Archive for the ‘Finance’ Category

2008 Index of Economic Freedom

Thursday, January 31st, 2008

efindexcover.jpgThe 2008 Index of Economic Freedom published by the Heritage Foundation and the Wall Street Journal covers 162 countries across 10 specific freedoms such as trade freedom, business freedom, investment freedom, and property rights. Unlike the Freedom House rankings, this is an index, meaning there is a first place winner (who should be rewarded with lots of investment and business creation) and a last place “winner” (who should be shamed into moving up the list for the same prizes)

The bottom ten countries:
148. Venezuela
149. Bangladesh
150. Belarus
151. Iran
152. Turkmenistan
153. Burma (Myanmar)
154. Libya
155. Zimbabwe
156. Cuba
157. North Korea  (unchanged)

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Cancor Report #297: Knowledge Sharing with the DPRK

Sunday, January 27th, 2008

November 12, 2007

The latest edition of the CanKor Report has only one longer-than-usual item.  It is the preparatory document of a workshop recently held in Seoul, Korea, in which NGOs, academics, practitioners and diplomats from Europe, Asia, Australia and North America consulted about the prospects for international cooperation regarding education and training programmes that need to be undertaken with the DPRK if denuclearization proceeds according to the Six-Party timetable.  Experts in economic development believe that the next step in international engagement will have to be the building up of DPRK expertise and intellectual capacity to absorb the significant development assistance that may follow successful completion of the Six-Party process. In this working paper, loyal CanKor reader and former World Bank official Bradley Babson defines “knowledge sharing”, explains why the time is ripe for all sectors to become involved, outlines potential pitfalls, and suggests guiding principles for future engagement by the international community.
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Contents:

1.   KNOWLEDGE SHARING WITH THE DPRK
    Bradley O. Babson, CanKor original
       Introduction
       Why knowledge sharing?
       Strategic considerations
       DPRK internal challenges
       Nuclear politics
       Inter-Korean reconciliation
       China, Russia and Northeast Asia regional perspectives
       Operational challenges in the DPRK context
       An underlying tension
       Relationships
       Information
       Absorptive capacity
       Coordination
       Resources
       International experience and best practices
       Conclusions and principles for future engagement
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(more…)

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N. Korea repays Seoul aid with minerals

Friday, January 4th, 2008

In the 1980s Pepsi went on sale in the Soviet Union [as did eventually Coke].  Since the hard currency needed to buy the syrup was scarce, the Soviets traded it for Vodka (which they presumably had plenty of)–At least this is what I was able to piece together when I visited the USSR as a teenager.

Yonhap (January 4, 2008) reports that North Korea has adopted the same basic strategy to repay its external debts.  This is a positive move on the part of the North because it is the first time the North has made an effort at repaying its external bills.

(excerpt from Yonhap)  The South-North Korea Exchanges and Cooperation Support Association said 500 tons of North Korean-produced zinc, worth about US$1.2 million, arrived in the port of Incheon on Thursday and was unloaded on Friday. It was the second repayment by the communist country for economic assistance provided by Seoul.

Although the amount agreed upon by both countries for 2007 has been paid in full, the installment represents only 3 percent of the North’s total debt to South Korea [appx. USD$80 million]. Pyongyang had agreed to pay Seoul with $2.4 million worth of mineral ore to reimburse it for aid.

[…]reportedly mark[ing] the first time the North has redeemed any of its debt.

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DPRK Holds Annual Lottery for Government Bond Repayments

Thursday, January 3rd, 2008

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
Nk Brief No. 08-1-3-2

1/3/2008

North Korea has announced the winners of its sixth drawing for payouts of ‘People’s Life Bonds’, through which it provides ticket buyers with not only payment of principal, but also additional lottery winnings. From July to November of 2003, North Korea sold 10-year bonds worth 500, 1000, and 5000 won, and since then has held drawings once or twice per year repaying the bonds and lottery winnings as a way to pull in idle cash from the people.

(North) Korean Central TV reported that the 6th People’s Life Bond drawing had taken place and provided some numbers regarding the payments. In the latest drawing, thirteen 5000 won, eight 1000 won, and ten 500 won tickets were drawn. The television announcement explained that winners could report to the appropriate bank during the first quarter of 2008 to collect their winnings. It was also reported that during the latest fourth-quarter drawing, one first-prize, ten second-prizes, and fifteen third-prizes had been chosen, but provided no concrete details regarding the amount of the prize winnings. North Korean bonds do not pay interest to the investors, but rather, provide prize winnings greater than the amount of interest that would have been paid to winners each quarter.

The fifth round of drawings took place in January 2006 in Sariwon, North Hwanghae Province, when thirty tickets were drawn. North Korea’s savings and bond lottery system appears to be an attempt at improving financial difficulties faced due to the government’s collection of idle hard currency from each family.

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North Korea Google Earth (Version 7)

Friday, December 14th, 2007

The most authoritative map of North Korea on Google Earth
North Korea Uncovered v.7
Download it here

koreaisland.JPGThis map covers North Korea’s agriculture, aviation, cultural locations, manufacturing facilities, railroad, energy infrastructure, politics, sports venues, military establishments, religious facilities, leisure destinations, and national parks. It is continually expanding and undergoing revisions. This is the sixth version.

Additions to the latest version of “North Korea Uncovered” include: A Korean War folder featuring overlays of US attacks on the Sui Ho Dam, Yalu Bridge, and Nakwon Munitians Plant (before/after), plus other locations such as the Hoeryong Revolutionary Site, Ponghwa Revolutionary Site, Taechon reactor (overlay), Pyongyang Railway Museum, Kwangmyong Salt Works, Woljong Temple, Sansong Revolutionary Site, Jongbansan Fort and park, Jangsan Cape, Yongbyon House of Culture, Chongsokjong, Lake Yonpung, Nortern Limit Line (NLL), Sinuiju Old Fort Walls, Pyongyang open air market, and confirmed Pyongyang Intranet nodes.

Disclaimer: I cannot vouch for the authenticity of many locations since I have not seen or been to them, but great efforts have been made to check for authenticity. These efforts include pouring over books, maps, conducting interviews, and keeping up with other peoples’ discoveries. In many cases, I have posted sources, though not for all. This is a thorough compilation of lots of material, but I will leave it up to the reader to make up their own minds as to what they see. I cannot catch everything and I welcome contributions.

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Update on North Korea Markets and Market Regulations

Wednesday, December 5th, 2007

Daily NK
Yang Jung A
12/5/2007

After the Inter-Korean Summit held in October, the North began to place age limits for females who can do business in the market. The regime has risen the minimum age from 35 to 49 years old. Since most men are enrolled in workplaces, it is mostly women who engage themselves in business activities and are therefore being targeted by the age limit.

According to a study conducted by DailyNK on North Korean markets, business activities have slowed due to the regulation of the market. However, if a woman bribes the officers in charge of enforcing the regulations, she can continue to do business. In the rural areas, it is known that the regulations are not strictly enforced.

The complaints of the North Korean people regarding the regulations are growing ever more intense because their livelihoods depend on market activity. Below is an overview of the current market situation in the North..

◆ Market Conditions

Although detailed statistics are not available, it is reported that there are around three to four markets in each North Korean city.

In Pyongyang, the city with the largest population, there is one market for every district (19 in all). On densely populated “Tongil (unification) Road,” there are two markets. Kangdong, administratively located within Pyongyang, has three markets. Additionally, there are small-scale markets, such as the No.67 Munitions-Factory market and Hari Plaza market. The one in Kangdong is relatively large.

Shiniju, known as the center of trade between North Korea and China, has three markets: Chaeha, Namjoong and Dongseo (aka Pyonghwa). South Shiniju has only one. There are two markets for each of the larger districts in Chongjin, the second largest city after Pyongyang. Overall, each town in each county has at least one market and each county has one or two small-scale farmer’s markets.

◆ Average income

In the past, markets were always bustling with people except during the rice-planting and harvest seasons. However, since the State has begun controlling prices and enforcing an age limit on merchants, the markets have become stagnant.

Around 50 to 60 merchants used to engage in business in each block of each market in Pyongyang. Now, there are only seven or eight merchants on each block. Therefore, nowadays, shoppers are finding it hard to buy quality products in the market.

The average daily earning for merchants depends on the types of items sold. Merchants who sell agricultural products make about 3,000 won, and those who sell sea products earn between 5,000 and 6,000 won. Those who trade industrial products are reported to make as much as 10,000 won per day.

◆ Prohibited sales items

The North Korean authorities are now exercising control over the types of products that can be sold in the market and have increased the list of banned items.

The list of prohibited sales items in Hamkyung Province, centering on Hoiryeong, is as follows: electric rice cookers, electric frying pans, automobile tires and parts, diesel fuel, gasoline, beef, medicines, electric blankets, VCRs (Even home-manufactured VCRs cannot be traded in the market. They are only available at State-run shops.), rubber belts, bearings, welding rods, electric motors, electrical wirings, alcohol, foreign films, and so on.

It has been reported that market managers exercise control inside-market activities, whereas security agents patrol outside of the market. The level of regulation depends on the individuals charged with enforcing the regulations. Bribed officials do their job only perfunctorily.

◆ People’s responses to market regulation

Unlike markets in major cities such as Hoiryeong, Musan, and Chongjin in North Hamkyung Province, markets in small cities and towns of the province operate as usual regardless of the State’s market regulations.

In small cities and towns, people know each other, and market managers and safety agents do not strictly enforce the state’s regulation as their counterparts do in big cities. Even in major cities, however, many merchants under the age of 40 continue to do business. If they fail to get inside the market, they do business in alleys adjacent to the market.

Many merchants complain about the market regulations, and some even get into altercations with market managers.

For instance, they violently stand against and even swear at the mangers, saying, “You guys live in comfort because you receive food from the State and take bribes from us. However, we live from hand to mouth each day here in the market. How could you then regulate the market?”

◆ Some servicemen secretly engage in business

Some poverty-stricken soldiers and officials as well reportedly steal rice distributed to the army and sell it to merchants. Unlike commoners, servicemen are tightly watched, so they cannot readily involve themselves in money making activities.

Some destitute low ranking soldiers clandestinely take their emergency rations and sell them in the market. Canned beef manufactured at Ryongsung Meat Processing Plant is sold at 3,500 won and Canned mackerel at 2,500 won in the market.

However, heavy punishment awaits servicemen who are caught engaging in illegal market activities. So, they covertly sell military provisions to only personal aquaintences.

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North Korea-Russia Relations: A Strained Friendship

Tuesday, December 4th, 2007

International Crisis Group
Asia Briefing N°71
4 December 2007

North Korea’s relations with Russia have been marked by unrealistic expectations and frequent disappointments but common interests have prevented a rupture. The neighbours’ history as dissatisfied allies goes back to the founding of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) with Soviet support and the Red Army’s installation of Kim Il-sung as leader. However, the Soviets were soon written out of the North’s official ideology. The Sino-Soviet split established a pattern of Kim playing Russian and Chinese leaders off against each other to extract concessions, including the nuclear equipment and technology at the heart of the current crisis. Since Vladimir Putin visited Pyongyang in 2000, diplomatic initiatives have come undone and grandiose economic projects have faltered. Russia is arguably the least effective participant in the six-party nuclear talks.

The relationship between Putin’s Russia and Kim Jong-il’s North Korea has disappointed both sides. Putin has mostly been unable to assert himself as a prominent player in North East Asia, and North Korea has received neither the unalloyed political support nor the economic backing it seeks. Russia has more influence in the region than it did in the 1990s but not enough to change the equation on the Korean peninsula. Opportunities for economic cooperation have been limited, mostly by Pyongyang’s refusal to open its economy but also by Russia’s fixation on overly ambitious schemes that at best may take decades to realise. China’s more nimble investors have moved in much faster than Russia’s state-owned behemoths.

Moscow has been conservative in its political dealings with Pyongyang, playing a minor but thus far positive role at the six-party talks consistent with its concerns about proliferation and the risks of DPRK collapse. It regards the denuclearisation of the peninsula as in its interests, has relatively few commercial opportunities in the North and considers its relations with the other nations in the exercise more important in every way than its ties to Pyongyang.

While Russia has shown interest in building energy and transport links through the North, little progress has been made. Rebuilding railways on the peninsula will cost enormous sums, and overcoming the many obstacles will require years of negotiation. Investments have been hindered by the North’s unreliability and history of default on loans. Russia may eventually have to forgive billions of dollars of debt the North cannot repay. Energy is a major mutual interest but pipelines across the North are unlikely to be built soon; Japan and China are expected to be the main markets for Russian energy, while South Korea is reluctant to become dependent on the North for its supply. 

Pyongyang wants Russia to balance China’s growing influence but appears to recognise that Moscow will never provide the level of support it once did. The North has been keen to discuss economic cooperation but has lacked the political will to reform its economy sufficiently for foreign investment, even from a country as inured to corruption and government interference as Russia. It is equally interested in technical and scientific aid. Russian technology, equipment, and “know-how” have featured prominently in the history of both Koreas, and Pyongyang still seeks to resolve its economic problems by scientific and technical solutions. But there is unlikely to be much growth in bilateral cooperation unless the nuclear crisis is resolved peacefully, and the North opens its economy. 

This briefing completes Crisis Group’s series on the relationships between North Korea and those of its neighbours – China, South Korea, Japan and Russia – involved in the six-party nuclear talks. It examines Russia’s aims and ambitions in the region, as well as the responses from North Korea and is based on both interviews in Russia, Central Asia and South Korea and analysis of Russian and North Korean statements.

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Widespread embezzlement among party officials

Monday, December 3rd, 2007

Daily NK
Jung Kwon Ho
12/3/2007

The North Korean authorities are intensifying efforts to crack down corruption and embezzlement prevalent among party cadres.

Lim Sang Il (pseudonym, 43), a native of Pyongyang, said, “The state excommunicated and dismissed both the chief secretary of the Party in the Daedonggang district and the head of the foreign currency-making activity organization. They were found to have embezzled money earned from cocoon business for the past ten years.” Mr. Lim, currently staying in Dangdong, China visiting relatives, said, “Words are circulating around that they extorted over 10 million dollars.”

Mr. Lim said, “The factory manager of the Sangwon Cement Complex located near Pyongyang took his life when he heard the news that he was suspected of corruption and the state inspection group against anti-socialist trends was about to come down to see him for inspection.”

“This manager was notorious for corruption. For years, he had extorted money from the factory and used it for his own use,” Mr. Lim said. “It was widely gossiped that this man killed himself because he knew that his would receive capital punishment considering the severity of his corruption.”

A source from Sinuiju in North Pyongan said in a phone conversation with DailyNK on the 28th of November, “The chief secretary of the local Party in Woonjeon, North Pyongan Province, was expulsed from the party and fired from his job after he was found to have extorted money allocated for public construction works.”

“There are constructions going on in Woonjeon, tearing down old houses and building new ones,” the source said, “However, no one has ever asked people’s permission for constructions in the first place and provided temporary housing for people until the completion of construction works, and that, of course, angered many people.”

“All of a sudden, those without money ended up being homeless whereas those with money became able to purchase two to three houses at affordable price,” said the source.

“Expressing their anger aggregated over time, the local people led by the old directly sent a written protest to the central Party and filed a complaint,” the source said. “After all, the inspection group had to come down to Woonjeun and dismissed the chief secretary of the local Party and head prosecutor.”

“The inspection group discovered that these men were hiding a significant amount of money in their houses,” the source said. “It was so much that the inspectors couldn’t count the money and had to weigh stacks of bills in the scales.”

“Conspiring with the construction manager, the chief secretary accumulated money by overpricing construction materials and selling newly constructed houses,” said the source. “The head prosecutor accepted huge bribe on condition that he should turn down pouring complaints and contesting reports from the locals.”

In regard to the recent incident where some machinery from the Suncheon Vinylon Complex was smuggled to China, the state has dismissed many high-ranking officials implicated in the smuggling such as the chief secretary of South Pyongan Province, the chief secretary of the local Party in Suncheon, the city’s public prosecutor, and director of safety agency and foreign-currency making organization of the city.

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N.K. officials visit Wall Street over access to global financial system: sources

Monday, November 19th, 2007

Yonhap
11/18/2007

A North Korean delegation is visiting Wall Street to meet financiers and attend a seminar that could help the isolated communist country gain access to the international financial system, sources here said on Sunday.

The six-member delegation led by Ki Kwang-ho, a director at the North Korean Finance Ministry, arrived here on Thursday for the two-day-long session, which starts Monday. The U.S. side is to be represented by Deputy Assistant Treasury Secretary Daniel Glaser and other officials involved in ending Pyongyang’s suspected illicit activities.

The visit by the North’s delegation, the first of its kind, comes about one year after the release of some US$25 million in North Korean funds that were frozen at a Macau bank over their alleged connection to money laundering and other illegal activities.

Although the assets were released in a one-time transaction through the international financial system, the North has said it wants full access to the system without financial sanctions from the U.S., which has considerable influence over the global market.

The delegation’s visit also coincides with recent progress in the multilateral negotiations for North Korea’s nuclear disarmament, in which Washington is negotiating with Pyongyang on the removal of the North from its list of state sponsors of terrorism and the termination of the application of its Trading with the Enemy Act.

Washington, one of major shareholders in the International Monetary Fund and other lending institutions, is obliged by law to oppose any loans to countries on the list.

The North Korean financial officials met with financiers at the heart of global finance here Saturday to discuss international financing for the isolated communist state, informed sources said.

Donald Gregg, chairman of the New York-based Korea Society, quoted the North Koreans as saying Friday that they came to learn about ways to get access to the international financial system.

While attending a seminar sponsored by the National Committee on American Foreign Policy, the North Koreans asked about know how to join the IMF and other international financial institutions, the former U.S. ambassador to South Korea said.

Another North Korea expert, however, predicted a long and bumpy road ahead for the North, saying the isolated, impoverished communist state needs a lot of manpower, experience and technologies before joining the international financial system.

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U.S. Treasury’s Levey Says Bankers Worldwide Are Shunning Iran

Thursday, November 15th, 2007

Bradley Martin
Bloomberg
11/15/2007

U.S. Treasury Department measures targeting Iran, similar to those used against North Korea, are having a significant effect in financially isolating the country, Stuart Levey, undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, said in Tokyo.

Financial institutions around the world have cut ties with Iran, leading to “a dramatic pullback in business,” Levey said on a trip through East Asia to build support for the measures.

This followed the Treasury department’s identification of state-owned banks and other entities it said were financing weapons proliferation and terrorism. The department asked U.S. banks not to deal with those institutions.

Foreign banks are cutting financial ties with Iran generally, not just with the individually targeted entities, Levy said, going “beyond legal requirements” that govern banks involved in the U.S. financial system.

“Major financial institutions around the world have decided as a matter of risk assessment that they don’t want to do business with this regime,” he said.

The United Nations and the U.S. want Iran to halt uranium enrichment that the West suspects is aimed at developing nuclear weapons.

Iran is “turning itself into a financial pariah” through deceptive financial practices that obscure the line between legitimate and illicit transactions, Levey said.

North Korean Example

Financial pariah status befell North Korea’s banking and financial system after the Treasury in 2005 accused Macau’s Banco Delta Asia S.A.R.L. of aiding North Korean money laundering and weapons proliferation.

Macau authorities froze some $24 million in North Korea- related deposits in the blacklisted bank, bankers worldwide refused to handle North Korean transactions and Kim Jong Il withdrew from negotiations on the future of his country’s nuclear weapons program.

This year the U.S. agreed to the release of the BDA funds. While that compromise brought Kim’s negotiators back to the table, it didn’t cure the country’s financial isolation, according to Felix Abt, president of Pyongyang’s European Business Association.

“It is still difficult because some international banks are reluctant to handle payments to and from any banks in the DPRK, either state or foreign-owned, fearing that they could become targets of restrictive measures in the same way that Banco Delta Asia was,” Abt said, using the initials of North Korea’s formal name, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

Investment Prospects

Such fears affect the prospects for investment in the country, according to consultant Tony Michell of EABC Ltd. in Seoul. “There remains a reluctance by mainstream financial players to get involved,” he said, “in case of further action by the U.S. Treasury.”

A North Korean delegation is traveling to New York next week to hear more on how the country can extricate itself from that situation. U.S. and North Korean officials will hold financial talks Nov. 19 and 20 in New York, at North Korea’s request, State Department spokesman Sean McCormack told reporters in Washington Nov. 14. The U.S. delegation will be led by Daniel Glaser, the Treasury Department’s deputy assistant secretary for terrorist financing.

Levey, when asked in Tokyo today what would be discussed at the talks, said U.S. officials would “lay out for the government of North Korea the types of conduct that are inconsistent with international standards.”

Asked three times whether North Korea was still involved in the sort of illicit conduct that his department had alleged in 2005, Levey avoided a direct answer, saying only: “The North Koreans have engaged in a variety of conduct that has made it difficult for them to integrate in the international financial system.”

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