Are sanctions curbing DPRK illicit activities?

From the Joong Ang Daily:

Experts say money squeeze on North is working

For 10 months, Washington has enforced a systematic plan to clamp down on cash going into North Korea. The measures are working, experts say.

Nam Sung-wook, a North Korea expert at Korea University, estimated yesterday that the recent measures have led to a 40 percent decline in North Korean leader Kim Jong-il’s income.

Since the 1980s, Kim Jong-il has regularly collected money from four sources: forged bank notes, arms sales, drug trafficking and money coming from ethnic Koreans living in Japan who acquire money by operating legal gambling casinos there.

Mr. Kim used the money to cement his hold on the North Korean elite, such as the military. Those in the right position received from the “Dear Leader” gifts ranging from German luxury cars to Japanese electronics.

However, since 2002, when the Bush administration started to tackle the issue with its North Korea Working Group, the situation changed and has squeezed the North. The U.S. group is composed of 14 government organizations, including the U.S. treasury department. Washington’s efforts against counterfeit money have yielded results: At the end of last year Irish national Sean Garland and six others were indicted for distributing North Korean-manufactured “supernotes.”

The North is believed to have produced annually $15 million to $25 million of forged money.

As a result of international pressure, one government official said it would be harder for the North to print new forged bank notes and circulate them.

The arms trade is also an important money maker for the North. However, since it sold 15 Scud-type missiles in December 2002 to Yemen, Pyongyang has not inked another arms deal. Sources said yesterday Pyongyang tried last year to sell missiles to African nations, but in light of Washington’s international call to prevent the transfer and sales of weapons of mass destruction, cautious African nations have distanced themselves from Pyongyang.

In the international arms market, Chinese-manufactured AK-47 assault rifles and other cheaper alternatives are being preferred over North Korean-made ones. The North’s drug trafficking is reportedly giving Pyongyang an annual income of $100 million. From 1998 to 2002 Japanese authorities seized 1,500 kilograms (3,300 pounds) of North Korea-manufactured philpone, a methamphetamine.

Nevertheless, a continued crackdown has narrowed the avenues of sales to organized crime groups such as the Japanese yakuza.

Money sent from the North Korea- backed Chongryon, the General Association of Korean Residents in Japan, amounted to 2 billion yen ($1.7 million) to 3 billion yen annually until 2002 with the money being shipped by a North Korean ferry.

However, since 2003, Tokyo has imposed regulations on the ferry, dropping the money flow to 1 billion yen per year. With the recent missile launch, Tokyo is now considering cutting off the money flow even more by strengthening the monitoring of insured postal parcels above a certain amount.

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