North Korean Economy Watch

From the BBC:

North Korea has unveiled the terms under which foreign investors will be lured to a ground-breaking industrial zone near the tense border with South Korea.

Two South Korean companies – Korean Land and an arm of the Hyundai conglomerate – are developing an international business park in Kaesong, part of a package of cautious economic reforms in the Stalinist country.

So far, more than 1,000 South Korean firms have enquired about setting up shop in Kaesong, where labour costs will be a tiny fraction of those south of the border.

The North Korean Government now promises investors favourable tax rates, but there are still considerable concerns over whether it will allow businesses much economic freedom.

Most of the companies so far interested in Kaesong are in light manufacturing, particularly textiles.

Depending on their line of business, these firms will be taxed at up to 14%, less than half the rate levied in the South.

Pyongyang is, however, especially keen to lure hi-tech firms, which will be subject to a tax rate of just 10%.

Investors will have to pay a number of other smaller levies, and must adhere to a minimum monthly wage of $50.

Such incentives have sparked a flurry of interest in the South, but many companies remain wary.

They will be forced to hire workers through a North Korean state agency whose powers and attitude remain unclear.

And there is still little confidence in the fundamental stability of North Korea, which has turned to economic reform in recent years, but which remains virulently opposed to most forms of foreign influence.

The Kaesong development does, however, seem to be a relatively permanent arrangement.

It forms part of a large-scale construction project in the region, which is just 50 kilometres northwest of Seoul.

Elsewhere the focus is on tourism, especially scenic Mount Kumgang on the country’s east coast, which Hyundai has been trying to develop for five years, with mixed success.

There is also a Unification Park, which will be the venue for reunions of families split by the country’s division.

Most significant are major road and rail developments which mark the first time the two rival countries have re-established transport links since the end of the Korean war in 1953.

BBC
6/25/2003

Two top aides to South Korean former President Kim Dae-jung have been charged following an inquiry into a cash for summit scandal which preceded an historic inter-Korean meeting three years ago.

Park Jie-won, Mr Kim’s presidential chief of staff, and Lim Dong-won, the former head of South Korea’s spy agency, were among more than eight people charged as a result of a 70-day probe by independent counsel Song Doo-hwan.

Mr Song’s investigation found that $100m of the $500m transferred by Seoul to North Korea ahead of the 2000 summit was government money.

The inquiry was ordered by incumbent South Korean President, Roh Moo-hyun, after the scandal first surfaced during last year’s presidential election.

Kim Dae-jung has already apologised to the nation for the advance payment to the North, but denied the government itself had made any payments.

Mr Song said that while $400m of the money belonged to Hyundai, and was intended for legitimate business investment in North Korea, $100m was sent by Seoul as “politically motivated government aid”.

He stopped short of saying the government money was a bribe, but said the donation was clearly related to the summit and had been sent secretly through improper channels.

Mr Kim, who left office this February after a five-year tenure, was given the Nobel Peace Prize largely as a result of the historic inter-Korean summit.

He has argued that the money transfers “facilitated peace on the Korean Peninsula”.

But opposition politicians have continued to demand a more thorough enquiry into the matter.

Charges

One of the officials charged in connection with the scandal, former Culture and Tourism Minister Park Jie-won, met North Korean officials in April 2000 to arrange the June summit, according to Mr Song’s inquiry.

During the meeting, Mr Park pledged $100m to Pyongyang, which he later persuaded Hyundai to transfer, Mr Song said.

Lim Dong-won, former director of the National Intelligence Service, is accused of violating laws on foreign exchange transactions.

Chung Mong-hun, the chairman of Hyundai Asan, has also been charged in connection with the falsification of financial documents in order to cover up the payments to Pyongyang.

At least five others have been charged in connection with the case – some of whom could face up to five years in jail, according to the Associated Press news agency.

Mr Roh has vetoed a call by the South Korean opposition that the probe be extended to investigate the role of former President Kim Dae-jung himself.

From the New York Times
James Brooke
March 3, 2003 

As the Pentagon studies moving tons of military hardware within striking range of North Korea, some say the weapon most feared by the Stalinist government there may be a disposable radio the size of a cigarette pack.

“Little throwaway radios, you listen, you throw away — the smaller the better, the more disposable, the better,” said Pastor Douglas E. Shin, a Korean-American human rights activist who advocates smuggling thousands of tiny radios capable of receiving foreign broadcasts into the North.

The radio smuggling is part of a growing public and private effort, including foreign radio broadcasts, to crack an information monopoly in the North that has helped keep the Kim family in power for nearly 60 years. So tight is the information blackout that defectors report that they believed that their country — one of the world’s poorest — was wealthier than South Korea and that the United States donated rice as a form of tribute to the powerful Communist state.

In January, in a bid to emulate the experience of East Europeans in the cold war, Radio Free Asia and Voice of America doubled their hours of Korean-language broadcasting into North Korea. In February, Radio Free Asia joined Voice of America in broadcasting into North Korea on medium wave, a bandwidth accessible with cheap AM radios.

But the first challenge, skeptics note, is that few people in the North have the radios — or the courage — to listen to foreign broadcasts, something that advocates of the tiny disposable radio say they are determined to change.

Under threat of severe penalties, the vast majority of North Korea’s 22 million people are not allowed any contact with the outside world — letters, telephone calls, travel, radio or television programs.

All citizens are required to register their radios with the local police. On registration, foreign-made radios are tuned to the state radio frequency, soldered into place, and sealed. The police then make unannounced inspections of households with foreign-made radios to verify that they have not been tampered with.

“A lot of people in the White House believe the Iron Curtain came down because U.S. government radio supplied the information that created the Velvet Revolution,” said an American diplomat here, referring to Czechoslovakia’s revolt against Communism. “But in the case of North Korea, is it the sound of one hand clapping? Is it getting in there?”

Advocates of smuggling radios into the North, mostly human rights and Christian church groups, say their effort is aimed at ensuring that someone is indeed listening. Even if only a tiny elite tune in, they say, the effect can be powerful.

“The populace will suffer a kind of psychological collapse when they learn what has been done to them and what the real world is really like,” predicted Radek Sikorski, who grew up listening to Voice of America and Radio Free Europe in communist Poland and now works at the American Enterprise Institute.

“Control of information,” he said, “is absolutely crucial to the survival of this regime because the system is based on lies.”

In a recent manifesto , Mr. Sikorski joined 16 American policy makers in demanding that the Bush administration tie talks with North Korea over its nuclear weapons program to an opening on human rights, including freer information.

Citing the impact of the Helsinki Agreement of 1975 in undermining the Soviet Union and its East European allies, the group called for “significantly expanding the current, scandalously inadequate Korean-language Radio Free Asia broadcasts.”

Already, in a small office rented on the seventh floor of a Seoul newspaper building, Radio Free Asia broadcasters try to bring to North Koreans four hours of news a day.

“North Korean people are not told the truth, so somehow we have to be surrogates, to tell them what is going on,” said Ahn Jae Hoon, who was born in Pyongyang, North Korea, and became director of the Korean branch of Radio Free Asia in 1997, after 26 years at The Washington Post.

The reports are clearly aimed at undermining the leadership of Kim Jong Il. Some broadcasts report on food and power shortages, others on the image of North Korea as isolated and weak abroad. Still other reports discuss military dissatisfaction and coup attempts in the 1990’s, and the fact that Mr. Kim insists that all soldiers be disarmed before he visits a military unit.

The radio also gives practical information for defectors — how to contact missionary groups in northern China, how to dress and behave to escape arrest and deportation to North Korea.

In contrast, under Seoul’s “sunshine policy” of reconciliation, South Korea’s state-owned Korean Broadcasting Service increasingly airs programs intended not to provoke the North and to promote peaceful coexistence on the peninsula.

On Saturday at a national park near Kosung, North Korea, two park guides spoke dismissively of foreign broadcasts. “Why would we want to listen to radio from the South? No one is stopping us from listening, but we don’t want to anyway,” said Kim Dong Chul, 31. “The music is not our style and the news is not for us. It’s for the people in Seoul.” Another guide, a 26-year-old man who declined to be identified, said, “I don’t have enough time in a day to listen to our radio, and then to listen to radio meant for other people.”

The guides are largely chosen for their political loyalties, because they come in contact with large numbers of South Korean tourists.

Backers of foreign broadcasts, however, say more and more North Koreans are finding ways to tune in.

As trade with China increases and radio prices fall, some North Koreans now buy two radios, but register only one with the police, defectors say. In a country wracked by power shortages, government jamming is spotty. Also, some North Koreans dare to tinker with state-supplied radios, defectors add.

Still, for now, foreign broadcasting is largely limited to North Korea’s elite.

In 1999, Mr. Ahn said, a survey commissioned by Radio Free Asia found that one of 12 “elite” defectors polled had listened to Radio Free Asia. A similar survey in 2001 found that the proportion had risen to 6 of 12.

from the BBC:

The BBC’s Kevin Kim joined the first overland tourist trip to North Korea, and reflects on his journey to the other side of the border.

“I was on board one of 20 buses that crossed the DMZ for the first time.

As a South Korean it felt really strange, because up to now we were strictly forbidden from getting near to the DMZ.

The mountains on the North Korean side looked totally different from the mountains on the South Korean side.

It was very barren. There were hardly any trees.

North Korea is in an energy crisis right now and every single tree is put to good use, for heating.

The South Korean guide told us that while travelling through the DMZ we must not take pictures, wave outside, or show any South Korean newspapers or magazines through the window.

I guess that is why everyone on the bus was talking in a very soft voice.

Every few hundred metres there were North Korean soldiers with their rifles just looking on as the buses went by.

I was really tempted to just open the window and say “hello” or “nice to see you”.

But I had been told by my South Korean guide that I could open the window but I could not say anything to them.

Like the words of the South Korean song, “Longing for Mount Kumgang”, getting to North Korea and seeing its natural beauty has been something that people in the South could only long for until now.

Unification, too, is something that Koreans have only dreamed about.

But having travelled through the most heavily fortified border in the world, I began to think that while unification in the Korean peninsula may seem impossible right away, it does not have to stay as a dream.

Who knows, in 20 years time we might actually be seeing the fences coming down.

It is wishful thinking. But Koreans are natural born optimists. ”

Also from the BBC:

The overland border between the two Koreas has opened for the first time since the Korean war ended half a century ago. The BBC’s Seoul correspondent Caroline Gluck was among the first to cross.

Fanfare, fireworks and balloons greeted us at a ceremony on the South Korean border, as we prepared to journey through the world’s most heavily fortified road border to the North.

This is the first land route for civilians since the end of the Korean war half a century ago.

The pilot journey is due to pave the way for regular overland tourist trips to the North’s scenic resort of Mount Kumgang, or Diamond Mountain – which has been developed by the South Korean company Hyundai Asan.

Hyundai Asan’s president, Kim Yoon-Kyu, described the trip as a historic moment.

“I can compare it to breaking the wall between East and West Germany,” he said.

Opening the border was also one of the ways to reduce tensions between North and South Korea, he said.

“I’m going to persuade (the North Koreans) not to have any nuclear power. We need money. Money is better than nuclear power,” he said.

At the demilitarized zone, there was a razor wire fence on either side, and signs warning that landmines were present.

When we reached the military demarcation line, I could see the first North Korean soldiers watch the convoy – around 20 buses in all.

All around me I could see the mountains covered in snow.

It is a barren landscape but quite beautiful. Many believe that if the two Koreas reunify, it should be turned into an ecological zone.

On the North Korean side, a welcoming committee with a female brass band was waiting for us, playing the North Korean song Pangap-sumnida, or Nice to Meet You.

Around 150 North Koreans took part in the ceremony to welcome their southern counterparts.

Ro Chang hyup, a North Korean tourist official, said it was an important step forward in inter-Korean exchanges.

“This is a first step towards unification. It is helping to break the ice and I really welcome our south Korean brothers.”

Ri Jong-hyok, deputy head of the North’s Asia-Pacific Peace Committee which handles the North’s joint ventures with South Korea, said: “People are here for tourism. Why are you talking about nuclear issues? I get a headache when people talk about that”.

Bang Jong-Sam, head of the Mount Kumgang international tourism company, had a similar message.

“We don’t have nuclear weapons. Let the crazy people say whatever they want. All we have to do is to continue tourism,” he said.

Since 1988, when tours by cruise boat to Diamond Mountain began, around half a million South Koreans have travelled to the area.

For most, it is their only chance to visit the Communist North. They come to explore the peaks of the fabled mountain – immortalised in songs, paintings and poetry.

Fenced-in resort

But contacts between the two Koreans at the resort is limited.

The Hyundai-built tourism site is fenced in, and North Korean guides are on hand to monitor all movements.

You can catch glimpses of North Korean villages and people travelling on roads only allowed for locals – but most visible are the soldiers.

A group of around 40 soldiers marched by our tour group, singing the praises of their leader, Kim Jong-il.

He’s our great commander, they said.

“His love is like the sun, reaching out to every corner.”

If the project is aimed at breaking down barriers between the two Koreas, there is clearly a long way to go.

But some ventures, like a locally run restaurant open only to South Koreans, at least help to allow more contact between the two sides.

“I’m sure unification will come,” said my waitress.

“It’s really good that so many South Koreans are coming here. I’m proud to work here – and I welcome them.”

Projects like this and the opening of the cross-border road between the two Koreas are full of symbolism.

But, in practice, it is clear that there is still a long way to go before the two sides can freely mingle.

BBC
2/3/2003

South Korean prosecutors have decided to scrap their investigation into payments made to North Korea prior to its summit with the South in 2000.

A spokesman for the prosecutors office said the investigation was being stopped in the “national interest”.

The move follows a plea from South Korean President Kim Dae-Jung, who asked prosecutors to drop the case to allow the matter to be settled in parliament.

The decision is likely to anger opposition politicians, who have accused Mr Kim’s government of being behind the money transfer, in order to gain from the summit politically.

Money transfer

The dispute centres on payments made to North Korea by the multinational conglomerate Hyundai shortly before the summit.

On 31 January investigators said the company had secretly transferred $200m to the communist North just a week before the landmark meeting.

Hyundai had borrowed the money from a South Korean state-controlled bank.

Opposition members claim the money was given as “payment” to the North for attending the summit – at the request of President Kim Dae-jung’s government.

The summit increased Mr Kim’s international standing, and contributed to his being awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2000.

North-South ties

On Monday President-elect Roh Moo-hyun backed Mr Kim’s appeal for a “political” settlement to the dispute.

Mr Roh “wants details of the scandal to be brought to light, but it would be better to let the National Assembly decide how to resolve the dispute,” his spokesman Lee Nak-yon said.

But the main opposition Grand National Party has said it will push for a formal investigation.

“The only way of cleansing the sin of deceiving the people is to confess frankly and apologize sincerely,” said Park Hee-tae, acting chief of the opposition.

The Hyundai group has done much to encourage links between North and South Korea.

But it has been badly affected by a joint venture tourism project with North Korea, and insisted it used the state-issued loan to improve its financial position.

Mr Kim, who has previously denied knowing about Hyundai’s dealings with the North, appeared to acknowledge them on Thursday when his spokeswoman said that the money was justified “if (it) was spent on promoting South-North economic co-operation”.

“The unique nature of South-North relations has forced me to make numerous tough decisions as the head of state,” Park Sun-Sook quoted him as saying.

From the Washington Post

Flow of money, goods frustrates US drive to tighten isolation

Doug Struck

February 3, 2003

Once a month, Hiroshi Yano bundles together a few million yen, wraps the money in plastic with a Japanese customs seal, and put it on a ship to be handed over at sea to a boat captain from North Korea and delivered to the Stalinist government there.

It’s all legal: The money is payment for North Korean snow crabs that Yano imports for Japanese tables.  And Yano said he wants to continue the business, nukes or no nukes.

“We are just a private company doing trade.  We are independent of politics,” said Yano, manager of an import business that runs three ships to North Korean waters from this port town 350 miles west of Tokyo.

The payments are just one example of the many flows of money and goods that prop up the North Korean system and circumvent the isolation that the US and other countries have sought to impose.

The Bush administration’s strategy to tighten that isolation and compel North Korea to dismantle its nuclear weapons program may be undermined by the complexity and number of trade routes that snake in and out of North Korea.

The trade ranges from the global export of missiles to lone Korean smugglers who wade the river border into China to barter for their food.  It includes products as legal and innocuous as Yano’s snow crabs and as dangerous as smuggled drugs delivered to Japan’s coast line by unmarked ships.

[But each year] North Korea makes missile sales estimated to bring in anywhere from several hundred million to $1billion.  Its customers, intelligence agencies say include Libya, Iraq, Iran, Yemen and in the past, Pakistan. 

Japanese importers pay the North Koreans with bundles of cash or with bartered goods such as food, sports shoes or a bike for the sailors, or generators.  30,000 large crabs are worth about $4,000.

Seafood is the biggest component of Japan’s $370 million annual trade with North Korea, which brought the DPRK’s ships to Japan 1,200 times last year.

South Korea has $350 million in trade with the DPRK.  Most of it from sending textiles to the north and buying finished clothes. 

China reported its trade at $730 million, and that is just the legal trade.  It used to be food and oil, now it is everything: pots, pans, shampoo.

Many intelligence analysis believe that smuggling is orchestrated directly by powerful North Korean officials.  Japanese claim they manufacture methamphetamines.

BBC
1/30/2003

South Korean government investigators have said that $200m was secretly transferred from a state-controlled bank to North Korea one week before a landmark inter-Korean summit in June 2000.

The summit was seen as a boost for outgoing President Kim Dae-jung’s policy of engagement with the North, but critics have dismissed the historic meeting as cheque-book diplomacy.

The government investigators’ report was the culmination of a three-month inquiry into loans granted to the South Korean conglomerate Hyundai.

Mr Kim, who has previously denied knowing about Hyundai’s dealings with the North, appeared to acknowledge the report’s findings on Thursday when his spokeswoman said that the money was justified “if (it) was spent on promoting South-North economic co-operation”.

“The unique nature of South-North relations has forced me to make numerous tough decisions as the head of state,” Park Sun-sook quoted him as saying.

Hyundai funding

Sohn Sung-Tae, an official with South Korea’s Board of Audit and Inspection which conducted the probe, said the 223.5bn won ($200m) was part of a loan from state-run Korean Development Bank (KDB) to a Hyundai subsidiary.

The BBC’s Seoul correspondent says the investigation has been frustrated by the company, which had refused to submit financial documents.

But threatened with legal action, the company finally complied this week.

In its report, the Board of Audit and Inspection confirmed that the loans of nearly $400m to Hyundai Merchant Marine were extended one week before the historic inter-Korean summit, and that half of the amount was then transferred to the Communist State.

Opposition politicians have alleged that the money was used as a bribe to induce North Korea to take part in the summit.

The Hyundai group has funded numerous inter-Korean economic projects and has played a key role in nurturing better ties between South Korea and the isolated Communist North.

But it has been badly affected by a joint venture tourism project with North Korea, and, in deep financial trouble at the time of the summit, insisted it used the loan to improve its financial position.

South Korea’s JoongAng Ilbo newspaper quoted an aide to President-elect Roh Moo-hyun on Thursday as saying that the Hyundai firm had transferred the money to the North with the help of the government’s National Intelligence Service.

“This proves that this government’s biggest achievement, the June 15 South-North summit, was bought with money,” opposition party spokesman Park Jong-hee said in a statement.

Mr Park called on Mr Kim to apologise.

The legacy of outgoing President Kim Dae-jung’s administration has been seen as his success in improving ties with the North.

He was awarded the Nobel Prize for Peace in 2000 following the inter-Korean summit.

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Here are sections of interest:

About DPRK, Agriculture, China, Economy, Energy, Transition

BBC
11/15/2002

South Korea has pressed North Korea to scrap its suspected nuclear programme, welcoming a decision by the US and its allies to stop deliveries of oil to its impoverished neighbour.

Diplomats from South Korea, the US, the European Union and Japan agreed that a 42,000 tonne shipment of fuel, currently on its way to North Korea, should be the last.

The US had called for the aid to be stopped, unless the Communist regime dismantled its alleged nuclear weapons programme.

South Korea and Japan had both argued for continuing the fuel shipments over the winter, and analysts say they faced several weeks of pressure from the US over the issue.

But on Friday South Korea said it was “quite united” with its allies and “pleased” with the decision to cut off supplies.

“I hope this message will be heard by North Korea,” a senior government official told reporters.

The South Korea Deputy Foreign Minister Lee Tae-shik said the government would continue to holds talks with Pyongyang.

Deadlock

The fuel decision was announced as the allies met in New York as part of the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organisation (Kedo), which administers a 1994 accord designed to limit North Korea’s nuclear ambitions.

Under the plan, North Korea agreed to freeze its nuclear programme in return for 500,000 tonnes of fuel oil a year in aid.

Washington considers that Pyongyang nullified the 1994 pact, after confessing to a US envoy last month that it was trying to build nuclear weapons with enriched uranium.

“Future (oil) shipments will depend on North Korea’s concrete and credible actions to dismantle completely its highly enriched uranium programme,” said the Kedo statement.

North Korea says it will only scrap its nuclear programme if the US signs a non-aggression treaty.

Both South Korea and Japan have expressed doubts that stopping oil deliveries would persuade North Korea to terminate its nuclear weapons programme.

They fear it would instead lead to a revival of an earlier, plutonium-based nuclear programme.

BBC
9/18/2002

North and South Korea have held ceremonies ahead of work to re-link road and rail connections between the two states for the first time in more than 50 years.

Fireworks crackled and balloons were set free at the ceremonies, held simultaneously on either side of the heavily fortified border separating the Koreas.

It is the latest act of reconciliation between the rival neighbours, and came a day after North Korea moved a step closer to normalising relations with Japan following an unprecedented visit to Pyongyang by Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi.

Work to clear the heavily-mined buffer zone on the border will begin on Thursday, and the first of the rail links is expected to be re-connected as early as November.

The South Korean Prime Minister-designate Kim Suk-soo said he hoped the work would herald a new chapter in relations between the two Koreas.

Symbolic ceremonies

At one of the ceremonies on the South Korean side of Demilitarised Zone (DMZ), workers unlocked a barbed wire gate leading to the border.

South Korea has already built a rail line and road on the western side of the peninsula right up to the DMZ fence, and on Wednesday, a train trundled as far as it could.

Television pictures then showed a South Korean girl dressed as a North Korean step out from behind the fence and link hands with a South Korean boy, as fireworks exploded overhead.

Speaking at Dorasan train station – the last stop on the South’s western rail line – the South Korean prime minister-designate said the two countries had embarked on a “monumental project”.

“We are burying a history marked by the scars of war and the pain of division,” he said.

Closer ties

Rail links between the two Koreas have been cut since the end of the 1950-1953 Korean War.

North and South Korea agreed to re-link the connections two years ago as part of a series of steps to improve relations.

The project involves two sets of cross-border road and rail links, on the east and west coast of the DMZ.

The plan is to link the western line to China and the eastern line to Russia, so freight can travel overland to Europe, significantly cutting costs.