Archive for the ‘Foreign direct investment’ Category

Seoul denounced seizing of ROK assets at Kumgang

Sunday, April 25th, 2010

According to Yonhap:

South Korea denounced North Korea’s decision Friday to seize five South Korean facilities at a mountain resort on its soil and warned that Pyongyang will be held responsible for the deterioration of inter-Korean relations.

“It is an illegal and unreasonable measure that undermines the very foundation of the South-North relations,” a spokesman for South Korea’s Unification Ministry said in a statement after Pyongyang said it will seize the South Korean assets at Mount Kumgang.

“The North has proven itself to be an unfit partner for normal business and transactions,” it said.

North Korea also said other non-state South Korean assets at Mount Kumgang will be frozen, and that all employees from the South at the resort will be expelled. The measures were seen as aimed at pressuring Seoul to resume the suspended mountain tour program that had been a source of foreign currency for Pyongyang.

Seoul said it will take “strong measures” against the North. It did not elaborate.

“We cannot accept the (North’s) measures, as they are in violation of contracts between North Korea and our businesses, agreements between the governments and of international laws. It is an unjust step that undermines the very foundation of South-North relations,” a ministry official told reporters.

The North’s move came at the end of a two-day inspection by North Korean military officials of the mountain resort, where dozens of South Korean businesses and private investors own various facilities that are part of the suspended tourism program.

The five facilities to be seized include a family reunion center, funded and owned by Seoul’s National Red Cross, as well as a fire station and a duty free shop. They also include a cultural center and a hot spring resort, both owned by Seoul’s Korea Tourism Organization.

Pyongyang froze the assets, worth some 124 billion won (US$112 million), on April 13 after an on-site inspection by its officials late last month. The latest inspection ended Friday.

“First, we will confiscate all five assets of the South Korean authorities that have already been frozen in compensation for our loss due to the long suspension of the tour,” an unidentified spokesman for the General Guidance Bureau for the Development of Scenic Spots said in a statement carried by the North’s official Korean Central News Agency.

The once lucrative tourism program for the impoverished North was suspended in July 2008 after a South Korean tourist was shot dead by a North Korean guard near a restricted area. Nearly 2 million South Koreans had visited the mountain resort since the tours began in 1998.

“The confiscated real estate will be put into the possession of the DPRK or handed over to new businessmen according to legal procedures,” the statement said, referring to North Korea by its official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea.

The North said early last month that it will restart the tourism program with a new business partner unless Seoul agreed to resume the tours before the end of April.

“The situation has reached such an extreme phase that it is at the crossroads of a war or peace, much less thinking of the resumption of the tour. It is quite natural that we can no longer show generosity and tolerance to the south side under this situation,” the statement said.

Friday’s measure also included freezing of all assets owned by over 30 South Korean businesses and private investors.

Hyundai Asan, the main South Korean developer of the joint mountain resort, urged the North to withdraw its decision and the governments of the two Koreas to resolve the issue through dialogue.

“The road to Mount Kumgang must not be severed as the tours greatly helped promote cooperation and reconciliation between the South and the North and peace on the Korean Peninsula,” the business group said in a statement.

“We also urge our government to actively seek a solution to the current situation, as the joint economic cooperation project of the South and the North, as well as properties of businesses that invested in Mount Kumgang, now sit on the verge of a breakdown,” the statement said.

Read the full story here:
Seoul denounces N. Korea’s seizure of assets at Mount Kumgang
Yonhap
4/23/2010
Byun Duk-kun

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DPRK to produce mobile phones

Wednesday, April 21st, 2010

According to Telegeography:

Tokyo-based newspaper Chosun Sinbo has reported that mobile subscriptions in the DPRK are continuing to rise steadily and could reach 600,000 by the end of the year. The pro-North Korea newspaper added that the number of cellular customers in the communist state currently stands at over 120,000, with wireless infrastructure reportedly present in more than half of the country’s cities and counties that is expected to accommodate 600,000 subscribers by year-end. The DPRK’s only mobile operator is CHEO Technology, which offers services under the Koryolink brand. Citing the head of North Korea’s mobile telecoms department, Choe Un, the report also added that the state plans to produce its own handsets – currently manufactured in China – within the next six months.

According to TeleGeography’s GlobalComms Database, CHEO was awarded a 25-year licence to operate a 3G network in January 2008, with the first four years on an exclusive basis. It is owned by Orascom Telecom Holding of Egypt (75%) and state-owned Korea Post and Telecoms Corporation (25%). Services were launched in December 2008 in the capital Pyongyang, but the network has since been expanded to include the main road running up to the northern city of Hyangsan, with the company currently working on expanding services nationwide.

Yonhap asserts that the Choson Sinbo piece claims the DPRK will start manufacturing mobile phones:

“Within half a year, handphone terminals will begin to be produced,” the paper said. “For a certain time, parts will be imported from overseas and assembled, but eventually the prospect is that development will be self-sufficient.”

The report said equipment for mobile service has been set up in more than half of the cities and counties in the country, adding the service will also be used on major roads and railways.

If a reader can send me a link to the original Choson Sinbo artilce I would appreciate it.  I have troubles navigating that site.

Here are previous posts about North Korea’s mobile phone networks and Orascom.

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An update on the DPRK’s economic relations

Sunday, April 18th, 2010

Francoise Nicolas has written a data-driven survey on the DPRK’s changing trade and investment relationships.  The paper can be downloaded here (PDF).  This paper has also been added to my DPRK Economic Statistics page.  Here is the paper’s conclusion:

This brief analysis of the current external economic relations of the DPRK leads to a number of conclusions.  First, the North Korean economy maintains very limited exposure to the outside world and, as a result, to external influence.  In terms of volume North Korea’s trade is miniscule, even in relation with the size of its economy.  This is also the case for foreign direct investment inflows.

Secondly, although North Korea is less isolated than often thought, its trade and investment flows are very heavily polarized both geographically and sectorally, limiting de facto their potential impact.  In contrast to what was the case during the Soviet era, North Korea’s main economic partners are not ideological partners but neighboring economies, namely China and South Korea.  They are major partners in trade as well as in FDI.  Russia still plays a non negligible role but is in no way comparable to what was the case before the demise of the Soviet bloc.

Thirdly, North Korea’s external economic relations are very much dictated by political considerations.  Politics accounts both for the choice of partners and for the nature of the economic relations.

Fourthly, and more importantly, the very distinct nature of the DPRK’s connection with the rest of the world, and primarily with its two major economic partners, sets it apart from other transition economies and in particular from China, but also from Vietnam.  In the case of North Korea, economic openness, although announced time and again as an official objective, cannot be seen as an instrument for enhancing competitiveness or as part of a development strategy.  The recent, renewed signs of reform in the direction of increased openness should thus be interpreted with utmost caution.

Fifthly, the structure of the country’s external trade is indicative of an economy in survival mode.  The substantial aid component in the inter-Korean trade and FDI relationship undoubtedly further substantiates such a claim.  Surprisingly, relations between North Korea and China are more often based on a market-economy logic, although this only holds true for trade flows and not FDI flows.  The Probability of change through trade appears still very limited.

Lastly, the role the European Union may play in the region remains very much an open question but the margin of maneuver is limited.  Given the state of play described earlier, it would be extremely naive to believe that a European engagement strategy vis-à-vis the DPRK could contribute to economic change.  In addition the country’s lack of attractiveness for potential investors is a further obstacle.  However, the persistent uncertainty and the lack of visibility over the political and economic evolution of the DPRK should not deter European investment in the region and, far to the contrary, should provide a strong incentive to closely monitor the economic moves made in Pyongyang.

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GPI hosting May DPRK business delegation

Tuesday, April 13th, 2010

According to GPI:

In the current financial and economic situation, companies face many challenges. They must cut costs, develop new products and find new markets. In these fields, North-Korea might be an interesting option. Since a few years, it is opening its doors to foreign enterprises. The labor costs are the lowest of Asia, and its skilled labor is of a high quality. It established free trade zones to attract foreign investors and there are several sectors, including textile industry, agro business, shipbuilding, logistics, mining and Information Technology that can be considered for trade and investment.
  
European Business Mission to Pyongyang: May 2010
In order to explore these business opportunities, we will organize again a business mission to North-Korea (15-22 May). We will also visit the annual Pyongyang Spring International Trade Fair (see photo). This fair can be used by European companies to come in contact with potential buyers and suppliers in North-Korea. Information abouth both events has been attached. In case this date is not convenient for you, individual business trips are possible as well. Later this year, another trade mission will visit Pyongyang from 11-18 September. 
       
With best regards, Paul Tjia (director)  
GPI Consultancy, P.O. Box 26151, 3002 ED Rotterdam, The Netherlands
E-mail: [email protected]
Tel: +31-10-4254172 
Fax: +31-10-4254317
Website: www.gpic.nl

Here is the program flyer (PDF) 

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DPRK to seize Kumgang assets this week

Sunday, April 11th, 2010

UPDATE: According to Yonhap:

North Korea has told four employees at a South Korean-run mountain resort to leave the communist nation within 24 hours as part of measures to freeze Seoul-held assets there, sources here said Tuesday.

The North has also sealed the key holes of entrances to five facilities and has pasted keep-out stickers, they said. The facilities were built and run by the South Korean government and its state tourism agency.

The workers, ethnic Koreans from China, had been overseeing the maintenance of a family reunion center at Mount Kumgang. The other facilities subject to Tuesday’s asset freeze included a duty free shop run by Seoul’s Korea Tourism Organization.

The North’s measures were seen as an attempt to increase pressure on Seoul to resume a joint tourism program to the mountain resort that had been an important source of foreign currency for the impoverished nation.

Officials in Seoul earlier said the freezing of assets will have little actual impact as the facilities have hardly been in use since the cross-border tours to Mount Kumgang were suspended in 2008.

Still, the measure symbolizes Pyongyang’s anger over Seoul’s refusal to resume the lucrative project that had earned the regime millions of dollars a year. It also suggests that stronger steps, such as asset confiscations, could come if the South keeps refusing.

On Tuesday morning, North Korean officials began carrying out the measure, a source said without giving any specifics.

“We will respond after we see what the freezing measure will involve,” an official in Seoul said.

The tours, which began in 1998, had been a prominent symbol of reconciliation between the rival states that are still technically at war after the 1950-53 Korean War ended in a ceasefire, not a peace treaty. Nearly two million South Koreans had visited the scenic mountain.

South Korea suspended the program in 2008 after one of its citizens was shot dead by a North Korean guard after entering a restricted area near the resort. Seoul has demanded a state-to-state guarantee of tourist safety as well as a joint on-site probe into the death before the tours can resume.

North Korea says it did everything to assure tourist safety in a deal that leader Kim Jong-il struck with the head of the tour’s main South Korean organizer, Hyundai Asan, last year.

South Korea has protested the North’s decision to freeze the five facilities which include a family reunion center, a fire station and a duty free shop.

Despite threats from the North, the government of South Korean President Lee Myung-bak has shown no signs of backing down. It also rejected the North’s demand that Seoul officials come to the resort to attend the asset freeze, and warned it would hold the North responsible if it causes any damage to resort facilities.

Since taking office in early 2008, Lee halted unconditional aid to the North, linking its resumption to progress North Korea makes in ending its nuclear weapons programs.

Amid the lack of aid from the South, North Korea’s economic troubles have deepened in the wake of fresh U.N. sanctions imposed after Pyongyang’s nuclear test last year, and the regime’s failed currency reform that worsened inflation and food shortages.

Here are some press releases from the Ministry of Unification: Statement 1, Statement 2.

ORIGINAL POST: According to the Associated Press:

North Korea informed South Korea that it will begin quitting a joint tourism project in the communist country this week, officials said Sunday, in another setback to relations between the countries.

North Korea said Thursday that it would freeze some South Korean assets at scenic Diamond Mountain, expel South Koreans working at the site and restart the stalled project with a new partner.

A day later, the North told the South that it will carry out the plan Tuesday, starting with the freezing of the South Korean government-owned assets that include a reunion center for families separated by the Korean War, according to Seoul’s Unification Ministry.

It was not clear when the North would expel South Korean personnel, according to Hyundai Asan, the resort’s South Korean tour operator that relayed the North’s plan to the South Korean government.

The North said it would freeze assets at the site while South Korean officials were in attendance, but the South has no intention of sending officials to comply with the North’s request, ministry spokeswoman Lee Jong-joo said.

South Korea halted tours to the mountain resort on North Korea’s east coast in July 2008 after a South Korean tourist was fatally shot after allegedly entering a restricted military area next to the resort.

The North had recently expressed its willingness to restart the tours, a legitimate source of hard currency for the impoverished regime. But South Korea said the North must first accept a joint investigation into the shooting death.

North Korea’s decision to quit the tour project “is the inevitable consequence entailed by the moves of the South Korean authorities to escalate the confrontation with fellow countrymen,” the North’s government-run Minju Joson newspaper said in a commentary carried by the official Korean Central News Agency on Sunday.

Relations between the two Koreas have worsened since a conservative Seoul government took office in early 2008 with a pledge to get tough with the North.

But North Korea has tried to reach out to Washington and Seoul since last summer in an about-face that analysts and officials say shows the North feels the pain of U.N. sanctions adopted to punish it for its nuclear test in May.

The DPRK wants South Korean officials present for the occasion, but the South has refused.  According to the the AFP:

Seoul on Sunday rejected Pyongyang’s demand that South Korean officials come to a North Korean resort where the communist regime is about to freeze South Korean assets, worsening bilateral ties.

North Korea wants South Korean officials present on Tuesday when it freezes the assets, Seoul’s unification ministry spokesman Chun Hae-Sung said.

However Seoul will not comply with the summons, he said.

The North last week threatened to freeze assets at the Mount Kumgang resort after pressing Seoul in vain to lift its ban on tours to North Korea, which once earned the impoverished state tens of millions of dollars a year.

The North also declared its cross-border tour business deal with South Korean firm Hyundai Asan void, threatening to find a new partner to replace it and to expel some South Korean personnel.

Seoul suspended the cross-border tours in July 2008 after North Korean soldiers shot dead a South Korean housewife who strayed into a military zone.

South Korea demands firm agreements on the safety of visitors, a joint investigation into the shooting and the North’s apology for the killing.

The North says it has already given safety guarantees.

The latest tit-for-tat reflects the deterioration in relations since the South’s conservative government took office in 2008 and took a tougher line with Pyongyang, linking economic cooperation with the North to progress on its nuclear disarmament.

The North’s official Minju Joson newspaper said Sunday the collapsing tour deal “is the inevitable consequence entailed by the moves of the South Korean authorities to escalate the confrontation with fellow countrymen.”

It accused Seoul of overturning previous agreements on resuming the tours, which began in 1998.

Nearly two million South Koreans had travelled to the North in the past decade, earning it some 487 million dollars.

North Korea is also suffering economically from tougher sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council since Pyongyang’s second nuclear test in 2009.

It says it will freeze five Seoul-owned assets — a family reunion centre, a fire station, a culture centre, a spa and a duty free shop — in the Mount Kumgang resort, but did not specify how, Seoul officials said Sunday.

The South has urged the North to reverse its decision, saying the communist state is breaching business contracts and international norms.

Pyongyang also threatens to re-examine an industrial park with the South at Kaesong just north of the border.

Some 42,000 North Koreans work at 110 South Korean-funded plants at Kaesong, which like Kumgang is a valuable source of scarce hard currency for the North.

Here is a link to previous Kumgang stories.

Read the full story here:
NKorea to start quitting joint tour this week
Associated Press
Kim Hyung-Jin
4/11/2010

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Scott Snyder on Rason

Monday, April 5th, 2010

Scott Snyder wrote a good piece on recent developents in Rason fo rthe Jamestown Foundation’s China Brief:

The Rajin-Sonbong region in North Korea (also known as Rason following a 2004 administrative reorganization by central authorities) is an underdeveloped backwater near the far northeastern tip of the Korean peninsula bordering Jilin province of China and Primorsky Krai of Russia. Although the area is far from the nerve center of the North Korean regime, Pyongyang, Rajin-Sonbong has strategic significance as the northern-most year-round ice free port in Northeast Asia and therefore is an attractive geostrategic transit point for the shipment of goods to landlocked Northeastern China and the Russian Far East. For this reason, recent reports of new Russian and Chinese investment deals following a rare personal visit by North Korea’s supreme leader, Kim Jong Il, to Rajin-Sonbong in December of last year merit closer scrutiny.

Rajin-Sonbong has been the focal point of periodic efforts by Pyongyang to experiment with economic reforms since it named the area a free economic trade zone in late 1991. At that time, the Rajin port was an essential piece of a UN-sponsored regional development effort known as the Tumen River Area Development Project (TRADP)—which encompasses areas within China, Mongolia, Russia and South Korea—but the project never attracted sufficient international investment to take off. The spotlight returned to Rajin-Sonbong briefly in 1996 when North Korea sponsored an investor forum there in an attempt to stir up interest in a revamped set of investment laws for the region, but few investors came and North Korea’s famine later that year diverted attention away from the effort. 

(more…)

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Pramod Mittal eyes stake in DPRK mines

Sunday, April 4th, 2010

According to the Economic Times of India:

Pramod Mittal, the younger sibling of steel tycoon LN Mittal and head of Global Steel Holdings, is negotiating with the North Korean government for a stake in the country’s Musan Iron Ore mines, estimated to hold reserves of more than seven billion tonnes. The move by Global Steel is aimed more at accessing the mineral resource, as the ore is in sharp demand with steelmakers expanding capacity and iron ore miners moving to a quarterly price regime to meet growing markets in Asia and Africa.

Mr Mittal, who is chairman of Global Steel, a closely-held company of the Mohan Lal Mittal family, had visited Pyongyang last week to talk to senior government officials to work out the modalities of a share of Musan’s reserves. The ML Mittal family consists of elder son LN Mittal, Pramod Mittal and younger brother Vinod Mittal, who looks after the Mumbai-based Ispat Industries. When contacted, Pramod Mittal declined to comment. “Our visit to North Korea is to further business interests. We are not looking for any stake in Musan,” he told ET .

According to people familiar with the development, Global Steel could likely be negotiating with Pyongyang for development rights to Musan for a fixed peiod, where Global Steel would do the mining and get to buy an agreed portion of the reserves. Typically, in the mining industry, such development rights are for a long term period of 20 to 50 years.

Global Steel, which is registered in the tax haven Isle of Man, has steelmaking operations in Bulgaria and Nigeria and a 20-year management contract to operate Zimbabwe Iron & Steel. Although Global Steel has a small steelmaking capacity of just more than 2 million tonnes, iron ore from Musan would not be used for Global Steel’s operations. Global Steel also owns two coal blocks in Mozambique where ArcelorMittal, controlled by elder brother LN Mittal, also has coal mines. While the Mittal family has maintained that Global Steel has no link to ArcelorMittal, the world’s largest steel company has been reportedly keen on Global Steel’s assets.

Two years ago, North Korea had granted development rights on Musan to China’s Tonghua Iron & Steel Group for a period of 50 years. However, Pyongyang recently terminated that agreement without offering any reason. People connected with the issue said Global Steel is negotiating with Musan on the amount of investment needed for developing the mines and also on building infrastructure, which is integral to any mining activity.

While the talks with Pyongyang is at an initial stage, under the previous agreement with Tonghua, the Chinese company had reportedly agreed to put in about 7 billion yuan, and had also planned to produce 10 million tonnes of iron ore each year. Of the total investment, about $240 million was for building roads and railways from Musan to Tonghua in China. The Musan iron ore mines are close to the Chinese border. The secretive North Korean government has recently been sending out feelers to global mining companies for developing its vast mineral deposits, said to contain one of the world’s largest reserves, closely rivalling Brazil.

The Musan Mine is the DPRK’s largest and satellite imagery of it can be seen here.

Here is a story about Tonghua’s Musan deal

Read the full story here:
Pramod Mittal eyes stake in North Korea’s Musan mines
The Economic Times
MV Ramsurya
4/5/2010

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Jin Hualin, Yanbian University, on Chinese investment in DPRK.

Sunday, April 4th, 2010

Jin Hualin, dean of the College of Economics and Management at Yanbian University, talks about Chinese investment in Rason in China’s Global Times.  Here is an excerpt:

GT: If China does continue to rent Rajin harbor for another 10 years, what will the effects be?

Jin: China has reached an agreement to rent a pier at Rajin Port for another decade. A Dalian-based Chinese company has invested 26 million yuan ($3.8 million) in the reconstruction of Rajin Port No.1 Pier. Park also said that China may enjoy more favorable conditions there, such as more berths.

I think Chinese companies’ participation is good for promoting the North Korean economy and building logistical infrastructure in the area, which is beneficial to China, North Korea and the Northeast Asian countries.

When the Sino-Mongolia route is finished, raw materials and natural resources from Mongolia can be shipped to Japan and South Korea via Rajin harbor, and then China’s northeastern regions and North Korea can both benefit.

GT: What should China do to promote Northeast Asian cooperation and devel-opment?

Jin: I suggest Chinese governments at all levels consider the following issues. They should accelerate trade and tourism and build cooperation on logistics, and support Chinese companies going global and investing in North Korea.

Actually, China now has many companies capable of investing abroad. The point is foreign countries’ investment environment.

We should strengthen cooperation on education with North Korean universities and colleges, sending students to study there and exploring research in new areas together.

We can also strengthen regional cooperation. We can designate China’s Hunchun city and North Korea’s Rason city as pilot cities and permit China’s commercial banks to open yuan-based accounts in Rason’s commercial banks.

Relations between Northeast Asian countries are subtle and complicated because of geopolitical contradictions, different political systems, the influence of the Cold War, historical issues, territorial disputes and sentiments caused by historical and territorial issues.

Mutual distrust fundamentally hinders cooperation. China needs to take the responsibility to promote regional cooperation and make it institutionalized and legally guaranteed as soon as possible.

GT: How do you evaluate the political and economic risks for Chinese companies going into North Korea? What advantages do Chinese companies have?

Jin: There are always political and economic risks involved in trade between different countries. The first major solution is to establish a mutual investment guarantee agreement, so that the two countries’ economic cooperation will be protected legally.

We hope that North Korea can keep the stability and consistency of its policies and issue development policies that is in line with international conventions. As long as North Korea adopts consistent policies, Chinese companies won’t encounter great political and economic risks there.

China and North Korea are believed to enjoy good mutual trust. China has experience from its reform and opening-up and plenty of investment capability. North Korea has a good educational foundation, low labor costs, and rich natural resources.

Chinese companies are active participants in investing in North Korea and I believe they’ll do well there.

Read the full interview here. Hat tip to Adam.

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DPRK-PRC plan two more Yalu River dams

Sunday, April 4th, 2010

UPDATE: According to Michael Rank:

Two power stations are under construction on the Yalu river between China and North Korea, a Chinese website reports.

They are both small plants with an installed capacity of 40,000 kilowatts and both are situated near the border town of Ji’an 集安 in southwestern Jilin province, near the border with Liaoning.

The dams are set to be finished in 2013. Negotiations concerning construction have been protracted: a preliminary agreement was reached in July 2004, followed by a further agreement in August 2008 and a final accord last January.

The Wangjianglou or Lintu 望江楼(林土)dam will be based on the Chinese side of the river with investment totalling 600 million yuan ($88 million), while the Wenyue or Changchuan 文岳(长川)dam will be based on the North Korean side with investment put at $500 million ($73 million). The report did not say how power, or costs, would be shared between the two countries.

A ceremony marking the beginning of construction was held on March 31, attended by North Korean vice-minister of electricity industry Kim Man-su and Jilin vice-governor Chen Weigen.

The plants will each produce 154 million kilowatt-hours per year. The Wangjianglou dam is 397 metres long and 16 metres high, while Wenyue is 602.7 metres long and 15.5 metres high. They are 36 and 24 km from Ji’an, respectively and are 1.5 and 5.5 km from North Korean railway stations (Rinto린토 and Mun’ak 문악 – these are the Korean names of the dams).

These dams are very small scale compared with the world’s largest dams, which run into thousands of megawatts (440 kW is just 0.44 MW).

ORIGINAL POST: According to the AFP:

China and North Korea will build two hydro-electric dams on the Yalu River that marks their border, Chinese state media reported on Thursday.

The dams will cost a total of 1.1 billion yuan (161 million dollars) and generate a combined 308 million kilowatt hours of electricity when completed, China Central Television reported.

The announcement came amid reports that North Korean leader Kim Jong-Il would soon visit China in a trip that could revive talks on ending Pyongyang’s nuclear drive.

Xinhua news agency said one dam would be built at Wangjianglou in China’s northeastern Jilin province and the other at Changchuan.

Electricity from the dams would help “drive economic growth in Jilin and North Korea,” it added.

It was not immediately clear how the two sides would share the cost of the projects or the electricity.

Construction would begin this year.

North Korea, desperately poor after decades of isolation and Stalinist economic policies, is heavily dependent on China for trade and aid.

South Korea’s government said this week there was a “high level of possibility” that Kim would pay a visit to China, the reclusive regime’s closest ally.

The South’s Yonhap news agency cited diplomatic sources saying he might leave for China as early as Thursday or Friday.

China’s foreign ministry declined to confirm the reports.

After an October visit to Pyongyang by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, Kim said his nation would rejoin the six-nation denuclearisation talks which the North stormed out of in April of last year.

The talks group hosts China, the two Koreas, Japan, the United States, and Russia.

Adam Cathcart offers a translation of the Xinhua dispatch:

中朝两国在鸭绿江新合建的两座水电站开工   // China and North Korea to Begin Construction on Two New Shared Hydroelectric Plants

Huanqiu Shibao, April 2, 2010 [translated by Adam Cathcart]

新华网吉林频道3月31日电(记者李双溪)31日, 中国与朝鲜在界河鸭绿江上共同建设的两座水电站开工。这两座电站总投资为11亿元人民币 ,建成后年发电量达3.08亿千瓦时。其中,望江楼(朝鲜称林土)电站计划投资6亿元,发电厂位于中方一侧,电站主要由混凝土重力坝、泄水闸、电站厂房及变电站等部分组成。On Jilin’s newschannel on 31 March, Xinhua’s reporter Li Shuangxi broadcast that China and North Korea would start joint construction on two hydropower plants in the border areas of the Yalu River. Investment on these two power plants will total 1.1 billion yuan, and the year after completion, they are projected to have a power generation capacity of 308 million kilowatts.  Among these plants are the Wangjiang Station (called Lintu by the Koreans), which is slated for 6oo million RMB of investment.   The power plant on the Chinese side will be a concrete gravity dam with a sluice gate and substation components.

[Lots of details follow on dam dimensions, projected electric output…It seems clear that China will bear all of the cost, though.]
2004年7月中朝双方审查通过了两座电站的初步设计,2006年中国有关部门批准了建设方案。2010年1月,双方在朝鲜签署了《中朝建设鸭绿江望江楼和文岳电站第九次会议纪要》,一致同意两电站开工建设。 In July 2004, China and the DPRK jointly reviewed the preliminary design of the two power stations.   In 2006, the Chinese authorities approved the construction plan.  In  January 2010, the two sides signed an agreement in North Korea known as the “Minutes of the Ninth Meeting on Sino-North Korean Construction of Yalu River Dams at Wangjianglou and Wenbing,” in which it was agreed to commence with the construction of the two power stations.

发源于长白山主峰、总长约795公里鸭绿江水能资源丰富,流经过吉林省和辽宁省。 目前在吉林省境内中朝双方已建有云峰、渭源两座水电站。 望江楼、文岳电站将成为双方共同受益的水电站,对开发鸭绿江、拉动吉林省和朝鲜的经济增长将起到积极的促进作用。Originating in the main peak of the Changbai Mountain range, with a total length of 795 km, the Yalu River is a rich resource flowing through Jilin and Liaoning provinces.  Currently, on the borders of Jilin Province, China and the DPRK have already built two jointly benefitted-from hydropower plants called Yunfeng and Weiyuan.  The Wangjianglou and Wenbing power stations will be built for of mutual benefit, developing the Yalu River, driving forward continued economic development between Jilin province and North Korea, playing a positive role.

I am not sure where these dams are going just yet.  The DPRK and China already share 4 dams across the Yalu. Here are satellite images of them (Dam 1, Dam 2, Dam 3, Dam 4).  Unfortunately I do not know the names of most of them, but Dam 2 is now known as the Suphung Dam.  It used to be called the Suiho Dam and it was bombed during the Korean war:

Read the full story here:
China, N.Korea plan Yalu hydropower dams: reports
AFP
4/1/2010

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DPRK looking to greater Chinese investment

Thursday, April 1st, 2010

According tot he Washington Post:

Squeezed by food shortages and financial sanctions, North Korean leader Kim Jong Il appears to be reaching out to China and Chinese investors in a way that could mark an extraordinary opening in the insular nation’s shuttered economy.

Kim might soon travel to China, according to the office of South Korea’s president and U.S. officials. They cited preparations that appear to be underway in the Chinese border city of Dandong and in Beijing. The Chinese Foreign Ministry said Thursday it does not have information on whether Kim will visit China.

“The North is now planning to open foreign-owned factories not just in closed-off special economic zones, but in major cities like Nampo and Wonsan,” Lim said. Until now, the government has confined nearly all foreign business operations to sealed-off economic zones, such as Kaesong near the South Korean border. “The military is closely cooperating with the State Development Bank to try to increase foreign investment.”

Although the repressive power of the army and security forces remains strong, the North’s command-style economy is a ruin. There were unconfirmed reports of starvation deaths in some areas this winter.

Kim, 68, and showing the effects of a 2008 stroke, is in the early stages of handing power over to his untested 27-year-old son, Kim Jong Eun. But the legitimacy of the succession — and of the state itself — is being weakened by the growth of the markets and increased public access to foreign media.Refugee surveys show that many North Koreans blame Kim’s government for food shortages, corruption and incompetence.

In South Korea and China, there is widespread skepticism about North Korea’s willingness to create modern banking systems and enforce laws that allow foreign companies to operate under standardized accounting rules.

Companies that have invested in North Korean mineral ventures have complained for years of corruption and outright theft by the government.

Read the full story here:
Overtures to China may signal opening of North Korea’s economy
Washington Post
Blaine Harden
4/2/2010

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