Archive for the ‘Trade Statistics’ Category

ROK government encouraging DPRK restaurant boycott

Monday, January 10th, 2011

According to the Choson Ilbo:

Siem Reap, Cambodia’s second largest city near the sprawling ruins of the Angkor Wat, has two North Korean restaurants, down from three since North Korea recalled all their expat staff after Kim Jong-il’s stroke in 2008 and returned only the employees of two of them. The restaurants rely on South Korean tourists for business since the town is a popular destination for them.

One of them, called Restaurant Pyongyang, sells the famous cold noodles or naengmyeon for US$7 a dish, while North Korean dancers perform and pour drinks for customers. It used to be a regular stopover for South Korean tourists, with tour agencies charging $30 for a visit and a meal. One tour guide said, “In Cambodia $7 a dish is already pretty expensive, but many tourists go to the restaurant because of its attractions.”

After North Korea’s sinking of the Navy corvette Cheonan in March last year, the South Korean Embassy in Cambodia asked tour agencies and South Korean residents’ association there to avoid sending visitors from the South there, but local sources say the plea fell largely on deaf ears. But the North’s artillery attack on Yeonpyong Island in November last year finally did the trick. The South Korean residents’ association in Siem Reap voluntarily boycotted the North Korean restaurants, and tour agencies also voluntarily took them off their itinerary.

The restaurants are apparently suffering. A member of the South Korean residents’ association said, “Almost all of the customers were South Korean tourists, but it seems that even the performances have stopped now there are no customers.”

Around 120,000 South Koreans a year reportedly visited the two restaurants, contributing to an estimated W200-300 million (US$1=W1,126) in monthly sales. North Korea runs over 100 restaurants in China, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos and Russia, which serve as a source of much-needed hard currency for the regime by sending home $100,000-300,000 a year.

The mood in Siem Reap is now desperate. Last month, a placard outside a South Korean restaurant criticizing North Korea’s attacks were torn down by seven people who appeared to be North Korean agents, in what expats there believe was another small-scale North Korean provocation. Tour agencies are also losing revenues after taking the restaurants off their itineraries. “We used to charge $30 per visit and took 30 percent of the profits, but not any more,” a tour guide said.

South Korean residents’ associations abroad rarely voluntarily boycott North Korean restaurants. The Okryugwan chain of North Korean restaurants in Beijing’s Wangjing district is still accessible to South Koreans. A South Korean Embassy official there said, “We asked residents to avoid the restaurant in November but did not force them.”

Meanwhile, a North Korean restaurant in Kathmandu, Nepal closed down in November after its North Korean manager defected to South Korea.

Read the full story below:
N.Korean Restaurants Abroad Feel the Pinch
Choson Ilbo
1/10/2011

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DPRK trade falls in 2009 – reliance on China remains high

Sunday, January 9th, 2011

According to Yonhap:

North Korea’s external trade fell in 2009 with its economic reliance on China staying significantly high, a report showed Sunday, underscoring the need for Pyongyang to diversify its industry structure and open its market for survival.

According to the report by the Korea Finance Corporation, North Korea’s total trade amounted to US$3.41 billion in the cited year, down 10.6 percent from a year earlier. The trade decrease was the largest since 1998.

Exports dropped 6 percent to $1.06 billion, while imports fell 12.5 percent to $2.35 billion over the same period, the report showed, bringing the North’s trade deficit to $1.29 billion.

With international sanctions in place for its nuclear ambitions and its reluctance to open up its economy, the North’s dependence on China stayed quite high at 80.4 percent in 2009, the report showed. Its trade deficit with Beijing totaled $1.1 billion.

The report said that the North should open its market and diversify its industry structure currently focused on producing weapons, while improving overall infrastructure such as power generation facilities, should it seek to revive its economy.

It also emphasized the need for resumption of inter-Korean trade and an increase in international aid for the North’s survival.

“For the North Korean economy to get back on track, inter-Korean trade has to be resumed and aid from the international community should also be expanded,” said an official of the state-run corporation.

South Korea’s economic relations with the North have remained frozen since Seoul cut almost all inter-Korean trade in May 2010 after it found Pyongyang was behind the deadly attack of its naval ship in March that killed 46 sailors.

The move led to a drop of around 30 percent in inter-Korean trade last year, according to the latest report by Seoul’s customs office. South Korea is one of the North’s major trade partners, although the two remain technically at war as their 1950-53 conflict ended in a truce, not a peace treaty.

If a reader can send me a link to the actual report, I would appreciate it.

The Los Angeles Times also covered the report.

Read the full story here:
N. Korea’s trade falls, reliance on China remains high in 2009
Yonhap
1/9/2011

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ROK goods saturate DPRK

Thursday, January 6th, 2011

According to the Hankyorey:

A report on major North Korean indicators released by Statistics Korea on Wednesday revealed that South Korean products are becoming increasingly popular in North Korea, and that there are hardly any North Korean urban youth who do not watch South Korean TV dramas or movies.

In the report, Statistics Korea said it is becoming a fad for young people in major North Korean cities like Pyongyang and along the border with China to watch South Korean television dramas and films using MP3 players or laptop computers. Statistics Korea said MP3 players with 1G of memory cost 60,000 North Korean Won (estimated $419), while a used laptop costs about 2 million North Korean Won. A memory chip with two or three movies costs 10,000 North Korean Won if it is an original, and 5,000 North Korean Won if its a copy.

The report also said many South Korean products are in circulation in North Korea, including blenders, portable heaters, gas ranges, butane cans, lunch trays, gas heaters, rice cookers, dishrags and gloves. According to the report, South Korean shampoo and conditioner is popular with the wives of high-ranking North Korean officials in Pyongyang. Some 470g bottles of South Korean shampoo and rinse go for 40-50 yuan (8,000-10,000 South Korean Won) in Pyongyang. The report said the popularity of South Korean products was also reflected in other goods. South Korean necklaces are sold for about $500 and earrings for about $70-80, while South Korean products like perfume, deodorant, car air fresheners, refrigerator deodorizer and bathroom air fresheners are also selling well.

South Korea’s nominal GNI in 2009 was $837.2 billion, 37.4 times that of North Korea’s $22.4 billion. North Korea’s economic power, all told, is no more than the level of the South Korean city of Gwangju (about 22 trillion Won). South Korea’s per capita income of $18,175 was 17.9 times that of North Korea’s $960. South Korea also conducted $686.6 billion in total trade, 201.9 times that of North Korea, which conducted only $3.4 billion. The only sectors in which North Korea topped South Korea were production of iron ore and coal and length of railroads. North Korea’s iron ore production was 4.955 million tons, ten times that of South Korea (455,000 tons), and its coal production was 25.5 million tons, 10 times that of South Korea (2.519 million tons). North Korea also had 5,242km of railroads, 1.4 times that of South Korea’s 3,378km. North Korea is also believed to have 7 quadrillion Won in underground mineral wealth.

I have been unable to locate the original on the Statistics Korea page.  If any readers can find it, please let me know.

Read the full story here:
In limited N.Korean market, furor for S.Korean products
Hankyoreh
Hwangbo Yon
1/6/2011

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Inter-Korean trade falls sharply amid heightened tensions

Wednesday, December 22nd, 2010

According to Yonhap:

Inter-Korean trade has fallen about 30 percent this year, largely affected by South Korea’s move to cut almost all business relations with North Korea after the North sank one of its naval ships in a torpedo attack in March, the customs office said Wednesday.

According to data provided by the Korea Customs Service (KCS), trade between the two Koreas amounted to US$464 million during the January-November period, down from $649 million recorded a year earlier.

In May, a multinational team of investigators released a report saying that North Korea torpedoed the South Korean warship Cheonan on March 26 near their disputed western maritime border, killing 46 sailors. The North has denied any involvement.

In response, the Seoul government suspended almost all business relations with Pyongyang on May 24 with the exception of the industrial complex in the border town of Kaesong, where South Korean firms are doing business in cooperation with workers from the North.

South Korea’s exports to the North came to $130 million during the cited period, down 28 percent a year earlier, while imports dropped 29 percent on-year to $334 million, the data showed.

Despite such a sharp shrinkage, trade through the Kaesong industrial complex, tallied in a separate statistic, remained robust. Trade amounted to $1.31 billion during the 11-month period, up 62 percent from a year earlier.

“There have been some disruptions due to heightened geopolitical tensions but the overall number of companies operating there increased compared with a year earlier, which resulted in a hike in production,” a KCS official said.

The official said that companies in the North Korean border town numbered 121 as of November this year, up from 93 a year earlier. An economic recovery in the South also helped boost production in factories there, the official said.

South Korea is the North’s second-largest trade partner after China. A suspension of inter-Korean business would significantly impact the reclusive communist nation’s efforts to secure cash, according to experts.

The two Koreas remain technically at war as their 1950-53 conflict ended in a truce, not a peace treaty.

Read the full story here:
Inter-Korean trade falls sharply amid heightened tensions
Yonhap
12/22/2010

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DPRK-PRC trade up 26.7 percent

Friday, December 3rd, 2010

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No.10-12-3-2
12/3/2010

North Korean trade with China has jumped 26.7 percent during the first eight months of the year, with the bulk of its imports made up of crude oil, and its largest export being coal. Despite the increasingly severe food shortages in the North, food imports from China were actually down 7.5 percent, while on the other hand, fertilizer imports shot up by 162 percent.

The Korea Trade-Investment Promotion Agency (KOTRA) looked into the Chinese government’s import and export figures and determined that North Korean exports to China during the first eight months of the year were worth 650,000 USD, 20.6% more than during the same period last year, while DPRK imported 1.345 billion USD-worth of goods (30% increase), for trade worth a total of 1.995 billion USD, 26.7 percent more than 2009.

“Mineral fuel and mineral oil” topped the list of North Korean imports (321,000 USD), with crude oil (229,000 USD) and oil (63,000 USD) making up 90.7 percent of imported goods. However, while crude imports were 53 percent more expensive, the amount of oil imported only rose by 2.3 percent; the sharp increase in expenditure was due to climbing international oil prices. The second- and third-largest imports were listed as “nuclear reactor, boiler, and machinery” (127,000 USD) and “electromagnetic machinery, sound and video equipment” (106,000 USD). Other imports included cars and car parts, steel and steel goods, plastic and plastic goods, artificial filament, fertilizer, and grain. A KOTRA official stated that while “nuclear reactor” was listed among the goods imported by the North, there is no way to verify the Chinese statistics.

North Korea’s grain import expenditures increased by five percent, to 34,000 USD, but overall grain imports fell 7.5 percent, to 102,000 tons, due to increased costs. More specifically, rice import expenditures were up 8.4 percent to 16.6 million USD, but the amount of rice imported fell by six percent, to 38,400 tons. Corn expenditures dropped by one percent to 16.3 million USD while the amount imported fell by ten percent, to 62,000 tons. The cost of barley imports grew 190 percent, to 353,000 USD, with the amount of barley brought into the country up 89 percent to 1,011 tons. 277,000 tons of fertilizer were imported, 162 percent more than last year, at a cost of 40 million USD, 85 percent more than 2009. Almost all of the fertilizer was nitrogenous.

North Korea’s exports to China were made up largely of mining and fisheries. Coal topped the list (191,000 USD), although the amount sent across the border was 31 percent less than last year. Iron ore was second, and was not only down by 34 percent, it brought in 134 percent less than 2009, as it was worth only 111 million USD. Textiles and accessories worth 81 million USD, steel worth 64 million USD, and mollusks worth 32 million USD were also sent to China.

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Dandong-DPRK trade and growth

Thursday, December 2nd, 2010

As the focal point of DPRK-PRC trade, Dandong has seen phenomenal growth in the last 5 years.

Here is just one area in southern Dandong:

 

Here is a separate area in northern Dandong where Yalu River high-rise development is underway:

 

And here is another island in the Yalu River:

  

Dandong has been the focus of increasing media attention over the last 10 years because it has economically benefitted from increased trade (and expected future trade) between the PRC and DPRK.  

Today it is probably the easiest place to collect “survey data” on the DPRK’s business environment. According to a recent article in the Associated Press (via San Francisco Examiner), the DPRK still has a long way to go before foreign investors will see a climate ripe for investment:

Just across the Yalu River from North Korea, this sleepy border town in China’s Rust Belt is booming.

Towering apartment blocks are going up on the city’s western edge near the new Friendship Road Bridge, which will soon be the second bridge connecting Dandong to the North Korean city of Sinuiju.

Offices for trade and export-import companies dot the main road along the riverfront. A new airport is being built. Shops sell North Korean liquor, blueberry wine, ginseng, stamps and music CDs. And North Korean restaurants offer popular Korean dishes such as stewed dog leg and spicy deep-fried dog.

Dandong – like other parts of northeastern China along the 870-mile border – aims to profit from China and North Korea’s growing cross-border trade, now close to $3 billion a year. At a time when the United States and its allies are looking to isolate the Pyongyang regime for its nuclear program and erratic behavior, including this week’s artillery attack on a South Korean island, this hardscrabble part of China is finding that being North Korea’s back door to the world can be a lucrative business.

China already provides an estimated 90 percent of North Korea’s energy needs and most of its food and weapons. And the most recent gauge of trade between the two countries, from 2008, showed an increase of more than 40 percent from the previous year, according to the Council on Foreign Relations.

But even as officials map out grand plans for more cooperation, merchants and small-scale traders say doing business with North Korea remains problematic at best.

The government is unpredictable, they say, and rules change without warning. They tell horror stories about Chinese traders who have lost millions of dollars in goods or equipment that is expropriated or stolen outright. Many now insist on cash-up-front transactions and mostly conduct business on the Chinese side of the border, where they say they have more protections.

Moreover, while North Korean leaders have visited this part of China and professed admiration for China’s economic boom, local Chinese traders and businessmen in close contact with North Koreans say they don’t expect the country to shift to a market economy anytime soon.

“I haven’t seen any sign the North Korean government wants to open up,” said Cui Weitao, 47, who has been trading fruit, clothing, plastic bowls and chopsticks to North Korea for the past decade. “If they really wanted, they could learn from China and Russia. If they wanted, they could let people go back and forth and trade freely. . . . If they opened the border, their whole country would benefit.”

His friend, Wang Tiansheng, 47, another small-scale trader, agreed. “The thought of economic reform has been there for years but never happens. Not while the father is alive,” he said, referring to the country’s leader, Kim Jong Il. “Maybe when the son takes office.”

China and North Korea have been close allies since Chinese troops crossed the Yalu River to help North Korea fight American and South Korean troops during the Korean War, which is referred to here as the “War to Resist U.S. Aggression and Aid Korea.”

Yet Chinese leaders themselves consider North Korea’s leader an often-troublesome ally because of his brinkmanship with the United States over his country’s nuclear capability and incidents such as this week’s artillery barrage of Yeonpyeong Island, which killed two South Korean marines and two civilians, and the sinking of a South Korean warship in March.

Chinese leaders are reported to be concerned about North Korea’s economic crisis, and they encouraged Kim to embrace market-based economic reforms when he visited China in May and August this year and met with Chinese President Hu Jintao, according to some Hong Kong and South Korean media reports of the visits.

In a bow to reforms, North Korea sent a dozen mayors and provincial chiefs to northeastern China in October to visit factories and chemical plants. Earlier this month, North Korean Premier Choe Yong Rim visited Harbin, in Heilongjiang province, to discuss joint economic projects.

North Korea agreed to lease two Yalu River islands to China to develop into “free trade zones.” Chinese high-tech companies were encouraged to signed agreements to hire North Korean computer experts. In September, after Kim’s second visit, China established a new 100,000-square-foot marketplace in Tumen – across from Namyang in North Korea – for North Koreans to come on one-day passes to sell or trade their goods.

But the Tumen market in many ways illustrates the difficulties of coaxing North Korea to open up. The vast market is now mostly empty because the North Korean government changed its mind about allowing its citizens to come to China to trade freely, Tumen residents said.

One of the few Chinese vendors in the market during a recent visit, who was selling North Korean crab, shrimp and frozen fish, said he lost a lot of money because his North Korean supplier increased prices without warning.

“It’s been really hard and risky to do business with North Korea, firstly because of the complicated procedures of going there,” the seafood vendor said, speaking on the condition of anonymity. He said Chinese traders need an invitation from a state-owned company and three stamps from three departments.

Once inside North Korea, he said, officials “are very greedy. They asked us for digital cameras or DVD players or even computers. We have to buy them dinner, and booze is a must for every time we meet.”

Even the new Friendship Road Bridge being constructed – to augment the existing single-lane bridge – has been difficult to negotiate. China agreed to foot the bill for building the bridge, more than $200 million. But then North Korea demanded China also build a five-star hotel and other infrastructure on the North Korean side, local businessmen said.

Economists said the experience of the local traders confirms their own research: that while North Korean officials publicly claim to want to pursue economic reform, and may speak of emulating China’s success, North Korea’s ruling elite remains deeply ambivalent about anything that might dilute its grip.

“The state has never been comfortable with the market,” said Marcus Noland, senior researcher with the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, who surveyed 300 Chinese companies operating in North Korea. “They see the market potentially as an alternative path to wealth and prestige, and perhaps political power.”

While trying to “deepen their economic integration with China” at the official level, Noland said, North Korean leaders at the same time take steps “to eradicate this kind of normal trading activity at the border” by denying visas and constantly changing the regulations.

“The Chinese do not trust the North Koreans at all,” Noland said.

According to a recent story in the Wall Street Journal, the second DPRK-PRC bridge in Dandong is still tentative:

Construction of the new bridge was originally slated to start in August. Zhao Liansheng, Dandong’s mayor, said in March that building would start in October, and be finished within three years.

“The new bridge is still waiting for the approval of central government,” said an official from the Dandong Transportation Department. “As far as I know, this project is not definite yet.”

I am not sure of the exact location of the new bridge.  If any readers are aware, please let me know.

Read the full stories here:
In Chinese Border Town, Trade With North Korea Can Be Lucrative but Problematic (Dandong, China).
Associated Press (via San Francisco Examiner)
Keith B. Richburg
11/26/2010

Border Bridge Reflects Dilemma
Wall Street Journal
Jeremy Page
11/28/2010

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Sen. Lugar releases CRS report on DPRK sanctions

Monday, October 25th, 2010

According to Senator Lugar’s web page:

On October 22, 2010, Senator Lugar, U.S. Senate Foreign Relations Committee Ranking Member, released a Congressional Research Service (CRS) report on implementation of sanctions for North Korea.

Following renewed interest in sanctions against North Korea in the wake of the sinking of South Korea’s Cheonan ship, which killed 46 individuals, Lugar asked the CRS to evaluate the implementation of the U.N. sanctions already in place.

You can read Sen. Lugar’s original request for the report here. (PDF)

The CRS report he received can be found here. (PDF)

I have added this report to my growing collection of DPRK-focused CRS reports found here.

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Inter-Korean trade up 51.3% in first half of 2010

Wednesday, October 6th, 2010

Institute for Far East Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No. 10-10-4-1
10/4/2010

Trade between the two Koreas in the first half of 2010 totaled 980 million USD, 51.3 percent more than the 650 million dollars-worth of trade last year. North Korea’s trade with China was also up, by 16.4 percent, to 1.28 billion USD. Kim Jong Il has made two trips to China and the North has taken other steps to boost cross-border trade with the Chinese.

According to a recent report comparing inter-Korean trade to that between North Korea and China, North-South trade in 2007 equaled 91 percent of Pyongyang’s trade with Beijing, but as inter-Korean relations chilled, that number fell to 65 percent in 2008. This year, that number climbed back up to 77 percent, largely because the Kaesong Industrial Complex, which has avoided political entanglement, has grown 96 percent since last year. Textiles and home electronics top the list of goods in inter-Korean trade, while minerals are the top item traded across the DPRK-PRC border.

North Korea’s import of South Korean goods increased by 63 percent to 430 million USD, while the North’s Chinese imports rose a mere 25 percent, but still totaled 930 million USD. 36 percent of South Korean exports to the North are raw materials for North Korean textile production, while 120 million USD-worth of electronics make up the second-largest export industry. Making up the largest sector, 27 percent (250 million USD) of North Korea’s imports from China are made up of minerals and crude oil, while textiles make up 12 percent and base metal resources make up 8 percent. South Korean imports have also grown 43 percent, to 550 million USD, since last year. In comparison, Chinese imports from North Korea shrunk one percent to 340 million USD. Clothing and other ready-for-market textiles made up 44 percent of North Korean exports to the South, while electrical and electronic goods made up 17 percent. Coal, iron, and other key resources made up 51 percent of DPRK exports to China, while zinc and other base metals make up approximately 20 percent.

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DPRK-China trade and investment growing

Friday, October 1st, 2010

According to Yonhap:

North Korea’s economic dependence on its strongest ally China is growing as its economy slips further into deeper isolation from the international community for its nuclear ambition, a report said Friday.

According to the report compiled by the Samsung Economic Research Institute, bilateral trade with China accounted for 52.6 percent of the North’s cross-border trade last year.

“North Korea’s so-called self-reliant economy is collapsing, and China is emerging as the communist state’s key supplier of economic goods,” the report said.

The report said China’s investment in North Korea surged to US$41 million in 2008 from a meager $1.1 million in 2003. China is also planning to spend $2.37 billion on construction of a transportation network that links the two countries, it said.

But the report said it is hard to characterize the countries’ economic ties as “subordinate,” as the North is also involved in trade with South Korea and other countries.

As with most Yonhap stories, they do not provide a link to the report, or even its name, so I cannot say much about the numbers. 

Here is the English webpage of the Samsung Economic Research Institute.  I have been unable to locate this partuclar study, but maybe you will have better luck.

Yonhap also tells us that the Chinese are working to create a trade zone along the North Korean border.  According to the article:

China is seeking to build an economic zone in the northeastern region bordering North Korea, aiming to promote trade with the world’s most reclusive country, officials said Friday.

Thirteen cities in the Dongbei region, commonly known as Manchuria, issued a joint proposal Thursday to build the “Yalu River Economic Zone” and to boost trade with North Korea. The Yalu River or the Amnok River in Korean is a river on the border between China and North Korea.

The participating cities include Dandong, Dalian, Tonghua and Mudanjiang, all of which are located either in the Liaoning province, the Jilin province or the Heilongjiang province. The three provinces make up the Dongbei region.

North Korea has long been reported as planning to build a free economic zone near the bordering river. A number of ports already exist on the river, used for border trade between the two countries.

Dandong in Liaoning Province, which borders the North Korean city of Sinuiju, has become the largest logistics hub for North Korean trade, handling 70 percent of bilateral trade.

Read the full Yonhap stories here:
N. Korean economic reliance on China further growing: report
Yonhap
10/1/2010

China eyes economic zone for trade with N. Korea
Yonhap
Kim Young-gyo
10/1/2010

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Inter-Korean trade increases in 2010 despite tensions

Thursday, September 30th, 2010

According to Yonhap:

Trade between South and North Korea surged in the first half of the year despite high tensions over the communist nation’s alleged sinking of a South Korean warship in March, a trade organization said Wednesday.

South Korea’s exports to the North soared 63 percent on-year to US$430 million in the January-June period with North Korea’s exports to the South jumping 43 percent to $550 million, according to the Korea International Trade Association (KITA).

Read the full story here:
Inter-Korean trade jumps in H1 despite soured relations
Yonhap
9/29/2010

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