Archive for the ‘Statistics’ Category

North Korean Economy Does Not Have a Basis for Development

Wednesday, November 7th, 2007

Daily NK
Yang Jung A
11/7/2007

Although the North Korean economy has been growing since late 1990s, it is hard to say that the economy has growth on its own.

A senior researcher at the Korea Institute for National Unification, Choi Su Young, released a paper titled “the Latest Tendency of the North Korean Economy” in the October “Finance,” which is issued by Korea Federation of Banks. He pointed out in the paper that “North Korea’s economic reliance on China is getting serious and cited the state’s 1.7 billion dollars in trade with China.”

He explained “On one hand, North Korea exports to China in 2006 increased to 72.7% compared with exports in 2002; on the other hand, imports from China increased to 163.8%. This resulted in a recorded deficit of 760 million dollars. The rate of North Korean trade reliance on China was 48.5% in 2004, and it reached 60% last year.”

He relayed that “In the production industry, North Korea has to rely systematically on China’s raw materials, energy, facilities and parts. North Korea is importing its entire amount of petroleum for transportation and production. Chinese influence on the North Korean economy is so absolute that 70-80% of consumer products are made in China.

Mr. Choi insists that “Although foreign aid and South-North economic cooperation were expanding and its reliance on the influx of foreign currency was great, North Korea was staying in low-growth status, which means North Korea does not have the economic foundation for development.

According to the report, the scale of exchange between the South and the North was rapidly increasing through the annual provision of South Korean rice and free fertilizer supporting and South Korean enterprises’ activities at the Kaesung Industrial Complex.

With the exception of South Korea and China, there are no countries willing to invest in North Korea. Most developed countries turn away from North Korea because the standard and environment related to North Korean investment are significantly inferior to the norm.

He explained that “The North Korean investment environment is inconvenient for foreign investors due to obsolete infra-structures, high distribution costs and limited markets. It is unnecessary to mention the international policies related to North Korea.”

Mr. Choi added that “The scale of North Korean foreign trade was 2 billion dollars in 2000 and reached 3 billion dollars in 2006. Exports amounted to 950 million dollars and imports came to a total of 2.05 billion dollars.”

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Inter-Korean trade climbs 12.7 pct to US$1.23 bln in January-September period

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

Yonhap
10/31/2007

South Korean trade with North Korea rose 12.7 percent from a year earlier to US$1.23 billion for the first nine months of this year, a report said Wednesday, amid progress in talks on the North’s nuclear programs.

During the January-September period, South Korea exported $700 million worth of goods to North Korea and imported $530 million, the Korea International Trade Association said in the report.

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Ministry streamlines investing in North

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Joong Ang Daily
10/23/2007

Regulatory filing requirements to invest in North Korea will be eased, and the Export-Import Bank of Korea will manage information on investment activities in the North, according to a Ministry of Finance and Economy release yesterday.

For an amount below $300,000, an investor will no longer need to hand in an annual financial report to the bank handling the company’s foreign exchange deals for investments in the North.

For an amount below $1 million, an investor will only need to report briefly.

The bank dealing with foreign exchange transactions will need to report the investor’s financial information to the Export-Import Bank of Korea instead of the Ministry of Unification and the Finance Ministry.

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D.P.R. Korea Export and Import 2007

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

book.jpgD.P.R. Korea Export and Import 2007
Price JPY39,900.-(tax included)
Date of issue October  2007
Size B5/Page 514
Publisher WTS
ISBN Code ISBN978-4-9903339-2-8-C3033

This book summarizes foreign trade statistics in fiscal year 2006 of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK).  Since DPRK does not publish the trade statistics, it is not even certain whether or not statistical data on trade are systematically collected.  Therefore, WTS drew up this book by investigating foreign trade with DPRK, based on customhouse statistics of 190 or so countries (and regions) which are trade partners of DPRK.

The statistical format applied in this book was created, based on the HS code (the commodity classification list based on “International Convention on the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System”) which is the international standard.
Amounts in various currency units were all converted into the U.S. dollar on the basis of the annual total.

We would be delighted if this book could serve as reference for concerned parties.

Contents of “D.P.R.Korea Export and Import 2007”
1. Overview
2. Statistics by country
3. Statistics by product group
4. Statistics by country and product group (20 high rank countries = China, South Korea, India, Thailand, Yemen, Russia, Brazil, Qatar, Japan, South Africa, Singapore, Mexico, Greece, Germany, Hong Kong, Netherland, Chile, Taiwan, Peru, Paraguay)
5. Topics:
1) Oil import
2) Export of gold and silver
3) Export of rare metals
4) Export of other subterranean resources
5) Import of luxury items
6) Export of apparels
7) Export of fishery products
8) Data on imports to DPRK after the nuclear test
9) Partial confusion of the statistics of DPRK with those of South Korea
6. Statistics by product group and country (HS6ST)- EXPORT 3,161 all articles
7. Statistics by product group and country (HS6ST)- IMPORT 4,294 all articles

Information provided by:
Miyagawa Jun
Korea Specialty Bookstore, Rainbow Trading Co.
TomodaSanwaBldg. 2F, 1-37,
KandaJinbocho1-37, Chiyoda-ku,
Tokyo101-0051 Japan
tel/ fax +81-3-5283-6100,
[email protected]

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Number of cross-border visitors surges on increased exchanges: ministry

Saturday, October 20th, 2007

Yonhap
10/20/2007

The number of South and North Koreans who made cross-border visits during the first nine months of this year surged over 30 percent as economic, social, cultural and humanitarian exchanges between the Koreas expanded, a government report showed Saturday.

According to the report released by the Unification Ministry, a total of 102,809 people from the two countries made cross-border visits during the January-to-September period, up 33.6 percent from the same period of the previous year.

Of the total that excluded South Koreans who visited the North’s Mount Geumgang, 102,079 were South Koreans going to the North, and only 730 North Koreans visited the South, it added.

Exchanges in the economic sector were most brisk with a total of 69,729 people crossing the border, followed by 9,924 for social and cultural exchanges, and 7,260 for humanitarian purposes, the report showed.

Meanwhile, inter-Korean trade during the nine months amounted to US$1.22 billion, up 12.7 percent from a year earlier, the report noted.

The countries remain technically at war as the 1950-53 Korean War ended with an armistice, not a peace treaty.

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S. Korea provides 4 tln won worth of rice, fertilizer to N. Korea

Friday, October 19th, 2007

Yonhap
10/19/2007

South Korea has spent nearly 4 trillion won (US$4.36 billion) over the last six years to provide rice and fertilizer to North Korea, the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry said Friday.

In a report forwarded to lawmakers for this year’s parliamentary audit, the ministry said Seoul spent 3.33 trillion won to send 2.2 million tons of rice to Pyongyang from 2002 to August of this year.

It said 400,000 tons of rice were shipped every year from 2002 to 2004, while 500,000 tons were shipped in 2005. Numbers dropped to 100,000 tons last year after Pyongyang fired off rockets and exploded a nuclear device.

This year, 400,000 tons have been sent to make up for poor harvest in the North.

Of the total, 2.1 million tons of rice were sent as low interest, long-term loans to be paid back in 20 years after a grace period of 10 years.

The ministry said 620 billion won were spent to send about 2 million tons of fertilizer to the North in the cited period.

Opposition lawmakers claimed the government had diverted 2.18 trillion won from the country’s grain management special account to provide North Korea with agricultural support.

“The grain account is aimed at helping local farmers. but the government is using it to supplement the inter-Korean cooperation fund,” said Rep. Hong Moon-pyo of the conservative Grand National Party.

He said that because it will take some time to recover the money, any shortcomings in the grain fund will have to come from the regular account and that will create a burden for taxpayers.

The government asked lawmakers to approve 909.6 billion won for next year’s inter-Korean cooperation fund. This year, the fund amounts to 870.4 billion won.

The money will be used to send 500,000 tons of rice and 400,000 tons of fertilizer to North Korea.

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Expert says North facing more famines

Friday, October 19th, 2007

Joong Ang Daily (via AFP)
10/19/2007

If floods and bad weather aggravate already chronic food shortages, North Korea may face new famines next year, a leading expert in Seoul warned yesterday.

Floods and storms, followed by outbreaks of blight and insect-related damage, deprived the impoverished nation of about 10 percent of its fall harvest this year, said Kwon Tae-Jin, research director of the Korea Rural Economic Institute.

“North Korea is likely to face very serious food shortages next year, and barring very generous help from abroad, we may see something like the 1995-98 famine,” Kwon told AFP.

That famine reportedly killed hundreds of thousands of people.

Kwon said North Korea needs at least 5.3 million tons of food to feed its 23 million people from now until next year’s harvest. But its own food production is expected to come to only 3.9 million ton, leaving a shortfall of 1.4 million.

South Korea is the North’s biggest aid provider, supplying it with 400,000 tons of food every year. Seoul is expected to increase this aid to 500,000 tons next year.

North Korea imports about 200,000 to 300,000 tons of food every year, but must rely on outside help to plug the remaining gap, Kwon said.

Paul Risley, Asia spokesman for the World Food Programme in Bangkok, said some food aid was sent directly to the North, including from China. Nonetheless, there is a significant gap between the amount of food available and the amount actually required, Risley told AFP, citing UN figures.

“This is a very serious concern, and it’s quite clear from the most recent estimate of food commodities that are available … that the DPRK [North Korea] will once again this year face a very significant gap between the amount of cereal, such as corn and rice, available and the amount of food required for its population,” he said.

He said the World Food Programme provides a “relatively small amount of food assistance” to millions of the most vulnerable, including several hundred thousand victims of August floods.

North Korea was already reliant on international aid to help make up a food shortfall of 1 million tons ― 20 percent of its needs ― even before the August rains.

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Kaesong Prodiction Surpasses US$200m

Tuesday, October 16th, 2007

Institute for Far Easter Studies
NK Brief No. 07-10-16-1

The Kaesong Industrial District Management Committee reported on October 10 that after two years and nine months of operation, the total value of goods manufactured in the Kaesong Industrial Complex (KIC) surpassed 200,000,000 USD. In 2005, production by companies in the KIC totaled 15,000,000 USD; in 2006, 74,000,000 USD; and in the first 9 months of 2007, 124,000,000 USD, for a total since 2005 until last September of 213,000,000 USD.

There are currently a total of 45 companies operating in the complex, employing 19,433 North Korean workers and 800 workers from South Korea, for a total of over twenty thousand employees. The Committee’s report further detailed that the production output of the North Korean workers averaged 1,275 USD per person during the first half of 2007, up 28 percent over last year’s per-capita output of 989 USD.

After overall production surpassed 100,000,000 USD at the end of last January, the 200,000,000 USD barrier was broken in only eight months. This expansion of production is a result of a stable business environment, the increase in the number of companies entering the complex and the number of North Korean workers employed, and overall productivity growth.

The 1,275 USD per-capita production output for the first half of the year shows a 28 percent increase over the 989 USD per-capita recorded in 2006, and 15 percent higher than the 1,108 USD per-capita average of the first two quarters of last year. Despite employment regulations calling for continually increasing numbers of workers, which tend to lower productivity statistics, overall North Korean workers’ average per-capita production numbers did not fall, and the increase shown is significant.

The increase in productivity is not unrelated to the level of education of the workers. Currently, the majority of workers in the KIC have at least a high-school education, and more than 20 percent have completed some form of technical college or higher. A technical training center scheduled for completion in October of this year will provide even more formal technical training for the workers, further increasing productivity.

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Gov’t refrains from using “reform, openness” to describe Kaesong industrial park

Wednesday, October 10th, 2007

Yonhap
10/10/2007

The Unification Ministry has dropped the words “reform and openness” to describe the South Korea-invested industrial park in the North’s border town of Kaesong from its Web site in an apparent bid not to provoke the North.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-il complained in the second-ever inter-Korean summit in Pyongyang last week that South Korea has been using the Kaesong industrial park as a scheme to force reform and openness in the communist North, whereas Pyongyang had gained little from the inter-Korean economic cooperation project.

President Roh Moo-hyun responded by saying in the North Korean capital that North Korea should not be described as a subject of reform and openness.

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North Korean-China trade hotter than kimchi

Saturday, October 6th, 2007

Asia Times
Ting-I Tsai
10/6/2007

Business in Changbai county of Jilin province in northeast China is booming. The area, which faces North Korea’s Hyesan City across the Yalu River, has seen its exports rise 28.5% year-on-year in the first eight months of this year, the beneficiary of logjams created by China’s brisk trade with North Korea further downstream to Dandong – the busiest border city in northeast China bordering North Korea’s Shinuiju across the Yalu River.

As ice is melting between North Korea and the United States, more and more Chinese businessmen have been rushing to the border with the secretive communist country, looking to cash in on its trade and investment potential.

“Traffic across the river has been so busy,” said Han Lihsin, who founded a China-Korea trade website to promote business with China’s reclusive neighbor in April last year. “It is not only trucks from China that have to line up to go through customs, North Koreans have also sent their own trucks to pick up goods.”

According to statistics from Chinese Customs, bilateral trade between North Korea and China reached US$1.7 billion in 2006, a 7.58% increase over the previous year. It has grown another 16.7% in the first eight months of this year to $1.25 billion. Chinese investment in North Korea, meanwhile, had reached $38 million by the end of 2006.

China’s main exports include agricultural products, consumer electronics, textiles and fuel, but North Korean traders are taking advantage of the Internet to diversify their purchases. On China’s business promotion websites, buyers claiming to be from North Korea are asking for items as varied as wine coolers, necklaces, leather suitcases, soybean oil, pencil cases and “plastic containers for aromas or perfume”.

Whether North Koreans now have more money and are able to consume more remains a hotly debated issue among Chinese traders. But they agree that North Korean customers are now more sensitive to product quality and brands. “It’s not just about being cheap anymore. Products are required to be affordable with guaranteed quality,” said Tang Fuyou, manager of Dandong-based Tigereye62.com.

To overcome North Korean customers’ resistance to Chinese products, Tang says suppliers now market products with brand names and descriptions printed in English on the packaging. Small “Made in China” markings are placed in unobtrusive spots. “That way, goods can be sold for good prices,” he said, adding that South Korean and Japanese products are still too expensive for North Koreans.

Used televisions, washing machines, refrigerators and air conditioners are at the top of North Korean shopping lists. Hoping to ride the wave of this new demand for big-ticket household goods, China’s leading home appliance exporter Haier has reportedly been operating across the border since January of this year.

Traders aren’t the only ones looking to profit from North Korea. Burdened by soaring labor costs and high land prices, Chinese businessmen are finding this virgin territory to be a potential paradise.

Xu You, chairman of the Changbai-based China-North Korea investment association, suggested that his joint-venture wood factory pays 10 yuan (US$1.3) per month to its North Korean workers. Trader Wang Wei, whose Hsienhe pharmaceutical manufacturing company is planning to build a new factory in North Korea’s Nanpo, suggested that monthly salaries there average about 50 yuan.

Ambitious North Korean officials might not appreciate the intricacies of capitalist operations, but they have skillfully extended their networks for soliciting investment by touting the country’s advantages of cheap land and labor. North Korean websites based in China are advertising a broad range of investment opportunities, including in the areas of energy, restaurants and hotels, agriculture, mining, manufacturing and general infrastructure.

Among the approximately 100 projects circulating on these websites, hotels and electricity generation seem to be particular targets. One calls for a $30-45 million investment in Pyongyang’s yet finished tallest building, the Ryugyong Hotel, while another requires a $50-60 million investment for the Taedong-gang Hotel. Stakes in expansions of fuel-fired power plants are being offered for $100-200 million, and, hoping to take advantage of green energy, projects to develop wind and solar power also appear but minus a price tag.

As for manufacturing, projects to make elevators, freezers, electronic watches, shoes, sewing machines and even disposable diapers all require foreign investments in the form of machines, technology and raw materials.

At the urging of North Korean officials, investors Xu and Wang are now involved in pitching investments south of the Yalu to other Chinese prospects. According to Wang, Pearl River delta-based Chinese businessmen have expressed the most interest in relocating their factories, with 30 to 50 investment projects currently under negotiation.

Among those still concerned about the high uncertainty of operating in North Korea, some have chosen to set up an office in Pyongyang and bide their time until a timely opportunity emerges.

Aware of the growing significance of the bilateral commercial relationship, China’s central government and three provinces near the North Korean border – Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang – have all made efforts to boost bilateral cooperation.

In March 2005, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao signed an investment-protection agreement with his North Korean counterpart, and the two nations inked five bilateral economic cooperation agreements between 2002 and 2005. During North Korean leader Kim Jong-il’s visit to China in January 2006, Wen introduced new economic-cooperation guidelines.

In July of this year, Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi noted during his three-day visit to Pyongyang that economic cooperation was an important part of China’s relations with the North, and said China would continue to promote cooperation by following the previous agreements and guidelines.

Provincial governments, meanwhile, have been promoting cross-border trade by attending and holding trade shows and building new trade zones. Jilin’s Hunchun, Jian and Tumen are the cities along the North Korean border most aggressively pursuing free-trade zones that would allow visa-free access and offer duty-free facilities.

North Korea introduced economic reforms in 2002, but with embargoes imposed by the United States and Japan and Pyongyang’s economic conservatism, the reforms have accomplished little and the economy continues to struggle. In an acknowledgement of those problems, Dear Leader Kim Jong-il in January of reportedly vowed to make 2007 North Korea’s economic development year.

Tang, the Chinese businessman operating in Dandong, noted that his company is about to be appointed by North Korea’s trade authority to assist the operations of some 200 North Korean companies in China. He believes, however, that patience is required when dealing with the communist, reclusive nation.

“Even when North Korea and the US normalize their relationship, more time will be needed for economic reform,” he said, “Chaos would follow if the system is transformed too quickly.”

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