Archive for January, 2008

2007 Biggest year for inter-Korean exchange, at USD$1.79 billion

Monday, January 7th, 2008

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No. 08-1-10-1
1/10/2008

The net worth of inter-Korean exchanges totaled 1,797,890,000 USD in 2007, up 33% from the 1.35 billion USD in the previous year. Exchanges between the two Koreas began in 1989, and topped one billion dollars for the first time in 2005. The almost 1.8 billion dollars in trade recorded in 2007 is the highest to date, and is equal to 65 percent of North Korea’s non-Korean trade volume of 2.996 billion USD in 2006.

Inter-Korean commercial trade was worth 1,431,170,000 USD, 54 percent higher than the 928 million USD in 2006, while non-commercial trade fell 13 percent, from 421,660,000 dollars in 2006 to only 366,720,000 dollars last year. Overall, commercial trade made up over 80 percent of cross-border exchanges, proving that inter-Korean exchanges continue to grow based on commercial transactions. Commercial trade growth was centered around the mining and fishery sectors (52 percent) and increased production in the Kaesong Industrial Complex (48 percent). Textiles and other goods processed on commission also grew by 30 percent.

Additional manufacturing by companies entering the KIC, as well as the installment of equipment used to increase output by those manufacturers already established in the first phase of the complex, saw a great jump last year. Additionally, South Korea loaned the North 80 million USD for equipment, cloth, soap, polyester fibers, synthetic leather, and other materials to be used in light industry, while the North repayed 2.4 million USD (3 percent) of the loan by delivering 1,000 tons of zinc. This was the first example of the North repaying funds to the South, and shows opportunities for the two Koreas to fulfill each other’s needs and carry out friendly economic cooperation in the future.

With increases in domestic use and export of Bukhan Mountain’s minerals and timber, improvements in communications, customs, and transport issues at the KIC and a growing number of companies moving into the complex leading to an increase in production and manufacturing activity, inter-Korean exchanges are expected to continue to grow in the future.

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Will the new ROK govt revisit inter-Korean projects?

Monday, January 7th, 2008

Yonhap (Jan 7, 2008) reports that newly elected South Korean president Lee Myung-bak will revisit the agreement struck between former President Roh and Chairman Kim Jong il last fall.

(excerpt) Projects under review will be the construction of a shipyard complex and its infrastructure in [Haeju] North Korea, along with the establishment of a “peace zone” along the disputed [Northern Line Limit] border in the West Sea, the site of deadly naval clashes between the two Koreas in 1999 and 2002.

“Humanitarian projects, such as the reunion of family members living separately in the two Koreas, and rice and fertilizer aid can be continuously pushed for, but economic cooperation projects should be carried out in parallel with the pace of North Korea nuclear talks,” a key member of the team was quoted as saying at the briefing.

——

Projects in the North are not the only things potentially headed for the chopping block–so it seems is the South Korean Ministry of Unification itself, which could potentially be merged with the South Korean Foreign Ministry. 

The incoming president, however, did suggest a carrot to go with his sticks.  Yonhap reported on January 4 that the new administration plans to launch a USD$40 million fund to promote economic growth in North Korea. 

(excerpt from Yonhap) The planned fund is in line with Lee’s ambitious plan to help increase the impoverished North’s per capita income to $3,000 within a decade if it makes the bold decision to abandon its nuclear program and open its market, said the team’s spokesman Lee Dong-gwan. There are no accurate data on the reclusive nation’s economy but some estimates put its per capita income at around $1,300.

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N. Korea repays Seoul aid with minerals

Friday, January 4th, 2008

In the 1980s Pepsi went on sale in the Soviet Union [as did eventually Coke].  Since the hard currency needed to buy the syrup was scarce, the Soviets traded it for Vodka (which they presumably had plenty of)–At least this is what I was able to piece together when I visited the USSR as a teenager.

Yonhap (January 4, 2008) reports that North Korea has adopted the same basic strategy to repay its external debts.  This is a positive move on the part of the North because it is the first time the North has made an effort at repaying its external bills.

(excerpt from Yonhap)  The South-North Korea Exchanges and Cooperation Support Association said 500 tons of North Korean-produced zinc, worth about US$1.2 million, arrived in the port of Incheon on Thursday and was unloaded on Friday. It was the second repayment by the communist country for economic assistance provided by Seoul.

Although the amount agreed upon by both countries for 2007 has been paid in full, the installment represents only 3 percent of the North’s total debt to South Korea [appx. USD$80 million]. Pyongyang had agreed to pay Seoul with $2.4 million worth of mineral ore to reimburse it for aid.

[…]reportedly mark[ing] the first time the North has redeemed any of its debt.

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KINU “Business Conglomerates Appearing in North Korea”

Thursday, January 3rd, 2008

Daily NK
Yang Jung A
1/3/2008

Through its publication “North Korea is Changing” the Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU) highlighted numerous changes and reforms that have occurred in North Korea due to the 2002 “July 1st Economic Maintenance Reform Policy” (Hereon referred to as the “July 1 Policy”). This publication deals with the changes the North Korean economy is undergoing following the economic crisis of the 1990s, and expounds on the country’s prospects for future economic reform.

The following is a summary of the main points introduced in the publication.

The “Invisible Hand” at Work in North Korean Markets

Following the enactment of the July 1 Policy in 2002, agricultural markets transformed into general markets. Soon, industrial products were being sold alongside agricultural products as the free market spirit spread to the country’s distribution system.
Along with the rise of general markets, street markets, and individualized commercial activities, a new merchant class is emerging. People who are able to put to use business acumen and an understanding of market principles are able to accumulate personal wealth. This demonstrates that aspects of Western-style rationalist thinking, including the pursuit of profit-seeking are being instilled in the minds of the North Korean people.

It is difficult to say if this experiment in free market economics will be successful in the long run. More than anything, due to the rigidity of the North Korean regime, the realm in which the “Invisible Hand” can operate is greatly restricted. This is the fundamental paradox facing North Korea’s prospects for reform and opening.

“Hardworking Heroes” Become “People with Two Jobs”

As the economic difficulties became severe, work opportunities evaporated. Living off of the wages provided by the state became impossible. North Korean laborers responded to this by taking on side jobs or engaging in independent sales.

According to defectors living in South Korea, after the July 1 Policy, there has been an increase “People with Two Jobs.” These are people who are engaging in economic activities additional to their primary occupations. People are beginning to accept the notion that it is better to work for personal benefits than to receive the title of “Hardworking Hero.”

Such phenomena have also changed people’s perceptions about occupations in general. For example, the elite classes now prefer diplomatic positions and jobs where they can make international connections, rather than working in party or government positions. The common people prefer agricultural jobs with the benefits of access to the food distribution system and the ability to earn side profits by being a merchant. In addition, common people also prefer being personal drivers, photographers, workers at the Food Distribution Office, servicepersons, or fishermen.

Business Conglomerates Are Emerging in North Korea

With the implementation of the July 1 Policy, North Korea has witnesses the creation of its first business conglomerates. A case in point is the Korea Pugang Corporation, which has expanded to include 9 subsidiaries and 15 foreign offices engaging in various lines of work. The website of the “Korea Pugang Corporation” reveals that the company has around $20 million in capital and does an average of $150 million of business each year.

The executives in charge of the company’s growth are brothers Jon Sung Hun and Young Hun. President Jon Sung Hun is in his early 50s and studied abroad in Tanzania before returning home to teach English at Kim Il Sung University. He later became a businessperson. His English skills are among the top 10 in North Korea. Young Hun is in his 40s and is the president of a company affiliated with the Finance and Accounting Department of the Workers’ Party. His company dominates North Korean diesel imports.

If the Jon brothers are the representative examples of conglomerate-based new capital, Cha Chul Ma ranks high among those who earned capital due to their power in North Korean society. With his focus on doing business with China, Cha is known for his ability to earn foreign currency and dominates the foreign currency earning businesses belonging to the Standing Committee of the Supreme People’s Assembly. His personal wealth is said to be over $10 million.

As the son-in-law of Lee Jeh Gang, the First Vice Director of the Guidance Department of the Workers’ Party, Cha gets some support from his father-in-law. Cha, who is known to live so freely that he was seen wearing Bermuda shorts on the streets of Pyongyang, is said to be a “Representative Case of a North Korean who succeeded in business on his merits, regardless of assistance from surrounding figures”.

The Number One Worry is Sustenance

North Koreans are said to live three different lives: their family lives, their working or school lives, and their political lives. Their lives are organized by politics from “cradle to grave,” and they must attend various political meetings, organizations, and study sessions. However, there are many people who are unable to participate in regular meetings of their political units due to economic difficulties. As they do not receive sufficient food distributions and their wages are too low, they must seek their food independently through individual economic activities.

Because the transportation infrastructure in the country is not advanced, it takes at least half a month to one month to go into the countryside to search for food and then they must return and sell the food or daily-use items they acquired, leaving little time for any other activities. Ninety percent of North Koreans engage in some form of business, and as a result, only an estimated 30% to 60% participate in required political activities.

Marriage Culture

These days, in North Korea, the ideal spouse is the one who makes the most money. Previously, when North Korean women chose their spouses, they considered the social status of their potential suitor. However, after the economic crisis, they started to prefer businesspersons and people who earn foreign currency, instead of discharged soldiers and cadres. For men as well, they now prefer money to looks as society increasingly revolves around the economy. As a result, an overwhelmingly higher proportion of men marry older woman than before.

Marriage customs are simplifying as well. Before the economic crisis, women usually provided the domestic items for the household and men provided the estate. However, after the economic crisis, dowries have downgraded into simple things like clothes. Because the allocation of estates has been delayed, more and more people are living at their parents’ homes.

Especially for women, there have been some phenomenal changes. Many women consider marrying late or not marrying at all. Reasons for this include the fact that woman cannot marry men just because the men can’t work and needs a woman to bring home money. Even in such a patriarchal culture, such complaints are becoming increasingly common.

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DPRK Holds Annual Lottery for Government Bond Repayments

Thursday, January 3rd, 2008

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
Nk Brief No. 08-1-3-2

1/3/2008

North Korea has announced the winners of its sixth drawing for payouts of ‘People’s Life Bonds’, through which it provides ticket buyers with not only payment of principal, but also additional lottery winnings. From July to November of 2003, North Korea sold 10-year bonds worth 500, 1000, and 5000 won, and since then has held drawings once or twice per year repaying the bonds and lottery winnings as a way to pull in idle cash from the people.

(North) Korean Central TV reported that the 6th People’s Life Bond drawing had taken place and provided some numbers regarding the payments. In the latest drawing, thirteen 5000 won, eight 1000 won, and ten 500 won tickets were drawn. The television announcement explained that winners could report to the appropriate bank during the first quarter of 2008 to collect their winnings. It was also reported that during the latest fourth-quarter drawing, one first-prize, ten second-prizes, and fifteen third-prizes had been chosen, but provided no concrete details regarding the amount of the prize winnings. North Korean bonds do not pay interest to the investors, but rather, provide prize winnings greater than the amount of interest that would have been paid to winners each quarter.

The fifth round of drawings took place in January 2006 in Sariwon, North Hwanghae Province, when thirty tickets were drawn. North Korea’s savings and bond lottery system appears to be an attempt at improving financial difficulties faced due to the government’s collection of idle hard currency from each family.

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‘Labour hero’ supposedly executed in NKorea

Thursday, January 3rd, 2008

Good Friends claims that a prestigious local politician has been executed for his bourgeois lifestyle…

(excerpt)  A cooperative farm chief who was once honoured by North Korea’s founding president has been publicly executed for starting a private farm to support his luxurious lifestyle, a South Korean aid group said Thursday.

The unidentified man — said to be a member of the national legislature — and two colleagues were put to death by firing squad on December 5 in Pyongsong City, 30 kilometres (20 miles) north of Pyongyang, the Good Friends group quoted sources as saying.

The farm chief, his accountant and the local county’s party secretary were accused of selling produce from an unauthorised farming operation to lead a luxurious lifestyle, said a newsletter from the group which provides aid to the hardline communist state.

The farm chief was accused of failing to register 196 acres (79 hectares) of farmland that had been cultivated over the past decade. He allegedly fed retired soldiers with the produce and used them as his private bodyguards.

The man “acted like a king” in Mundok County and had been deemed untouchable because of his status and the gang of retired soldiers who followed him everywhere, Good Friends said.

All those put to death were said to have lived in upmarket two-storey homes and driven illicit cars.

Read the whole story in the AFP here
1/3/2008

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2008 The New Year Joint Editorial

Wednesday, January 2nd, 2008

When President Kim il Sung was alive, he delivered a “state of the nation” address each new year.  Since his death in 1994 audio recordings of his past speeches have been played publicly.  However, the North Korean government did develop a new tool to fill the role of informing the public about the government’s policy goals without overshadowing the unique position of the deceased leader: the “Joint Editorial” published by three of the DPRK’s leading journals, Rodong Sinmun, the People’s Army, and the Youth Vanguard. Each January it is published and North Korea watchers rush to interpret and extrapolate what each line signals. If you have a lot of spare time, you can read some extensive excerpts here.

The title: Glorify This Year of the 60th Anniversary of the Founding of the DPRK as a Year of Historical Turn Which Will Go Down in the History of the Country

Although many publications have pointed out that North Korea missed yet another deadline to declare its nuclear facilities, South Korean reviews seem to indicate that the editorial was docile compared to previous years:

(more…)

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Air China to (eventually) Fly to Pyongyang

Wednesday, January 2nd, 2008

UPDATE: Surprise–it has been delayed:

Air China delays Pyongyang route for three months
Reuters

1/2/08

Air China has postponed Wednesday’s opening of a new route to the North Korean capital, Pyongyang, until March, citing operational reasons, but denied the decision was linked to politics.

Hat tip Michael Rank

Original Story:

Air China to Fly to Pyongyang
CARNOC.com
(hat tip to Werner in Vienna, Aus.)
Simon Li   
11/06/2007

On Nov. 5, Air China announced that the airline will launch Beijing-Pyongyang route on Jan. 2, 2008. This new service means that the airline’s international operations (including Hong Kong SAR and Macau SAR) will be increased to 72 routes.

Full flight schedule of Beijing-Pyongyang service as below:

Flight No.:  CA121
Route:  Beijing – Pyongyang
Days of Operation: Wed, Fri, Sun
Aircraft Type:  B737
Dep. Time: 14:00
Arr. Time:  17:00

Flight No.: CA122
Route:   Pyongyang – Beijing
Days of Operation: Wed, Fri, Sun
Aircraft Type:  B737
Dep. Time:  18:00
Arr. Time:   19:00

(NKeconwatch: Notice how this does not conflict with air Koryo’s Tuesday/Saturday schedule.  I predict that if this goes through, we will see greater volumes of Chinese tourists take the Air China flights, and western tourists will still demand the “unique atmosphere” of air Koryo–they might even pay more for it!)

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North launches new Web site

Tuesday, January 1st, 2008

Joong Ang Daily
Brian Lee
1/1/2008

In what looked to be part of recent efforts to revive its ailing economy, Pyongyang recently launched a Web site outlining the North’s basic economic policy towards foreign investment and advertising goods ranging from cars to stamps bearing the image of the North’s leader, Kim Jong-il.

Called the “Economic Website of the DPR Korea,” the site can be accessed at www.dprk-economy.com or www.dprk-economy.com/en/ for the English version. Other North Korean sites are blocked here under the National Security Law.

For a reclusive society that is often referred to as an “intelligence black hole” for the lack of detailed information available about it to the outside world, the site contains lots of information on the North, both in Korean and English, covering a wide range of subjects, such as culture.

It also includes a section called the “Pyongyang Times,” in which North Korea reports on events there, such as visits by its leader to industrial sites and military units, as well as events in the South.

The site lists a total of 92 North Korean companies, like the Ocean Maritime Group, with basic company descriptions and contact information.

Orders for goods can be placed via e-mail but the Internet purchasing option available was not working as of yesterday. Some of the items are also missing price information. In its trading section, the Korea Chilmyong Trading Corporation specifically asks for a selling agent for stainless steel cutlery.

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