Archive for the ‘Statistics’ Category

Washington to ship fuel oil to NK this month

Tuesday, February 5th, 2008

Ecerpt from the Korea Times
Jung Sung-ki
2/5/2008

The U.S. government is preparing to ship a second batch of 54,000 tons of fuel to North Korea this month, a U.S.-funded radio station reported Tuesday.

Radio Free Asia (RFA) said the U.S. State Department was scheduled to report the shipment plan to Congress in the coming days.

Under a multinational nuclear deal reached in February last year, South Korea, the United States, China and Russia promised to provide 50,000 tons of oil in turn to the poverty-stricken North. Washington sent the first batch of 46,000 tons of fuel to the North last October, while other nations have fulfilled their pledges.

Japan, another participant at the six-party talks, refused to participate in the aid plan due to a dispute with the North over Japanese citizens kidnapped by North Korean agents in the past.

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DPRK economic statistics from KEI (BoK data)

Saturday, February 2nd, 2008

In October, the Korea Economic Institute published a presentation of North Korean economic data assembled by the Bank of Korea.  Basic stats below:

  • GDP: -1.1% in 2006 (+3.8% in 2005)-Due to decrease in agriculture output. 
  • Services are the largest component of the economy (34%)
  • Trade volume (exports + imports) approximately US$3 billion
  • 2005 trading partners in order: China, South Korea, Thailand, Russia, Japan, Singapore

See the full report here: northkorea.ppt

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A Black Hole

Wednesday, January 30th, 2008

Today The Economist published a report on the political momentum of the North Korean human rights movement.  Although this web site does not keep up with the politics of the movement, the article points out how globalization is seemingly improving human rights in the DPRK…

A Black Hole
The Economist
1/30/2008

When you learn that Chinese firms are teaching notions of corporate social responsibility to factories in North Korea, there are two possible reactions besides incredulity. One is despair. Scandals from China involving tainted products, abused workers or environmental degradation are legion: what could its companies possibly have to teach their backward, isolated and viciously repressive neighbour?The other is to celebrate the glorious rising tide of globalisation, which washes up little bits of good news on even its most remote and neglected shores.

Human rights, then, no longer seem so central to the West [politically]. So it is moderately encouraging to hear that Chinese garment-makers, subcontracting to North Korea to escape mounting costs at home, insist that their partners stop imposing seven-day working weeks. Just as China’s Western partners 15 years ago trapped them in misdemeanours by finding that sewing needles had broken on supposed rest days, so the Chinese are catching the North Koreans with the same tactics.

This might seem like a radical thought, but imagine how much better companies from OECD countries would be doing this. According to US Census data, the US has only imported $1.7 m from the DPRK since 1992 (including the famine).  Since isolation from western markets has been the DPRK’s policy essentially since its founding,  why try to maintain it?  Lets start investing and trading.  Agree or disagree in the comments.  I’d like to know your thoughts.

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2007 Biggest year for inter-Korean exchange, at USD$1.79 billion

Monday, January 7th, 2008

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No. 08-1-10-1
1/10/2008

The net worth of inter-Korean exchanges totaled 1,797,890,000 USD in 2007, up 33% from the 1.35 billion USD in the previous year. Exchanges between the two Koreas began in 1989, and topped one billion dollars for the first time in 2005. The almost 1.8 billion dollars in trade recorded in 2007 is the highest to date, and is equal to 65 percent of North Korea’s non-Korean trade volume of 2.996 billion USD in 2006.

Inter-Korean commercial trade was worth 1,431,170,000 USD, 54 percent higher than the 928 million USD in 2006, while non-commercial trade fell 13 percent, from 421,660,000 dollars in 2006 to only 366,720,000 dollars last year. Overall, commercial trade made up over 80 percent of cross-border exchanges, proving that inter-Korean exchanges continue to grow based on commercial transactions. Commercial trade growth was centered around the mining and fishery sectors (52 percent) and increased production in the Kaesong Industrial Complex (48 percent). Textiles and other goods processed on commission also grew by 30 percent.

Additional manufacturing by companies entering the KIC, as well as the installment of equipment used to increase output by those manufacturers already established in the first phase of the complex, saw a great jump last year. Additionally, South Korea loaned the North 80 million USD for equipment, cloth, soap, polyester fibers, synthetic leather, and other materials to be used in light industry, while the North repayed 2.4 million USD (3 percent) of the loan by delivering 1,000 tons of zinc. This was the first example of the North repaying funds to the South, and shows opportunities for the two Koreas to fulfill each other’s needs and carry out friendly economic cooperation in the future.

With increases in domestic use and export of Bukhan Mountain’s minerals and timber, improvements in communications, customs, and transport issues at the KIC and a growing number of companies moving into the complex leading to an increase in production and manufacturing activity, inter-Korean exchanges are expected to continue to grow in the future.

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N. Korea repays Seoul aid with minerals

Friday, January 4th, 2008

In the 1980s Pepsi went on sale in the Soviet Union [as did eventually Coke].  Since the hard currency needed to buy the syrup was scarce, the Soviets traded it for Vodka (which they presumably had plenty of)–At least this is what I was able to piece together when I visited the USSR as a teenager.

Yonhap (January 4, 2008) reports that North Korea has adopted the same basic strategy to repay its external debts.  This is a positive move on the part of the North because it is the first time the North has made an effort at repaying its external bills.

(excerpt from Yonhap)  The South-North Korea Exchanges and Cooperation Support Association said 500 tons of North Korean-produced zinc, worth about US$1.2 million, arrived in the port of Incheon on Thursday and was unloaded on Friday. It was the second repayment by the communist country for economic assistance provided by Seoul.

Although the amount agreed upon by both countries for 2007 has been paid in full, the installment represents only 3 percent of the North’s total debt to South Korea [appx. USD$80 million]. Pyongyang had agreed to pay Seoul with $2.4 million worth of mineral ore to reimburse it for aid.

[…]reportedly mark[ing] the first time the North has redeemed any of its debt.

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Kaesong output increases 150 pct: Unification Ministry

Friday, December 28th, 2007

Yonhap
12/28/2007

The total output of a South Korea-built industrial complex in North Korea’s border town of Kaesong totaled over US$180 million this year, shooting up 150 percent from a year ago, Seoul’s Unification Ministry said on Friday.

“The total production by businesses at the Kaesong industrial complex recorded an estimated $185 million this year, up about 150 percent from $74 million last year,” the ministry said in a press release.

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South to Send Steel Plates to North

Sunday, December 9th, 2007

Korea Times
Yoon Won-sup
12/9/2007

South Korea will provide 5,100 tons of steel plates to North Korea on Dec. 17 in a six-party deal that involves the provision of energy or alternatives to North Korea in exchange for the North’s disablement of its nuclear facilities by year’s-end, government officials said Sunday.

U.S. President George W. Bush sent a personal letter to North Korean leader Kim Jong-il last week urging him to keep his word on the disablement and declaration by Dec. 31.

The shipment is the first alternative to oil sent to the North under the agreement, although participants in the six-way talks have been taking turns to provide 50,000 tons of heavy fuel oil to the North every month recently.

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Tangerine-carrying ship to leave for N.Korea

Saturday, December 8th, 2007

Yonhap
12/8/2007

A ship carrying 1,400 tons of tangerines will leave Sunday for North Korea from a port on this southern island of South Korea to help promote peace and reconciliation between the two Korean states, island officials said Saturday.

They said that the tangerines grown by local farmers have been loaded onto a 3,500-ton ship, which will set sail for the North on Sunday afternoon. With crews including three South Koreans, the Panama-registered ship will arrive at Nampo, a western port town of North Korea, Tuesday, they said.

This is the first batch of 10,000 tons of tangerines that will be sent to the North this year. The officials said that the remainder will be delivered by the end of January next year at the latest.

They said that Jeju Island has sent 36,488 tons of tangerines and 17,100 tons of carrots to the North since 1998. It was humanitarian aid designed to promote peace and co-existence between the two Koreas, which remain technically at war after the 1950-53 Korean War ended in a truce instead of a peace treaty.

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N. Korea upbeat about economic future as relations with U.S. thaw

Tuesday, November 13th, 2007

Yonhap
11/13/2007

North Korea Tuesday expressed confidence in the recovery of its ailing economy devastated by years of mismanagement, economic embargoes and floods as multilateral talks on the North’s nuclear disarmament make progress.

“The circumstances for our revolution are changing in a very favorable way,” Rodong Sinmun, the organ of North Korea’s ruling Workers’ Party, said in an editorial. “The international prestige of the country is rising extraordinarily, and our economy is vigorously bouncing back with enormous energy.”

Pyongyang’s upbeat mood comes as Washington is moving to take the communist country off its list of terrorism-sponsoring countries and to lift its trading ban on condition that the North completes the disablement of its nuclear facilities and declares its nuclear programs by the end of the year under an agreement signed in early October.

North Korea started disabling its nuclear facilities in Yongbyon, north of Pyongyang, in early November.

In return for its actions, North Korea will receive 1 million tons of energy assistance from the other parties of the deal, including South Korea, the U.S., China, Japan and Russia.

The North has already received 100,000 tons of heavy fuel oil from South Korea and China. The end of the application of the U.S. Trading with the Enemy Act to the North will allow the communist state to participate in international economic activities.

“Only when we thoroughly achieve the combatant work in front of us this year, can we make a breakthrough for a new march toward the construction of economic power and decisively engage in next year’s combat,” the newspaper said.

Recent reports have painted a bleak picture of the North Korean economy. According to figures released by South Korea’s Bank of Korea, the North’s economy probably shrank 1.1 percent in 2006 compared to a year earlier because of the weakness of its agricultural and construction sectors. The decease in North Korea’s gross domestic product was a reversal of the 3.8 percent expansion in 2005 and the 6.2 percent rise in 1999.

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Trade between divided Koreas rises 23 percent in first 10 months

Wednesday, November 7th, 2007

Yonhap
11/7/2007

Bilateral trade between the two Koreas increased by 23 percent in the first 10 months of the year due mainly to an increase in shipments of goods produced at the South Korea-built industrial complex in the communist North, the Unification Ministry said Wednesday.

The two-way trade volume jumped to nearly US$1.44 billion in the January-October period, up from $1.16 billion from a year earlier, according to the ministry.

“The rise mainly comes from a 48 percent increase in the amount of goods shipped from Kaesong,” a ministry official said, adding trade in some other areas, such as minerals and fisheries, increased by nearly 50 percent year-on-year.

Exchanges in non-commercial areas, however, dropped by 18 percent, according to the ministry official.

Seoul hopes cross-border trade will continue to increase over the coming years as the sides are about to launch a second development plan to expand the Kaesong industrial complex, where about two dozen South Korean companies are currently employing some 10,000 North Korean workers.

The joint industrial complex is expected to house over 2,000 South Koreans businesses and employ as many as 500,000 North Koreans when it is fully developed by a target year of 2012.

President Roh Moo-hyun and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il have also agreed to develop the North’s western Haeju area as a special economic district in the second-ever inter-Korean summit held in the North Korean capital of Pyongyang early last month.

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