korean summit this time will relieve businesses, at home and abroad, of concerns over uncertainty regarding investment in North Korea and encourage them to extend their investment in inter-Korean economic cooperation,” Yoon Man-joon, CEO of Hyundai Asan, which has exclusive rights to South Korean tourism to the North, was quoted as saying by Yonhap.

In a visit to Kaesong Industrial Complex last night, Roh said he won’t take political advantage of the new economic opportunities.

“The Kaesong Industrial Complex is a place where the two Koreas will become one and share in a joint success, not to make the other party more reformed and accessible,” Roh said. “We will work hard to make workers more comfortable working here. I wouldn’t call it reform or openness.”

He said reform and openness is considered good in the South.

The government said it is still too early to hazard a guess about the cost of putting the new plans into action.

“We cannot figure out yet how much money is needed to implement the new agreement,” said an official of the Ministry of Budget and Planning, who refused to be identified. “But we guess a lot of money is not needed for next year, as it is just a preparation period.”

Still, the government has earmarked 1.3 trillion won ($1.4 billion) for next year’s inter-Korean economic cooperation projects.  Of that, 900 billion won has been set for use by the government, with 430 billion won available to businesses involved in implementing the new agreement.

Joong Ang Daily
Ser Myo-ja and Chung Ki-hwan
10/5/2007
The Northern Limit Line remains in place, but vessels from both North and South Korea will be allowed to cross the “special peace and cooperation zone” in the Yellow Sea, according to yesterday’s agreement.

The deal for a joint fishing zone along the maritime border between the two Koreas angered South Korean fisherman and conservatives.

“We oppose the plan,” said Kim Jae-sik, a 46-year-old fisherman representing Yeonpyeong Island in the Yellow Sea near the border. “We will lose our fishing sources when large ships from the two Koreas flock to the area.”

The joint fishing zone is intended to avoid accidental military clashes, the two leaders said. The top defense officials from the two countries will meet in Pyongyang next month to discuss military measures, including safety guarantees inside the zone.

The inter-Korean deal also agreed to open a direct maritime route in the Yellow Sea to allow travel by Korean civilian vessels. The North’s Haeju Harbor will open for that purpose. The deal did not mention the limit line.

South Korean conservatives said they are concerned that the South has yielded to the North’s longtime challenge to the de facto maritime border.

Grand National Party Chairman Kang Jae-sup said, “I am concerned that the plan for establishing a joint fishing zone and the peace waters is a shortcut to incapacitating the Northern Limit Line.”

The Korea Veterans Association also issued a statement in opposition. “The North has initiated two sea battles so far to disable the line,” the association said. “Without a national consensus, no agreement should be made at the defense ministers’ talks next month regarding NLL.”

North Korea has never agreed to the limit line, which was established by a a United Nations commander in 1953. In 1999, the two Koreas’ navies clashed in a battle after the North crossed the line. Another sea skirmish took place in 2002 with the loss of six South Korean soldiers.

Experts also expressed concern that the military border was pushed aside in the name of economic cooperation. “Building the peace zone in the Yellow Sea and allowing the North’s civilian vessels to directly travel in the western waters on the Haeju route have provided an opening for the North to nullify the Northern Limit Line,” said Yoo Ho-yeol, a North Korean studies professor at Korea University.

Ahn Byung-min, a North Korea expert at the Korea Transport Institute, pointed to the economic gains for the direct sea route. “Inter-Korean maritime shipments have had to detour until now, but the direct route will save a lot of time and logistics costs,” Ahn said. “In terms of the economy, it is a very constructive agreement.”

Fishermen at the northern-most Baeknyong Island worried their movements will still be restricted while North Koreans freely come down to catch fish. “Since the 1970s, the North Koreans frequently violated the border and operated in the southern area,” said Choi Jong-nam, a Baeknyong fisherman. “What if things do not change for us?”

Yonhap
10/5/2007

South Korean electronics giant Samsung Electronics Co. will consider investing in North Korea if the communist country provides better infrastructure and business-related regulations as promised in an agreement reached during the just-ended inter-Korean summit talks, the company’s top executive said Friday.

“We will review investment opportunities in the North if Pyongyang provides systems and regulations needed for safe business operation there, and guarantees improvement in the passage of civilians, customs clearance and communications as promised, along with a stable supply of electricity and water,” Yun Jong Yong, head of Samsung Electronics, said in a statement issued after returning from Pyongyang.

Yun and other business leaders accompanied President Roh Moo-hyun for the second-ever inter-Korean summit talks.

As they wrapped up the three-day summit, President Roh and his North Korean counterpart, Kim Jong-il, on Thursday agreed to a number of inter-Korean business projects, including accelerating the expansion of an industrial complex in the North’s border city of Kaesong, where more than 20 South Korean small- and medium-sized enterprises run facilities.

They also agreed upon improving related regulations for the passage of civilians, customs clearance and communications, which many businessmen have cited as challenges hindering operation in the North.

Yun said the leaders of the two Koreas had more “tangible” negotiations — especially on inter-Korean economic cooperation — than then South Korean President Kim Dae-jung had with the North Korean leader at the previous meeting held seven years ago.

Since the 1990s, Samsung Electronics has been engaged in business in the North, including software development projects, but has made little large-scale investment in the communist country.

Yonhap
10/5/2007

Leaders of the two Koreas discussed issues relating to oil field development and exploration at the latest summit in Pyongyang, South Korea’s top economic policymaker said Friday.

“The oil development issue was discussed at the summit, and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il expressed keen interest in the South’s oil field and gas exploration projects,” Finance Minister Kwon O-kyu said in a press briefing.

“South Korea also discussed the development of resources in North Korea, including oil fields.”

Kwon said the oil development issue may continue to be discussed at talks of the proposed Joint Committee for Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation, a committee to be formed through upgrading the status of the existing Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation Promotion Committee in an effort to accelerate bilateral economic cooperation.

Kwon played down concerns about potential financial burdens on the government from proposed inter-Korean business projects.

At the three-day summit, ended Thursday, the two Koreas agreed on a range of cross-border business projects, including creation of a special economic zone at the North’s western port city of Haeju, development of an existing port of Haeju, and expansion of an industrial complex in the North Korean border town of Kaesong.

The two also agreed to jointly repair and maintain the North’s dilapidated expressway linking Kaesong and Pyongyang, as well as the North’s railway between Kaesong and Sinuiju on the North’s western Chinese border.

The two countries also decided to construct an inter-Korean joint shipbuilding complex in Nampo, near Pyongyang.

South Korea will be able to finance the development of Haeju port through a proposed 2 trillion won (US$2.2 billion) overseas port development fund, which will be created by the nation’s port authority, Kwon said.

In a related note, Maritime Minister Kang Moo-hyun said in a meeting with reporters that about 220 billion won will be spent for the development of the port which will have eight berths, including two container berths.

The government will also able to attract international cooperation for repairing the railways since it is part of a wider international railway project of Trans-Siberian Railway, he said.

South Korean shipyards, which hold a combined 45 percent share of the global market, by investing in the envisioned shipbuilding complex will be able to maintain their competitiveness through access to North Korea’s cheap labor, Kwon said.

In case of the summit’s impact on domestic financial markets, Kwon declined to make concrete predictions, but said rising expectations of improving profitability and competitiveness by domestic businesses might be able to boost investor spirits.