Archive for the ‘China’ Category

Lankov on the rise of China and Korean unification

Monday, May 23rd, 2011

Andrei Lankov recently wrote a paper on the rise of China and the implications for Korean unification for a Korean-language publication.

You can download a PDF of the paper in English here.

Abstract
The rise of China can be seen as the single most important strategic problem which Korea faces currently. In the late 1970s, China entered a phase of high-speed economic growth, which still seems to be almost unstoppable. According to World Bank estimates, the average annual increase in China’s GDP in the years 2000-2009 was 9.7%. This is the world’s highest growth rate. Perhaps for the first time in modern history, the country which has the highest growth rate is the country with the largest population.

The future of Korea depends on its ability to find how to handle the Chinese challenge. It is going to be difficult, but there are hopeful signs, too: Chinese political elite may be remarkably realist, even Machiavellian, in their outlook but also rational and averse to adventurism. This gives Korea some hope that compromises with China will be possible. Without such compromises no unification of Korea will be possible in a new world where China is bound to be a major player.

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KJI’s no 8. trip to China

Monday, May 23rd, 2011

UPDATE 7 (2011-5-30): According to the Choson Ilbo, the Hwanggumpyong Island groundbreaking ceremony was cancelled without any announcement.

UPDATE 6 (2011-5-27): According to the Irrawaddy, KJI’s delegation visit to Beijing overlapped with a Myanmar delegation.  Maybe the two met?

UPDATE 5 (2011-5-25): According the Choson Ilbo, Kim Jong-il’s security in China is facing an all new challenge: Yoku!

UPDATE 4 (2011-5-25): According to Yonhap and the Choson Ilbo, Kim Jong-il’s consort, Kim Ok, is traveling with him.

UPDATE 3 (2011-5-25): KJI is now in Beijing for talks with PRC President Hu Jintao (Yonhap).  According to a colleague, Xinhua claims KJI also met with Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew in Beijing.

UPDATE 2 (2011-5-24): China confirms that Kim Jong-il is in the PRC (Nanjing on Tuesday).  China usually waits until KJI has returned to the DPRK before announcing his visits.  See the Wall Street Journal: China Real Time, Yonhap, AFP.

UPDATE 1 (2011-5-23): More coverage is coming out on KJI’s trip to the PRC:

1. Aidan Foster-Carter writes about Kim Jong-il’s previous trips to China in 38 North.

2. China claims Kim’s trip is focused on economic issues (WSJ):  “China invited North Korean dictator Kim Jong Il, who began his seventh trip there on Friday, to learn more about its economic development, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao told South Korean President Lee Myung-bak Sunday.”

3. PRC-DPRK trade up significantly in the last year (Bloomberg): “North Korea’s trade with China jumped 30 percent last year even after the United Nations stepped up sanctions following its second nuclear test in May 2009, according to China’s commerce ministry.”

4. Yonhap reports that Kim Jong-il will possibly attend a groundbreaking ceremony for development of the Hwanggumpyong Island (see more here) .  This ceremony is supposedly scheduled for May 28th.

5. The Hankyoreh has an update of KJI’s travel itinerary as of today.

ORIGINAL POST (2011-5-20): This morning there were dozens of conflicting stories about whether Kim Jong-il and/or Kim jong-un had traveled to China.  Right now, the emerging view seems to be that Kim Jong-il is definitely in China and Kim Jong-un is possibly (probably not) in China.

So let’s back up a couple of days.  Kim Jong-il was just reported to have given on the spot guidance visits to the Ryongjon (룡전과수농장) and Toksong  (덕성과수농장) Fruit Farms on May 18th.  The Ryongjon Fruit Farm is located in Pukchon County (북청군, 40.172649°, 128.338476°) and the Toksong Fruit Farm is located in neighboring Toksong County (덕성군, 40.325806°, 128.262423°).  Those are the coordinates of the farms themselves if you want to check them out on Google Earth.

These farms lie on railway lines that indicate KJI was traveling north to cross into China at either Manpho (만포시) or Namyang, Onsong County (남양로동지구, 온성군).

So was Kim Jong-un traveling with Kim Jong-il?  Maybe, but I don’t think so…

KCNA reports from Kim’s guidance tours:

[Kim Jong-il] was accompanied by Kim Ki Nam and Choe Thae Bok, members of the Political Bureau and secretaries of the C.C., WPK, Thae Jong Su, alternate member of the Political Bureau and secretary of the C.C., WPK, and Kwak Pom Gi, chief secretary of the South Hamgyong Provincial Committee of the WPK.

Now I know that Kim Jong-un has reportedly accompanied his father on guidance trips without being listed as part of the official entourage and that he could have been omitted from official coverage precisely to hide his presence on the train to China.  In these situations I generally look to occam’s razor for the answer, and the razor says “no”.  Now I will just wait to be proven wrong.

The Wall Street Journal has more.

Here is coverage of the trip in the Washington Post.

Here is a headline (but no story) from Yonhap.

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China Exim Bank delegation visited DPRK in April

Monday, May 9th, 2011

According to the Donga Ilbo:

Members of the credit rating agency under the Export-Import Bank of China are known to have visited North Korea around the “Day of the Sun” on April 15, otherwise known as the birthday of the Stalinist country`s founder Kim Il Sung.

A source in Beijing said, “Around 10 people from the Export-Import Bank of China made a 10-day trip to North Korea ahead of the Day of the Sun. They not only visited Pyongyang but also other cities.”

The agency provides sovereign credit ratings for countries around the world. Critics say the members visited the North to seek further economic cooperation, adding their trip holds more meaning than attending the holiday event because they also visited other cities.

Another source in Beijing said, “The Chinese government is mulling financial benefits including no-interest loans to Chinese companies investing in the [North’s] city of Rason.”

Beijing seems to be preparing to invest in the Hunchun-Rason area near the Tumen River and Dandong-Sinuiju’s Hwanggeumpyong region near the Yalu River, where Pyongyang-Beijing economic cooperation is vital.

Read the full story here:
China`s Exim Bank delegation visited N. Korea last month
Donga Ilbo
2011-5-9

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100,000 Chinese visit Sinuiju in past year

Friday, May 6th, 2011

According to Yonhap:

The number of Chinese visitors to North Korea’s border town of Sinuiju has reached 100,000 over the past year after Beijing lifted a four-year ban on Chinese group tours from the Chinese border city of Dandong, a news report said Friday.

Dandong, which borders Sinuiju, is a major trade route between North Korea and China.

The Chinese government resumed the group tours to Sinuiju from Dandong in April last year, a Dandong newspaper said, adding the number of Chinese tourists to Sinuiju is likely to go up in the coming months.

The one-day group tour program allows the Chinese to visit Sinuiju without visas.

China is the North’s last remaining ally and benefactor.

Read the full story here:
Chinese visitors to N. Korean border city top 100,000 in one year
Yonhap
2011-5-6

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Recent articles on Rason’s future

Wednesday, May 4th, 2011

According to the Hankyoreh:

China is stepping out into the Pacific through the gates of North Korea’s Rason Special District. North Korea, which has been declaring its aim of creating a “strong and prosperous nation by 2012,” is actively welcoming the move from China.

A number of sources, including officials with the Jilin Province government in China, reported that a groundbreaking ceremony is to be held on May 30 for a highway linking the North Korea cities of Wonjong and Rason, bordering directly on Quanhe in Hunchun, Jilin Province. A number of leaders from both countries are scheduled to attend the ceremony, which is to take place in Rason (Rajin-Sonbong), North Korea.

A Chinese official working on preparations for the project said in a recent interview with the Hankyoreh that the event would be “an occasion for declaring North Korea-China economic cooperation and North Korean openness to the world.” The official added that dozens of officials from the Chinese central government would be attending, including a number of leaders.

The construction effort is a signal announcing the opening of Rason and large-scale economic cooperation between North Korea and China. In addition to the groundbreaking ceremony for the highway, which is to be a major channel tying North Korea and China together economically, efforts to develop China’s Rajin Harbor and transport large amounts of coal through it are beginning in earnest.

The Rason development effort is taking place according to China’s “blueprints” in everything from the planning to investment and management. Local sources said that China and North Korea have already formed a special joint steering committee for the district, and that it has been decided that the chairman will be from China.

The Rason urban development plan jointly drafted by China and North Korea includes the development of international freight brokerage, export processing, and financial regions. According to a North Korean video, models for the plan include Dalian and Tianjin, which Kim Jong-il inspected in 2010 during a visit to China.

An official with the Yanji city government said, “North Korea is also aware that keeping its doors closed will only lead to death, but it is concerned that the regime will be destabilized if it opens up all at once, so it plans to first open up Rajin and develop it as a ‘test region.’”

“They are adopting the Chinese model, learning from China about legislation, taxes, and benefits to lure businesses,” the official added.

The effort is being pursued promptly, in contrast with previous North Korea-China economic efforts, which tended to amount to little more than words. The reason for this is that the central governments in Beijing and Pyonyang are directly taking care of economic cooperation through the medium of Rason’s development.

A Chinese government official reported that Chinese Minister of Commerce Chen Deming traveled to North Korea to sign a memorandum of understanding, and that China and North agreed on a plan for joint investment in and administration of Rason’s highway, port, and industrial park construction. The official added the Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao personally signed policy documents upgrading Hunchun to a special economic district in line with the Rason development plans.

Meanwhile, North Korea formed an office in its central government to directly administer Rason Special City, replaced old officials who failed to make progress with Rason’s development over the years, and sent in young officials from the central government, including Rason Special City secretary Im Kyong-man, sources reported.

China needs the Rason development to ensure the success of its current national development plan for Changchun, Jilin, and the Tumen River basin, while North Korea decided to cooperate with China to address its economic problems and stabilize its succession framework. Analysts say North Korea hopes to tout successful development of Rason as an achievement of Kim Jong-un.

The development project is proceeding in a very specific and far-reaching way. “This is Korean land, but the industrial complex is being operated as Chinese and will hire North Korea workers to earn foreign currency” for North Korea, said an official with a Chinese company in charge of a large-scale construction effort in Rason.

The electricity shortage issue, which had previously been a major stumbling block to investment, has been resolved by China. A source in Hunchun said, “Plans are being examined to either send surplus power from Hunchun’s thermoelectric power plants to Rason, or for a company in Jilin Province to retrofit an old Soviet crude oil plant in the Sonbong region into a coal-burning power plant.”

Even Chinese officials have been astonished at the active measures from Pyongyang. A Rajin representatives’ office opened in downtown Yanji, the seat of the Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, is hard at work drawing in investment.

“If Chinese investors want to take a look at Rason, they can drive their cars in for themselves with an invitation from the Rajin representatives,” explained a source in Yanbian.

In the border city of Hunchun, money and people have begun shifting toward the North Korean side. Construction of 500 apartments for Chinese people working in Rason began in late March, according to officials at a construction company commissioned to carry out the project. Capital and labor investment for the Hunchun-Rason highway construction is coming entirely from China, and a number of the roughly 500 Chinese workers needed to begin have already arrived in Rason with six-month passes issued by North Korea. Large Chinese corporations such as Changli, Shangdi Guanquan Investment, and FAW are known to be undertaking investment in Rason.

According to the Korea Herald:

Despite its reputation as one of the most closed nations in the world, North Korea is, at least partly, opening up to market economy conventions, evident in its effort to cultivate its specially designated economic zone.

North Korea designated Raseon the country’s first free trade zone, as a “special city” in January 2010. The city, which borders both China and Russia, was dubbed a free trade zone along with nearby Sonbong in 1991, even though foreign investment never materialized.

In recent years, the North has tried to reinvigorate the trade zone, signing an accord with Russia to restore railways that could help rejuvenate the port there. Russia invested 140 million euro ($202 million) in the Rason project in late 2008.

In recent months, North Korea appears to have initiated a media campaign for Rason, beckoning foreign investors as Pyongyang struggles to resuscitate its moribund economy, according to informed sources and media reports.

According to a source familiar with North Korean affairs, the city has seen both new factories built and upgrades of previous ones.

A couple of large Chinese companies have also reportedly signed deals on either providing construction parts or investments in the region’s resources development.

Chinese commerce officials from the central government and the nearby Jilin Province have also reportedly held talks with their Pyongyang, Rason counterparts regarding such business transactions.

The city is also becoming more urbanized, according to sources. Apartments and road construction repairs are sprouting, while the number of daily logistics traffic across the nearby North Korea-Chinese border has nearly doubled to some 200 trucks in late April, compared to some 100 trucks just three months ago.

The North Korean leader Kim Jong-il recently traveled to the city, a move that analysts see as underlining the regime’s desire to promote the trade city to lure foreign investment.

The KCNA reported on April 22 that Kim visited the city’s Rajin Shipyard where he was briefed on different processes of shipbuilding. There he highlighted the importance of the shipbuilding industry and urged for the introduction of new production technology.

It was the first time that the North’s tightly controlled media reported the name of the shipyard and Kim’s visit there. Known as one of three major shipyards in North Korea, the Rajin Shipyard is believed to have built warships and submarines, according to sources in Seoul.

Increasing media reports from North Korea on Rason also seems to back claims that the country is putting its weight behind the city.

On April 19, the KCNA filed a profile report on Rason’s tourism industry, touting its historic relics, cultural facilities and fantastic seascape “and introducing tourist hot spots in and near the city.

In an earlier, March 30 report, the KCNA said that the city has adopted “a preferential tariff system” for foreign investors and traders.

“Choe Kwang-nam, an official in charge of economic cooperation of the Rason City People’s Committee, told the KCNA that the zone provides favorable business conditions to foreign investors through the preferential tariff system,” it said.

“Foreign investors and businesses are allowed to conduct diverse economic and trade activities and have a free choice of investment forms and business,” it quoted Choe as saying.

Read the full stories here:

N.Korea’s Rason Special District could open country to China
Hankyoreh
Park Min-hee
2011-5-4

Investment, projects seemingly brim in N. Korea border city
Korea Herald
2011-5-4

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SPA designates Kumgang resort intl tourism center

Friday, April 29th, 2011

UPDATE: DPRK to Set Up Special International Tour Zone at Mount Kumgang
Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief (11-05-2)
2011-5-3

According to KCNA news agency, the Presidium of the DPRK Supreme People’s Assembly issued a decree on April 29 to set up a special zone for international tours at Mount Kumgang. It reported the special zone in Kangwon Province would include Kosong-eup and Onjong-ri of Kosong County; Samil-po, Hae-Kumgang, and Nae-Kumgang areas in Kumgang County, and Thongchon County.

The Central Tourist Guidance Agency expressed its intentions of increasing new tourist destinations depending on the progress made in the special zone. In addition, it also announced the annulment of October 2002 decree on the Kumgang Special Tourism Zone, which rescinded the exclusive rights of Hyundai Asan.

Previously on April 8, the DPRK’s Korean Asia-Pacific Peace Committee (KAPPC) informed Hyundai Asan that it would retract the monopoly rights of Hyundai. Instead, it expressed plans of entrusting the tours from the North through foreign businesses while Hyundai will continue to lead the tours from the South. The North announced the Mt. Kumgang tours will be renewed through appropriate national measures.

The KCNA explained, “The DPRK’s sovereignty will be exercised in the special tour zone.” Additionally, the DPRK is encouraging free investment in the special zone by corporations, individuals and other economic bodies and such investments are protected by law.

On the May issue of South Korean monthly magazine Minjog 21, the Committee of Investment and Joint Ventures of the DPRK and Kempinski Group was reported to have reached an agreement on its entrance into the Kumgang tourism project. The magazine also reported the Kempinski Group’s plans of modernizing the Wonsan Airport, development of Wonsan City into a resort town, and building roads connecting Wonsan with Kumgang.

Kempinski Hotels is a luxury hotel group known for its five-star hotels and resorts and recently expanded into Asia with current projects underway with India and China. Kempinski is majority owned by the Crown Property Bureau of Thailand and the royal family in Bahrain. Once the Kempinski Hotel is completed in Wonsan, it is expected to become an international resort town linked with Mt. Kumgang Special Zone.

The Mt. Kumgang tours from the North are expected to be managed by the Kempinski Hotels while the tours from the South will be still managed from Hyundai. An interview on April 13 by Ri Jong Hyok, vice-chairman of the KAPPC commented, “The buildings and facilities built by Hyundai will come to ruins if left at its current unoccupied stage. This is the reason why we are attempting to restart the tours, but only until the South decides to resume the tours.”

The Committee of Investment and Joint Ventures was upgraded from Joint Venture and Investment Guidance Bureau last July, becoming a central state organization in charge of all projects related to investments and joint ventures from overseas.

ORIGINAL POST: According to Yonhap:

North Korea’s rubber-stamp parliament said Friday that it will set up a special zone for international tours of the country’s troubled mountain resort in an apparent move to induce foreign investment.

The North “will encourage free investment in the development of the special zone by corporate bodies, individuals and other economic bodies and will protect by law the invested capital and properties and income and other profits to be gained through business,” the North’s Supreme People’s Assembly said in a decree carried by the country’s official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

The legislature said North Korea’s sovereignty will be exercised over the zone that includes several areas on Mount Kumgang, a scenic resort on the country’s east coast.

It also said the agency in charge of tourism will take relevant measures to increase new tourist destinations, depending on the progress in the special zone development. No details were provided.

Lee Jong-joo, a spokeswoman for South Korea’s Unification Ministry handling inter-Korean affairs, said the North’s move appears to be aimed at attracting foreign capital to develop the resort.

A spokesman for Hyundai Asan, a key South Korean tour operator in the mountain resort, said his company had no immediate comment on the North’s announcement. He asked not to be identified as he was not authorized to speak to media.

The decree came weeks after Pyongyang terminated exclusive tourism rights for Hyundai Asan, citing skepticism over the resumption of the joint venture.

The two Koreas launched the joint tour program in 1998 as part of moves to boost cross-border reconciliation and cooperation, providing a legitimate source of hard currency to the cash-strapped North.

However, Seoul suspended the tour program in 2008 when a female South Korean tourist was shot dead after straying into an off-limits military zone near the resort.

Pyongyang claims it has done everything to shed light on the shooting and guarantee the safety of future tourists, but Seoul says it has yet to receive a formal apology for the shooting or government-to-government promises to enhance safety.

Here is the KCNA statement:

Pyongyang, April 29 (KCNA) — A special zone for international tour of Mt. Kumgang will be established in the DPRK.

A decree on this decision was issued by the Presidium of the DPRK Supreme People’s Assembly on Friday.

According to the decree, the special zone is to be set in the area of Mt. Kumgang in Kangwon Province and the zone will include the township and some areas of Onjong-ri in Kosong County, Lagoon Samil, Sea Kumgang area, Inner Kumgang area of Kumgang County and some areas of Thongchon County.

The DPRK sovereignty will be exercised over the zone.

The DPRK will encourage free investment in the development of the special zone by corporate bodies, individuals and other economic bodies and protect by law the invested capital and properties and income and other profits to be gained through business.

The Central Tourist Guidance Agency shall take relevant measures to increase new tourist destinations, depending on the progress made in the SZ development.

The decree of the SPA Presidium on “Setting Up Mt. Kumgang Tourist Zone in the DPRK” issued on Oct. 23, 2002 is no longer valid.

Aside: So there are two DPRK agencies that deal with tourism: KITC and the “Central Tourist Guidance Agency”?

Historical information:

The Kumgangsan resort was the scene of a terrible tragedy, the shooting of a South Korean tourist.  Allowing a joint-Korean investigation of the murder became a precondition by the South Korean government for resuming tourism to the resort.

On March 4th 2010, the DPRK first threatened to revoke contracts with the South Korean Hyundai-asan stating that a future guarantee of safety was sufficient for resuming tourism.

Later in th month, Hyundai-asan’s chief offered to resign.

In April 2010, the DPRK “seized” the Hyundai properties in the Kumgangsan resort.

Shortly afterwards, Chinese tourists began arriving at the resort (here and here).

The Donga Ilbo reported that the NDC took over the properties and put them in the Korea Taepung International Investment Group portfolio.  If the property was under Taepung control and has now been put under normal ministerial control, then this signals that Taepung’s sun might have set.

If possible, I would expect that Hyundai-asan will attempt to bring suit in South Korea against whichever company chooses to set up in the zone.

Read the full sotry here:
N. Korea to set up special int’l tour zone at Mount Kumgang
Yonhap
2011-4-29

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PRC claims to have helped build Pyongyang Metro

Thursday, April 28th, 2011

According to the Choson Ilbo:

China said that North Korea has been at the forefront of its international foreign aid efforts which it has been carrying out for the past 60 years.

Speaking at a press conference on Tuesday, China’s Vice Commerce Minister Fu Ziying spoke in detail for the first time about the aid his country has given to the North.

He said that China helped to build Pyongyang’s public infrastructure such as its subway system, but he emphasized that no cash aid has been given.

Beijing issued a white paper last week that outlines its foreign aid policy to Africa and Asia.

Read the full story here:
China Releases Details on Aid to N.Korea
Choson Ilbo
4/28/2011

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Chinese in DPRK, Koreans in PRC

Thursday, April 28th, 2011

According to Yonhap:

The number of North Koreans officially visiting China reached 28,600 in the first three months of the year, up 35 percent from the same period last year, a news report said Wednesday.

More than half of them visited China to work in either factories or restaurants, while 6,000 people visited China for conferences or businesses, the Voice of America reported, citing Chinese government data.

The VOA also said 700 North Koreans toured China for sightseeing, while fewer than 100 North Koreans visited China to meet relatives or friends and 7,300 visitors had other purposes. The report did not elaborate.

The data did not include information on North Koreans staying illegally in China after defecting, the VOA said.

Tens of thousands of North Korean defectors are believed to be hiding in China, a major land route through which many North Korean defectors travel to Thailand and other Southeast Asian countries before resettling in South Korea.

According ot the Choson Ilbo:

Chinese tourists will start visiting Russian and North Korean cities without visas on Wednesday under a formal agreement between Beijing and the two countries. The tour course starts in the Chinese border city of Hunchun in the lower reaches of the Duman (Tumen) River and goes on to eastern Russia and the Rajin-Sonbong special economic zone in North Korea.

A group of 21 tourists left Changchun, the capital of northeast China’s Jilin Province, on Tuesday for the Hunchun. Travelers will then visit Slavyanka, Vladivostok and Khasan, the official Xinhua news agency said. They then go to North Korea by train and tour the cities of the Duman River and the Rajin-Sonbong area.

The four-day tour starts every Wednesday and costs 2,300 yuan (approximately W390,000). Only Chinese travelers are eligible for the visa-free arrangement.

Read the full stories below:
Number of N. Korean visitors to China rises in first quarter
Yonhap
4/27/2011

Chinese Tourists Visit Russia, N.Korea Visa-Free
Choson Ilbo
4/28/2011

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DPRK weapons imports

Tuesday, April 12th, 2011

According to the Choson Ilbo:

North Korea imported weapons and weapons components worth US$475 million from foreign countries between 1999 and 2008, Grand National Party lawmaker Lee Cheol-woo said Friday.

According to data Lee obtained from the government, the North bought helicopters and tank engines worth $90 million and aircraft parts and radars worth $110 million from China, Russia and Slovakia.

It also engaged in military exchanges with Cuba, Libya, Syria, Congo, Angola, Tanzania, and Uganda on a total of 101 occasions, Lee added.

Read the full story here:
N.Korea Imported $475 Million Worth of Arms Since 1999
Choson Ilbo
4/11/2011

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Increase in DPRK’s mineral resources exports to China expected again for this year

Monday, February 28th, 2011

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
2/24/2011

The trade volume between North Korea and China has steadily increased, reaching its record high of USD 3.4 billion in 2010. Total exports amounted to 1.19 billion USD while imports doubled that figure to USD 2.22 billion. Imports have continued to grow, increasing by 2.4 times over the previous year.

Since the Cheonan incident and the implementation of May 24 sanctions, inter-Korean economic cooperation has come to a halt, naturally resulting in rise in exports to China. In particular, a significant growth in anthracites exports was observed. The monthly anthracites exports that averaged around USD 10 million surpassed USD 70 million mark last August and maintained USD 50 million monthly average between September to November. In addition, cost-per-ton of anthracite in March which was USD 52.2, jumped to USD 82.8 in November, a climb of 60 percent. This boost is attributed to its increased export.

The current supply of electric power consists mostly of hydroelectric power — reaching over 60 percent– but during the winter season most of the hydropower plants are unoperational due to frozen facilities from harsh winter weather. Anthracites were the alternative resource to fill this gap. Sacrificing power production and exporting great amount of anthracites despite severe winter is a strong indication of the poor foreign currency situation in North Korea.

In its New Year’s joint editorial, North Korea placed heavy emphasis on its anthracite export that took up 60 percent of its total exports. In the statement, four vanguard sectors of coal, electricity, metals, and railroads were highlighted as important industries as “rich underground resources that will help with securing funds and resolving raw material problems.” This is the first time in 13 years – that is, since the Arduous March — for coal to be mentioned first in the New Year’s message.

North Korea also began to lift export restraints of mineral resources like coal and silver from the latter half of last year and ordered to increase imports of rice and corns in place of minerals.

The reason food procurement is placed first at the expense of its mineral resources is believed to be associated with the implementation of the succession involving Kim Jong Un, and to keep North Korean people’s dissatisfaction under control and manage the domestic situation.

North had placed restraints on coal, gold, silver, lead, and zinc exports from 2007 through adopting export control of mineral resources.

In addition, North Korea and China will meet in Beijing to sign an agreement on joint development of underground resources. This agreement will include Musan Mine and rare-earth mines that POSCO (The Pohang Iron and Steel Company of South Korea) has shown interest in in the past for development. China’s moves in this sector are suspected as China’s attempt to monopolize the DPRK’s underground resources.

The DPRK’s Joint Venture and Investment Guidance Bureau and China’s Ministry of Commerce were expected to meet on February 15 to discuss agreements related to underground resources development. On the agenda was Musan Mine, abundant in gold and anthracite, and other mines rich in rare-earth elements. Other mines are also known to be specified in the agreement.

China is expected to bring private companies into the underground resources development project after reaching an agreement with the DPRK. According to our source, “both parties will establish a joint venture investment corporation in Hong Kong after signing the agreement.”

Construction of a highway connecting Heilong City of Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture to Nampyong and Chongjin of North Korea and railway system linking the cities of Heilong, Nampyong, and Musan are currently underway, expected to be in operation by end of this year. Jilin Province and Ministry of Railways of China began construction of this railway system from October 2010 investing CNY 1.19 billion, which runs a distance of 41.68 km. However, it is expected to extend further onto Chongjin and is considered to become the major transportation hub, integrating economic cooperation between the two countries.

Musan Iron Mine is known as the largest outdoor iron mine in Asia and Tonghua Iron and Steel Group along with three other Chinese corporations acquired 50-year development rights of Musan Iron Mine. They are bringing in about 120 tons of iron ore each year and more is expected to be brought in once the Heilong-Musan rail link is completed.

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