North Korean Economy Watch

From Korea is One:

9th Pyongyang Spring International Trade Fair
15th – 18th May 2006.

Optimism alive despite political tensions
European business group in Pyongyang sees N.K. as an attrative FDI destination.
By Chris Gelken

With political tensions over North Korea’s reported plans to test fire a ballistic missile dominating the headlines in recent weeks, any positive news regarding the North has tended to be pushed to the sidelines. The recent launch of a U.K.-based investment fund directed at North Korea suggests that beneath the tensions, there is still optimism in business circles that political problems can be resolved, and North Korea can become an attractive and profitable destination for foreign direct investment.

One such businessman is Felix Abt, the president of the European Business Association based in Pyongyang. In this email interview with The Korea Herald, Abt said he is confident that North Korea-based businesses will, as they have with previous crises, weather this latest political storm.

Q: What was your initial reaction to news of regulatory approval for the Chosun Fund?

A: Since it is perfectly legal for a British company to do business with the DPRK, it was not a surprise that the British authorities gave regulatory approval. However, the U.S. government will continue putting pressure on foreign banks and other companies to dissuade them from doing legitimate business with the DPRK, or with Iran for that matter.

The Times of London recently ran an article with the title “U.S. pressure threatens U.K. firms in Iran.” [1] Of course, economic and psychological warfare is an old U.S. tactic. Given the size of the U.S. economy relative to that of who they consider the enemy, it is unlike a military war. It is usually relatively painless, risk free and, of course, much less costly.

Q: Have any representatives of the fund been in contact with EBA?

A: I don’t think that the fund has been in touch with any of our members here in the DPRK yet, presumably because they have been concentrating all their energies on getting their regulatory approvals. Perhaps they will now begin contacting us.

Q: It is early days, but how do you think this could change the business environment in Pyongyang, and change the perceptions of investors around the world about doing business with the North?

A: When I worked in Vietnam in the nineties, that country decided to become a “strong and prosperous nation” by transforming it into what it called “a socialist market economy.” I then witnessed the arrival of a number of funds, some of which did extremely well in line with the ensuing economic success story of that country.

Vietnam vigorously embarked, like other Asian tigers before, on massively attracting foreign direct investment and strongly promoting exports. In addition, it overhauled and streamlined its fledgling state sector and allowed and stimulated the private sector to become a formidable economic growth locomotive.

The DPRK’s objective is to become a strong and prosperous socialist nation, too, and introducing and promoting more market elements would have the same effect as in Vietnam.

Moreover, a fast growing, flourishing economy would naturally attract more investment and, in addition, give the DPRK a much stronger negotiating position with the South when the question of a common market or reunificiation comes up.

Q: The fund has already identified natural resources and power supply as its parallel thrusts. How many of your members are involved in these sectors and could directly or indirectly benefit from investment from the fund?

A: The DPRK’s huge competitive advantage is natural resources, some of which may even offer the basis for the development of new competitive industries. Power supply and logistics are crucial for the development of these resources. So it makes sense that the Chosun fund or any other fund gets involved in these areas. Some of us represent companies involved in these business fields and would certainly look forward to cooperating with the Chosun fund. Sharing capital input and risks with a fund will enable companies to invest into more projects or enlarge existing ones.

Q: The fund is confident there will be no banking problems regarding bringing investment into N.K. or repatriating profits? How are EBA members dealing with the current banking problems?

A: Bringing investment into the DPRK or repatriating profits is, of course, possible. With many banks, under U.S. pressure, refusing money transfers, it needs quite some creativity and extra efforts to overcome these important obstacles. DPRK companies as well as foreign businesses active in the DPRK are, however, confident that the current storms, like many before, will be weathered, too.

Q: And finally, while it has been reported that the fund’s executives have broad experience in emerging markets, including North Korea, as a businessman with “his boots on the ground” in Pyongyang, do you have any advice or suggestions that you would like to make to the fund?

A: As the professionals they claim to be, they do not need my advice. I would wish them good luck and the necessary empathy and sensitivity for political matters which would mean, for example, that the capital for their fund should first and foremost come out of countries with which the DPRK has diplomatic relations.

From the Joong Ang Ilbo:

During the JoongAng Ilbo’s 10-day survey of North Korean economic venues in May, North Korea’s high dependence on China was very prominent. Noting that trend, North Korea experts in Seoul recommended that South Korea make efforts to increase its industrial investment in the North to assist the failing economy and allow it to make ends meet. Donating food and other aid, they said, was contrary to the aphorism, “Give a man a fish and he can eat for a day; teach him to fish and he can eat for a lifetime.”

Throughout the trip from May 11-20, North Korean officials proudly displayed a series of automated factories, calling them the models of the reclusive communist country’s modernization. The Daean Friendship Glass Factory was on the tour; officials said China had built the factory at no cost to North Korea. Similarly, production lines in several other plants were overwhelmingly “made in China.”

The March 26 Cable Factory in Pyongyang used Chinese machines; its raw materials appeared to be from China as well. The Pyongyang Cosmetic Factory, which produces cosmetics, toiletries and toothpaste, was also equipped with Chinese machines. The toothpaste production line used equipment from Nanjing Machinery, and the soap production facility was equipped by companies in Quingtao.

At the International Trade Fair in Pyongyang, most booths were set up by Chinese firms. Among the 217 companies that participated in the fair, more than 80 percent were Chinese or joint ventures that included a Chinese partner.

North Korea’s trade is also overwhelmingly skewed toward China: in 2004, nearly half of the North’s trade was with its neighbor. “North Korean industries are 90 percent dependent on China,” said Kim Suk-jin, a North Korean economy researcher at the Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.

That’s not entirely a bad thing, some economists here said; joining the world economy through China could become a catalyst for reform and opening of the North Korean economy. But they also said they were somewhat uneasy that China’s influence on the Korean Peninsula would become “unnecessarily” strong, reflecting deep-seated Korean unease about foreign influences on the peninsula. Referring to South Korea’s dependency on Japan in the 1960s and 70s for raw materials and facilities, they said that trade with Japan is still skewed in Japan’s favor.

Jeon Jong-mu, the president of HUM Construction Company, was in a party that traveled to North Korea for the international trade show with the journalists. He said North Korean officials had offered him the opportunity to participate in a project to mine aggregate ― rock, gravel and sand ―from the Chongchon River. In return for dredging the river, the offer reportedly went, the North would supply the material to his company.

According to the North Korean officials, the dredging is important to them because frequent flooding of the river damages nearby agricultural areas. “I thought the dredging work would be better for increasing rice production in the North than giving fertilizer,” Mr. Jeon said.

At the Chongsan Cooperative Farm, Ko Myong-hee, its manager, said no South Korean experts have ever visited there but that South Korea has provided it with rice and fertilizer. Lee Kyung-han, the manager of the Korean Standards Association, thought that was a symptom of a problem. He said experts from here should meet with their North Korean counterparts to improve productivity.

Others agreed that for the most part, the South has just been “giving fish” to the North. They said of the $1.6 billion in trade volume between the two Koreas, the South’s rice and fertilizer aid amounts to 35 percent. In the name of helping the poor, sick North Koreans, Seoul just ships rice, fertilizer and medicines.

Both Koreas should learn more about each other, said Kim Dong-ho of the Korea Development Institute. Some North Koreans believed that designating special economic zones would bring large foreign investments instantly, and complained that South Korean businessmen were not making investments in Kaesong Industrial Complex even after visiting the site. He said South Koreans also had a poor understanding of the North’s economy. He blasted the South Korean government and businesses here for making investments based on “rosy anticipations.”

Experts here said the government should focus more on building manufacturing facilities in the North. The March 26 Cable Factory in Pyongyang was modernized by a $2 million donation from North Koreans living overseas, said Kim Sok-nam, the plant’s manager. The Daean Glass Factory was also built with $24 million provided by China.

It would be asking too much, those experts said, to expect South Korean businesses to line up to make investments in the North after watching the woes of the Hyundai Group and the financial problems it faced after making its large investment in Mount Kumgang tourism.

If businessmen are reluctant to invest, perhaps the government should shift tactics. Rather than increase the amount of aid, which cost $365 million in rice and fertilizer alone in 2005, Seoul could offer investment assistance. That $365 million, after all, could have financed 15 Daean Glass Factory plants.

Mr. Lee of the Korean Standards Association proposed that government companies in the South might consider building factories in the North. Others agreed.

“The Kaesong Industrial Complex will take time to settle in,” said Kim Yeon-chul of the Asiatic Research Institute at Korea University. “On the other hand, Pyongyang, Nampo and other important economic venues in the North will be under China’s influence in as little as five years.”

Mr. Kim said South Korea should find ways to exercise its influence in core economic zones of the North. Instead of depending on the pioneer sprits of private firms, a state-run corporation in charge of industrial cooperation with the North should be formed to make profitable investments in the North’s industries, Mr. Kim suggested. “If such a firm existed, the South would have been able to carry out sustainable industrial projects in the North instead of providing light industry materials as aid,” he said. “There is a financial burden at the early stages, but that will eventually be reduced when the investment environment in the North improves, and the state-run corporation will be able to add resources from the international financial market on its own. That is why we need a state company for inter-Korean economic cooperation.”

Joong Ang Daily
6/22/2006

In the ground floor ballroom of the Yanggakdo Hotel annex in Pyongyang, the North Korean Chamber of Commerce hosted a trade information and investors’ relations conference on May 16. Senior North Korean trade ministry officials gave presentations on North Korea’s economic policy and investment climate. Rim Tae-dok, chief counselor of the trade ministry, said Pyongyang protected property rights of foreign investors and guaranteed the independence of their management. The North Korean official stressed that foreign investors would enjoy tax benefits and that the legal process of establishing companies in the North has been largely simplified.

Another senior North Korean official, Kim Ha-dong, also gave a presentation about Pyongyang’s export policy. Mr. Kim, a senior researcher at the trade ministry, said the communist country had been issuing permits for exports and imports after only a short review process. He encouraged investors to participate in trade.

The North Korean presentations were not very different from those given in any capitalist country, but the concept of “self-reliance” was prominent.

“We will build a self-reliant economy of Koreans and carry out trade on top of that,” Mr. Kim said. He added that North Korea’s self-reliance must not be damaged or controlled by foreign economies through trade.

During the JoongAng Ilbo’s 10-day survey of the reclusive communist country’s economic sites, Pyongyang’s dilemma ― self-reliant socialism versus economic development by attracting foreign investments ― was apparent. Some North Korean officials showed skepticism about China’s model of partially opening its economy, claiming that their country had to be run in a different manner.

“I have toured special economic zones in China several times,” said Ju Tong-chan, the North’s chairman of the National Economic Cooperation Committee. “But we have different ways of managing our economy than China, and I believe we should run our special economic zones in different ways. We are still researching our options, but we will not do it that [Chinese] way.”

China was able to expand its economy at high speed after the central government opened up the economy. It gave local governments enough independence to run business autonomously in their areas and attract foreign investment. But Mr. Ju was obviously unconvinced by the success of China’s model. The opening of the economy could boomerang, becoming a threat to the North’s system, he worried.

On factories and farms, North Koreans were still caught up – or at least gave the outward appearance of being caught up ― in a personality cult centered on the nation’s founding family. At cooperative farms and factories, the senior managers’ introductory briefings were always about the lessons taught by Kim Il Sung, North Korea’s first president, and Kim Jong-il, who succeeded him but did not assume the title of national president. These managers’ presentations began with the number of visits by the Kims to the site. There were always paeans to the communist regime’s “military first” policy and slogans to that effect were emblazoned everywhere, making it clear that the military and politics take priority over the economy.

North Korean officials were also reluctant to lay out all pertinent information to investors and journalists.

Kim Yong-il, 45, the manager of the port at Nampo on the country’s west coast, refused to cite specific numbers about the port’s freight-handling capacity. He said only that it could deal with “large amounts” of cargo.

Mr. Rim, the trade ministry chief counselor, said North Korean politics were extremely stable, which guaranteed the security of foreign investments. He gave no data or examples to support that claim of stability, however, and completely ignored the question of North Korea’s nuclear programs and how they might or might not affect stability.

Reacting to the journalists’ remarks that South Korean firms were reluctant to invest in the North because it has been difficult to make profits there, Mr. Ju, the chairman of the National Economic Cooperation Committee, said, “Why is money the priority? Inter-Korean business must be about something more than just monetary calculations.”

He was also visibly upset about Seoul’s policy on economic cooperation. “We made extremely sensitive military restricted areas at Mount Kumgang and Kaesong available to the South,” Mr. Ju said. “But the South has just given us a lot of excuses and failed to cooperate.”

He continued, “To nurture the Kaesong Industrial Complex into a world-class production facility, electronic and advanced technology industries are crucial. But labor-intensive industries are the majority in Kaesong. In this information era of the 21st century, the South has failed to bring in computers for administrative use in Kaesong.”

He also vented some spleen about the United States, asking the journalists why Seoul was so careful not to irritate Washington. He cited the U.S. restrictions on the re-export without prior approval of so-called “dual-use” goods, those with civilian and military applications, to countries it has blacklisted, including North Korea. Other international accords, such as the Wassenaar Agreement, also prevent South Korea from providing the North merchandise and commodities that have “strategic” applications.

But Mr. Ju sounded firm about continuing operations at Kaesong. “It is the nucleus of inter-Korean economic cooperation, and we must make it a success first. Then we can move on to other projects.”

He also dismissed the U.S. concerns that workers in Kaesong were laboring under harsh working conditions, but seemed to sidestep the basic question. “It is a matter that we should deal with,” Mr. Ju said. “Since we manage businesses differently, we are trying to come up with the best resolution to make direct [wage] payments to the workers.”

South Korean economists and businessmen who listened to similar presentations and looked at some of the North’s accounts were troubled by Pyongyang’s rigidity in opening up the economy. That, they said, coupled with the simmering nuclear weapons problem, is the most serious obstacle to attracting foreign investments. Unless U.S. diplomatic ties with North Korea are established, investing in facilities in North Korea and selling “made in North Korea” products on global markets would be difficult and risky, they agreed.

“If a foreign investor wants to visit a factory in the North that he has put money into, he has to obtain an invitation every time, and his schedule and movements in the North are strictly controlled,” said Kwon Yeong-wuk, the trade promotion director at the Korea International Trade Association of Seoul. “Under such circumstances, the North should not expect much in the way of foreign investments.” He said Pyongyang had a “my way or the highway” approach to the economy: If you’re here, follow our rules. The rigidity, he reiterated, is a serious obstacle to investors.

Other experts and businessmen in South Korea said Pyongyang’s attitude toward inter-Korean business in particular makes it hard to earn profit. They complain about the stress North Korean officials put on the concept that business between the two Koreas should be based on the maxim “blood is thicker than water” and not on market principles. An official at North Korea’s National Reconciliation Council argued that South Korean conglomerates should make large investments there based on that concept.

A South Korean businessman who has been looking for business opportunities in the North said he has run into a series of dead ends. “South Korean firms are doing businesses in the global market,” he said. “The largest market is the United States, and not many people would want to give that up to do business with the North.” He added that North Korea’s cheap but skilled manpower is an attractive point, but that poor infrastructure, extremely low purchasing power and the difficulty of obtaining raw materials make China and Vietnam much more attractive investment locales. Kim Yeon-chul, an academic at Korea University in Seoul, agreed with that assessment. “Large companies in South Korea have already automated their production facilities, so labor costs are not important in deciding on investments,” he said. “North Korea must improve other conditions instead of stressing the merits of its manpower or blaming outside causes.”

From the Joong Ang Daily:

In Seoul yesterday, Lee Jong-seok, the unification minister, told the opposition Grand National Party’s interim leader, Kim Young-sun, that it would be “difficult” to continue economic aid to North Korea if it tested a missile.

But he said that Seoul’s action would be “limited sanctions” only. He did not elaborate, except to say that operations at the Kaesong Industrial Complex would not be affected.

North Korea has asked for 450,000 tons of fertilizer this year, of which 150,000 tons has been already been delivered. Another 200,000 tons is being readied for shipment.

A Unification Ministry official said plans to ship the remaining 100,000 tons of fertilizer and shipments of rice could be withheld if the North’s missile lifts off. “We have told the North that there will be consequences and we are firm on this,” the official said.

It is called the Pyongyang International Technology and Infrastructure Exhibition (PITIE).  I am not sure that is the most productive acronym, and it is not to be confused with the Pyongyang International Trade Fair

Korea Times
EU Promotes Pyongyang Trade Fair
Jan Jettel, Staff Reporter

Despite mounting international tensions surrounding North Korea’s nuclear arms program, preparations for an international trade fair in Pyongyang later this year have shifted into high gear.

The Pyongyang International Technology and Infrastructure Exhibition is scheduled from Oct, 31 to Nov. 3 in the Kimjongilia exhibition hall in Pyongyang. The exhibition is mainly for companies from the manufacturing sector.

The last exhibition in 2002 had 70 participating companies, representing 10 different countries. The project is heavily promoted by the European Union Chamber of Commerce in Korea (EUCCK).

“The objective of the EUCCK in participating in such an exhibition is to demonstrate to the local visitors that there is an alternative to cheap quality Chinese products,’’ said Jean-Jacques Grauhar, chairman of the EUCCK North Korea Committee, in a Korea Times interview.

Grauhar at the same time admitted the political delicacy of the exhibition. “Obviously the current nuclear crisis is not favorable for this exhibition. The U.S. is also exercising pressure on some European companies to limit their contacts with North Korea, in line with their strategy to isolate the country,’’ he said.

Europe, however, will not bend to U.S. pressure, according to Grauhar. “Twenty-three out of 25 EU member states have full-fledged diplomatic relations with North Korea, some of them even have embassies in Pyongyang. The EU’s engagement policy of North Korea still prevails, and this exhibition can be considered an important part of it.’’

Peter Bialas of Messe Munich International, the Germany-based company that organizes the fair, called the U.S. stance on North Korea “completely hypocritical. How can the U.S. demand a change in North Korea and at the same time block all interactions of North Korea with the outside world that might or might not bring about such change?’’ he asked.

Bialas and Grauhar agreed that while head offices of multinational companies have expressed their concerns about the exhibition, their branches in Korea do not feel disturbed by the crisis as they are more familiar with the whole policy environment on the Korean peninsula.

Bialas also said that German companies showed a particular interest in the exhibition because “experience in dealing with East Germany has shown them that companies can successfully do business with one another even if they operate in countries with different political systems. In the end it’s about business, not politics,’’ he added.

However, there will be no American companies taking part in the fair. ‘’There are no legal restrictions prohibiting American companies from visiting North Korea, however, given the current political climate with a missile on the launch pad, I don’t think US firms would be interested in visiting at this time.

“If North Korea were to remove the missile and return to the six-party talks and it appeared there would be some predictability in their actions, I believe there might be some interest. But at the present time, I am afraid I don’t see much hope,’’ said Tami Overby, president of AMCHAM, the American Chamber of Commerce in Korea.

Local businesses were also skeptical about the fair. “In principle, North Korea and particularly the Kaesong Complex would be very interesting for us, but the political climate is just too unstable at the moment for us to consider investment there,’’ said the CEO of a German multinational company in Seoul on condition of anonymity. He added that “the situation would probably be better if the U.S. stopped bullying North Korea and interfering on the Korean peninsula.’’

This comes at a time when the two Koreas are trying to improve relations. Recently, a group of ambassadors visited the Kaesong Industrial Complex in North Korea to attract investment in the project.

Earlier this month, the 12th round of Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation Promotion Committee met on Cheju Island to discuss South Korean economic aid to the North.

From Yonhap:

S. Korean lender Nonghyup plans to open branch on N. Korea’s Mt. Geumgang in September

SEOUL, June 22 (Yonhap) — South Korea’s National Agricultural Cooperative Federation(Nonghyup) said Thursday it plans to open a branch at the Mount Geumgang resort in North Korea in September.

Nonghyup will open the Mount Geumgang branch on September 15 with three South Korean employees and two North Korean employees, it told the National Assembly’s Agriculture, Forestry, Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Committee.

The state-run financial institution received approval on May 4 to open the branch at the resort from South Korea’s Unification Ministry.

Nonghyup plans to build a two-floor building for its branch and to operate it 365 days a year without holidays.

In 2004, Woori Bank launched a branch in an industrial complex in the North Korean city of Kaesong, the first case of a South Korean lender setting up a branch in the North.

Korea Herald
Chris Gelken
6/20/2006

North Korea is open for business and for the past four or five years has consistently shown that it wants to go forward by welcoming international investment. That is the bullish opinion of Roger Barrett, managing director of Beijing-based Korea Business Consultants.

Barrett was in Seoul to meet with executives of the newly formed Chosun Development and Investment Fund, which recently won regulatory approval from Britain’s Financial Services Authority to begin approaching potential investors.

“Being first into a market isn’t always the best thing to do unless you really understand the risk and rewards. I believe those who are involved in setting up this fund have substantial experience in emerging and developing markets, so I feel very positive,” Barrett told The Korea Herald.

The emergence of this fund came as no surprise to Barrett, despite recent and ongoing political tensions with the North.

“It has been talked about for some time. We have been in touch with investors who have been seeking ways to expand their portfolio of projects in a managed way, and the approval of the fund by the British Financial Services Authority is a big green light to move forward.

“It presents investors with an exciting new opportunity in a market that is little understood,” Barrett said.

The financial sanctions imposed on North Korea last September may have frightened off some potential investors, but not Barrett or his company’s senior investment manager, Adrian Cortez.

“This fund represents one of the first times that North Korea will be exposed to international financial standards,” Cortez said. “I mean even Gaeseong is still more of an agreement between South and North Korea. But now for the first time you have a group of international investors that are going to apply international standards of due diligence. Of course there are going to be problems going into it, but we don’t see them as insurmountable.”

Barrett added that the recent difficulties of moving investments into the North and moving profits out, has eased.

“The bank we work with is the Daedong Credit Bank. As you would expect, they have a diverse range of correspondent banks,” Barrett said.

“Although things were shut down in Macau by what are easily referred to as U.S. sanctions, we have many clients and partners operating from Asia and Europe who are not directly affected.”

Some international investors may also be deterred by recent claims of exploitation of North Korean workers in foreign-invested firms, in particular at the Gaeseong Industrial Park just north of the heavily fortified border.

“You have the quotes that make great soundbites, you have this huge disparity in wages, but with proper monitoring – which the North is reluctant to do but is still being talked about – we may find that the fair wage is $4 a day,” Cortez said. He added that even at that rate some critics may not be satisfied, “but that may actually be a good livable wage for them considering many of their other expenses are cared for.”

Barrett pointed out that many of the workers’ expenses are actually covered by the government.

“In a communist society like the DPRK they get free medical care and education. They actually get quite a lot from the government including housing,” he said, drawing a comparison between the North today and where China and Vietnam were 20 or 10 years ago.

And Barrett believes the North can emulate the success stories of China and Vietnam.

“I am very confident because I believe a market of 23 million people, the same size as Taiwan or Malaysia, presents a lot of opportunity for business combined with the fact that there are a lot of resources of interest to overseas investors.

“All of those factors I think will drive business, trade and investment in a way that everybody can benefit. And I think that is the way forward,” Barrett said.

Update: Chavez  has postponed his visit to the DPRK. 

Bloomberg:

Venezuela’s Chavez Says Visit to North Korea Planned, No Dates

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said he still plans to visit North Korea but gave no dates for a possible visit.

Chavez, 51, said last month he planned to visit North Korea during a tour starting today that will also take him to Argentina, Belorussia, Russia, Qatar, Iran, Vietnam and Mali. North Korea was subsequently dropped from his agenda without any reason being given.

“It’s still in our plans” to visit North Korea, Chavez said during a press conference today before leaving for Argentina. He gave no indication when a visit could take place.

North Korea earlier this month defied international appeals led by the U.S., China, Japan and South Korea and test-fired seven missiles, including a Taepodong 2 that may be able to reach Alaska. Some Venezuelan officials, including Deputy Foreign Minister Mari Pili Hernandez, said North Korea had a right to test the missiles.

Chavez criticized countries such as the U.S. for condemning North Korea’s missile tests, while not criticizing Israel’s incursion into Lebanon.

While in Moscow, Venezuela will sign several defense accords, including one for the purchase of Sukhoi Su-30 military jets, and others to manufacture Russian munitions in the country, Chavez said.

State oil company Petroleos de Venezuela will also sign an agreement in Mali to help that African nation explore for oil, Chavez said.

Venezuelan Foreign Minister Ali Rodriguez also suffered a “pre-heart attack” today and was hospitalized, Chavez said. Rodriguez, 68, formerly served as secretary general of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and president of state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA.

from the Korea Herald 6/27/2006:

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez confirmed last week he plans to visit North Korea next month.

During a visit to Panama, Chavez told reporters that he will be going to the North to discuss science and technology cooperation.

He is most likely to fly to Pyongyang at the end of next month on the occasion of his planned trip to Russia on July 25.

North Korea and Venezuela have been giving signs that they were getting chummier since last year.

Last September, Yang Hyoung-sup, deputy head of the Presidium of the Supreme People’s Assembly of North Korea visited Venezuela, followed by a trip by an economic delegation in November which returned a trade pact.

Venezuela set up its first-ever permanent ambassadorial post in Pyongyang since their bilateral ties were forged in 1974. Venezuela’s Foreign Ministry delegation traveled to the North in May.

Observers say such flurry of exchanges can be the two countries’ “strategic alliance” against the United States.

North Korea, for its part, is protesting Washington’s financial block of its foreign currency exchange channel in Macau, and threatening a missile launch that could hit parts of Alaska.

Pyongyang has long been citing Washington’s “hostility” and “threat of attack” as its reason to build up nuclear weapons programs, or in boycotting nuclear talks.

The United States branded the North part of an “axis of evil” in 2001.

In the meeting next month in Pyongyang, Chavez is likely to see eye-to-eye with North Korean leader Kim Jong-il their alliance against the United States.

While Venezuela, the world’s fifth-largest oil-rich country, can offer energy resources to deprived North Korea, North Korea can offer conventional type weapons and missiles to Venezuela, which is looking to fortify its military power.

But observers hinted the strategic alliance may fall short of turning into a long-term comradeship.

“In order to create the anti-U.S. frontline sought by the North and Venezuela, there must be participation from European countries. As there is high possibility of their alliance splitting, it must be watched whether their cooperation will continue,” Prof. Kim Ki-jeong of Yonsei University was quoted as saying by Yonhap News.

Joong Ang Daily

The government said yesterday it would give loan guarantees of up to 10 billion won ($10.5 million) to companies operating in the Kaesong Industrial Complex in North Korea.

The guarantees, offered as a means of encouraging more manufacturing activity there, will be available beginning late this year.

The Korea Credit Guarantee Fund, a government-owned fund, will guarantee loans extended by banks and other financial institutions. The guarantees will be limited to seven years, and will carry a price tag of a maximum of 3 percent of the loan amount.

The decision was made at a meeting presided over by Han Duck-soo, the economic deputy prime minister.

Finance Ministry officials said such guarantees are limited to 3 billion won for small and medium businesses operating domestically. Those “ordinary” guarantees are also available to exporters and trading companies who want to open or expand domestic facilities.

Companies operating in Kaesong are also eligible for direct loans of up to 5 billion won from official inter-Korean economic cooperation funds.

North Korea has grumbled about the slow pace of building up the Kaesong complex; part of the problem, the ministry said, is that there is some hesitation by companies and difficulty in obtaining loans because of the perceived political risk and the difficulty in using assets located in North Korea as collateral for loans in the South. Those questions, coupled with what the ministry hopes will be a surge in interest in manufacturing at the complex, were the spurs for the new guarantee program, finance officials said.

Seoul is pushing its trade partners to treat goods made in Kaesong as domestic Korean products, a request accepted by some but rejected by others, including the United States. Some trade experts also worry that the new guarantee program could be seen as government subsidies to manufacturers, which could be illegal under international trade rules.

Fifteen companies are operating at the complex now; another 23 are preparing to start.

Yonhap
6/16/2006

Japan’s parliament on Friday passed a bill that requires the government to impose economic sanctions on North Korea unless it improves its human rights situation and resolves the issue of its abduction of Japanese citizens in past decades.

The new law will take effect in one month after going through the due administrative process. The enactment received approval from the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition New Komeito Party and the major opposition Democratic Party.

The enactment is the third in a series of economic sanctions Tokyo has imposed to cause North Korea to return Japanese citizens who were abducted from the late 1970s to the early 1980s. Japan revised pertinent laws in 2004 to enable the government to ban money transfers to North Korea without U.N. approval and restrict North Korean ships from entering Japanese ports in 2004.

The new law on North Korean human rights stipulates the abduction issue as a “national duty” that the government has to take. It says if Pyongyang does not make progress on the issue, Tokyo should mobilize economic sanctions on the communist country, provide help for North Korean defectors and offer financial aid to non-governmental organizations helping the defectors. The law set a week in December as a publicity week for the government to enlighten the public on the North Korea issue and required the government to submit an annual report on its efforts to deal with it.

Earlier in the day, the European Parliament passed a resolution that called on the international community to make efforts to improve the human rights situation in North Korea. The resolution, passed in a plenary session in Strasbourg, France, particularly urged Pyongyang to release information about the whereabouts of Son Jong-nam, a 48-year-old North Korean man who was arrested for spilling tales about the situation in the North to his brother in China and sentenced to death.

From the BBC:

Japan’s parliament has passed a bill calling for economic sanctions against North Korea unless a dispute over kidnapped Japanese citizens is solved.
The North Korea Human Rights Bill calls for sanctions to be imposed if no progress is made on the abduction and other human rights issues.

It could be enacted by Friday, as both ruling and opposition parties back it.

But the bill does not specify how progress would be assessed or set a deadline for imposing sanctions.

Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi has been cautious on the issue of imposing sanctions against North Korea in the past, analysts say.

“The government will take into consideration international trends comprehensively,” the bill said.

The sanctions would include money transfers from North Koreans in Japan, an important source of funds for the North.

‘Worst phase’

The bill was passed just hours after North Korea warned Japan against continuing to bring up the abduction issue.

As already clarified by the DPRK more than once, the ‘abduction issue’ had been completely settled

North Korean spokesman

A spokesman from the North Korean Foreign Ministry said that relations between the two nations were at “the worst phase in history”.

The spokesman said the blame lay with Japan for its attempts to internationalise the abduction issue, state news agency KCNA reported.

Pyongyang has admitted kidnapping 13 Japanese citizens in the 1970s and 80s and used them to train its agents.

Five of the 13 abductees were allowed to return to Japan in October 2002, but North Korea said that the other 8 people had died.

It says the issue has now been resolved.

“As already clarified by the DPRK more than once, the ‘abduction issue’ had been completely settled thanks to its sincere efforts,” the Foreign Ministry spokesman said.

But Japan believes North Korea is not being completely honest about whether the abductees are still alive and how many of its citizens it abducted.

The issue has sparked public anger in Japan and has dogged relations between the two countries for years.