North Korean Economy Watch

Andrei Lankov writes in the Asia Times:

Once every decade or two, television screens show powerful and memorable images such as the toppling statue of a tyrant. The destruction of a dictator’s statue makes for a potent political symbol, and few revolutionaries can resist the temptation.

It is said that sooner or later this fate will befall statues of Kim Il-sung, in 1945 a minor guerrilla commander who, with much Soviet backing, took power in North Korea and remained its absolute ruler until his death in 1994. However, this author is somewhat skeptical about the prospects: I would not be surprised to learn that some time in the 2030s it is trendy to keep a portrait of the long-deceased dictator in a North Korean house.

Let’s be blunt: the rule of the Kim family was a disaster which has few parallels in world history – even if judged by the brutal standards of the 20th century. The ratio of the political prison camp inmates to the total population in North Korea is roughly similar to that of Stalin’s Russia. The famine of 1996-1999 killed a larger part of population than the Great Leap Forward famine in Mao Zedong’s China. The Korean War (1950-1953), launched by the Kim Il-sung as an unsuccessful attempt to unify the country, was the bloodiest conflict in Korean history.

And, unlike many other strongmen of the last century (not least Joseph Stalin, Kim Il-sung’s mentor), the Kims cannot even justify this manslaughter with social or economic success. On the contrary, during the 60 or so years of their rule, the Kims have ruined what in 1945 was economically the most developed region of continental Asia.

In short, the Kim family regime has been a disaster. So, it seems only logical to assume that after its eventual demise (and few would doubt that this demise will happen sooner or later), the Koreans in both South and North will be unified in despising the North’s former rulers. The names of the two Kims, and in heir apparent Kim Jong-eun possibly a third, may well be damned by history. However, something makes the present author a bit skeptical about the unavoidability of such an outcome.

Maybe it is my Soviet/Russian background? When nowadays one drops into the average Russian bookshop, he or she sees in the history section a large number of treatises which extol in great length the superior wisdom of Generalissimo Stalin and the wisdom of his devoted generals and statesmen. Sometimes these books mention the terror of 1936-38 or the famine of the late 1930s, but usually as tragic mistakes or, rather, results of some intrigues by anti-Stalin conspirators.

More frequently, though, references to the Great Purge are laughed at, with an explicit assumption that reports of mass executions were grossly exaggerated and that those few who were killed by Stalin’s police actually got what they deserved (being spies and saboteurs). It is a bit more difficult to ignore the famine of the early 1930s, but it also can be blamed on bad weather and bad officials.

Read the rest of this entry »

According to Bloomberg:

North Korea was responsible for paralyzing the National Agricultural Cooperative Federation’s computer network in April in a second online attack in two months linked to the Kim Jong Il regime, South Korean prosecutors said.

Hackers used similar techniques employed in cyber assaults that targeted websites in South Korea and the U.S. earlier this year and in 2009, the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office said in an e-mailed statement today. The Unification Ministry criticized the “provocation” and urged North Korea to stop such attacks immediately.

The network of the bank better known in Korean as Nonghyup was shut down on April 12, keeping its almost 20 million clients from using automated teller machines and online banking services. In all of the three bouts of online attacks, a method called “distributed denial service” was used, according to the statement.

Under the DDoS tactic, malicious codes infect computers to trigger mass attacks against targeted websites, according to Ahnlab Inc. (053800), South Korea’s largest maker of antivirus software.

Nonghyup will spend 510 billion won ($477.2 million) by 2015 to boost network security, the bank said in an e-mailed statement. The company received 1,385 claims for compensation related to the network disruption as of May 2, and 1,361 of them have been settled, according to the statement.

North Korea’s postal ministry was responsible for the 2009 attacks, Won Sei Hoon, head of South Korea’s National Intelligence Service, told lawmakers in October that year.

Attacks in March this year targeted 40 South Korean websites, including at the presidential office, the National Intelligence Service, and Ministry of National Defense. They were traced to the same Internet Protocol addresses used in the 2009 episodes, South Korean police said last month.

The hackers prepared for the April 12 attack on Nonghyup for more than seven months, the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office said today.

According the Hankyoreh:

Prosecutors stated that a notebook computer belonging to an employee of the company managing the Nonghyup server became a so-called “zombie PC” after being infected in September 2010 by malicious code distributed by the North Korean Reconnaissance General Bureau, and that North Korea subsequently operated the notebook remotely to attack the Nonghyup computer network.

North Korea did not initially target Nonghyup, but the bank was exposed as a result, prosecutors explained.

As bases for this conclusion, prosecutors cited the fact that one of the IP addresses for the server ordering the attack was confirmed to be administered by the North Korean Reconnaissance General Bureau, along with the strong similarity between the malicious code and distribution methods with previous DDoS attacks concluded to be North Korea’s doing.

Some experts at security companies reacted with skepticism to the prosecutors’ contentions. One expert questioned the explanation that the parties behind the attack used the same overseas command server employed by hackers in the DDoS attacks for operating zombie PCs, noting that its IP address was blocked through the Korea Internet Security Agency.

A computer systems design expert said, “The back door program on the notebook used in the attack could not function if linked with Nonghyup’s internal network, which is cut off from the Internet.”

The argument is that it would have been effectively impossible for an outside party to precisely determine and attack Nonghyup’s computer system structure and work currents and those notebooks authorized for top access without assistance from an inside party.

When questioned about their evidence of North Korea’s direct involvement, prosecutors reiterated that they could not disclose the information because it was related to national security.

The story was also covered by the Daily NK and the AFP.

The Choson Ilbo reports that 200 additional infected computers have been discovered.

Authorities have discovered 200 more so-called zombie computers that have been infected with viruses North Korean hackers planted in September last year. They came across them in the process of investigating the laptop computer of an IBM employee that was used to paralyze the computer network of agricultural cooperative lender Nonghyup.

Prosecutors said Monday that the National Intelligence Service identified 201 port numbers that have been infected with viruses so that they can serve as zombie computers, and the IBM employee’s laptop is one of them. This means not only Nonghyup but any state agency could be the target of a North Korean cyber attack.

Growing Sophistication

South Korean authorities and computer experts say the Nonghyup incident demonstrates the increasing sophistication of North Korea’s cyber warfare capabilities. During a so-called distributed denial-of-service attack on July 7, 2009, North Korean hackers used 435 servers in 61 different countries to spread just one type of virus. During a DDoS attack in March this year, 746 servers in 70 countries were used to plant more than three different types of viruses. The cyber attack against Nonghyup involved a different virus which directly infiltrates the computer network of a bank and deletes not just data but its own tracks as well.

Authorities say finding the 200 zombie computers is as difficult as locating a mole planted by North Korean intelligence. As long as the zombie PCs remain dormant, it is impossible to trace them.

The Korea Herald raises points of skepticism:

Despite prosecutors’ announcement pinpointing North Korea as the culprit for the April 12 cyber attack, security experts say that it is difficult to identify its instigator given the complicated nature of the hacking process.

On Tuesday, investigators at the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office said the Reconnaissance General Bureau, the North’s premier intelligence body, orchestrated the “unprecedented cyber terror” that paralyzed the banking system of the National Agricultural Cooperative Federation, or Nonghyup, for several weeks.

They said that the conclusion came as the methods used in the previous two cyber attacks on a number of key South Korean government and business websites in July 2009 and in March last year were similar to the ones used in last month’s attack.

They also stressed that one of the Internet Protocol addresses used in the attack on the cooperative was identical to that used in last year’s attack.

Experts, however, said that evidence of North Korea’s involvement in the worst-ever cyber attack was too “weak” and only based on “circumstantial assumptions” and that the case could remain unaddressed forever given that identifying the hackers is extremely difficult.

First of all, experts pointed out that hackers usually change IP addresses frequently or use someone else’s address to disguise their identity. Thus, an IP address cannot serve as credible evidence to identify the culprit.

“It appears that prosecutors believe the owner of an empty house with a certain address is the thief who broke into the house while the owner is away,” said a security expert in a media interview on condition of anonymity.

Prosecutors also presented a Media Access Control address which was found on a laptop computer used by the North to launch the attack as evidence. But experts say that the address cannot be reliable as it kept changing on the Internet.

The hacking methods similar to the previous North Korean attacks cannot be clear evidence, either, to hold the North responsible, experts added. They said hackers tend to copy effective methods used by others.

During the announcement, investigative authorities stressed that they could not reveal all pieces of “critical” evidence to the public, citing security concerns. However, their concerns fail to ease doubts over whether the weeks-long result of the prosecutorial investigation is credible.

The North has long focused on cyber warfare. It is known to have established many college-level institutions to produce hackers and stationed cyber warfare personnel in China. The North has used cyber attacks to spy on South Korean government bodies or glean crucial intelligence.

Read more about the DPRK organizations thought to be responsible here.

According to the Hankyoreh:

China is stepping out into the Pacific through the gates of North Korea’s Rason Special District. North Korea, which has been declaring its aim of creating a “strong and prosperous nation by 2012,” is actively welcoming the move from China.

A number of sources, including officials with the Jilin Province government in China, reported that a groundbreaking ceremony is to be held on May 30 for a highway linking the North Korea cities of Wonjong and Rason, bordering directly on Quanhe in Hunchun, Jilin Province. A number of leaders from both countries are scheduled to attend the ceremony, which is to take place in Rason (Rajin-Sonbong), North Korea.

A Chinese official working on preparations for the project said in a recent interview with the Hankyoreh that the event would be “an occasion for declaring North Korea-China economic cooperation and North Korean openness to the world.” The official added that dozens of officials from the Chinese central government would be attending, including a number of leaders.

The construction effort is a signal announcing the opening of Rason and large-scale economic cooperation between North Korea and China. In addition to the groundbreaking ceremony for the highway, which is to be a major channel tying North Korea and China together economically, efforts to develop China’s Rajin Harbor and transport large amounts of coal through it are beginning in earnest.

The Rason development effort is taking place according to China’s “blueprints” in everything from the planning to investment and management. Local sources said that China and North Korea have already formed a special joint steering committee for the district, and that it has been decided that the chairman will be from China.

The Rason urban development plan jointly drafted by China and North Korea includes the development of international freight brokerage, export processing, and financial regions. According to a North Korean video, models for the plan include Dalian and Tianjin, which Kim Jong-il inspected in 2010 during a visit to China.

An official with the Yanji city government said, “North Korea is also aware that keeping its doors closed will only lead to death, but it is concerned that the regime will be destabilized if it opens up all at once, so it plans to first open up Rajin and develop it as a ‘test region.’”

“They are adopting the Chinese model, learning from China about legislation, taxes, and benefits to lure businesses,” the official added.

The effort is being pursued promptly, in contrast with previous North Korea-China economic efforts, which tended to amount to little more than words. The reason for this is that the central governments in Beijing and Pyonyang are directly taking care of economic cooperation through the medium of Rason’s development.

A Chinese government official reported that Chinese Minister of Commerce Chen Deming traveled to North Korea to sign a memorandum of understanding, and that China and North agreed on a plan for joint investment in and administration of Rason’s highway, port, and industrial park construction. The official added the Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao personally signed policy documents upgrading Hunchun to a special economic district in line with the Rason development plans.

Meanwhile, North Korea formed an office in its central government to directly administer Rason Special City, replaced old officials who failed to make progress with Rason’s development over the years, and sent in young officials from the central government, including Rason Special City secretary Im Kyong-man, sources reported.

China needs the Rason development to ensure the success of its current national development plan for Changchun, Jilin, and the Tumen River basin, while North Korea decided to cooperate with China to address its economic problems and stabilize its succession framework. Analysts say North Korea hopes to tout successful development of Rason as an achievement of Kim Jong-un.

The development project is proceeding in a very specific and far-reaching way. “This is Korean land, but the industrial complex is being operated as Chinese and will hire North Korea workers to earn foreign currency” for North Korea, said an official with a Chinese company in charge of a large-scale construction effort in Rason.

The electricity shortage issue, which had previously been a major stumbling block to investment, has been resolved by China. A source in Hunchun said, “Plans are being examined to either send surplus power from Hunchun’s thermoelectric power plants to Rason, or for a company in Jilin Province to retrofit an old Soviet crude oil plant in the Sonbong region into a coal-burning power plant.”

Even Chinese officials have been astonished at the active measures from Pyongyang. A Rajin representatives’ office opened in downtown Yanji, the seat of the Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture, is hard at work drawing in investment.

“If Chinese investors want to take a look at Rason, they can drive their cars in for themselves with an invitation from the Rajin representatives,” explained a source in Yanbian.

In the border city of Hunchun, money and people have begun shifting toward the North Korean side. Construction of 500 apartments for Chinese people working in Rason began in late March, according to officials at a construction company commissioned to carry out the project. Capital and labor investment for the Hunchun-Rason highway construction is coming entirely from China, and a number of the roughly 500 Chinese workers needed to begin have already arrived in Rason with six-month passes issued by North Korea. Large Chinese corporations such as Changli, Shangdi Guanquan Investment, and FAW are known to be undertaking investment in Rason.

According to the Korea Herald:

Despite its reputation as one of the most closed nations in the world, North Korea is, at least partly, opening up to market economy conventions, evident in its effort to cultivate its specially designated economic zone.

North Korea designated Raseon the country’s first free trade zone, as a “special city” in January 2010. The city, which borders both China and Russia, was dubbed a free trade zone along with nearby Sonbong in 1991, even though foreign investment never materialized.

In recent years, the North has tried to reinvigorate the trade zone, signing an accord with Russia to restore railways that could help rejuvenate the port there. Russia invested 140 million euro ($202 million) in the Rason project in late 2008.

In recent months, North Korea appears to have initiated a media campaign for Rason, beckoning foreign investors as Pyongyang struggles to resuscitate its moribund economy, according to informed sources and media reports.

According to a source familiar with North Korean affairs, the city has seen both new factories built and upgrades of previous ones.

A couple of large Chinese companies have also reportedly signed deals on either providing construction parts or investments in the region’s resources development.

Chinese commerce officials from the central government and the nearby Jilin Province have also reportedly held talks with their Pyongyang, Rason counterparts regarding such business transactions.

The city is also becoming more urbanized, according to sources. Apartments and road construction repairs are sprouting, while the number of daily logistics traffic across the nearby North Korea-Chinese border has nearly doubled to some 200 trucks in late April, compared to some 100 trucks just three months ago.

The North Korean leader Kim Jong-il recently traveled to the city, a move that analysts see as underlining the regime’s desire to promote the trade city to lure foreign investment.

The KCNA reported on April 22 that Kim visited the city’s Rajin Shipyard where he was briefed on different processes of shipbuilding. There he highlighted the importance of the shipbuilding industry and urged for the introduction of new production technology.

It was the first time that the North’s tightly controlled media reported the name of the shipyard and Kim’s visit there. Known as one of three major shipyards in North Korea, the Rajin Shipyard is believed to have built warships and submarines, according to sources in Seoul.

Increasing media reports from North Korea on Rason also seems to back claims that the country is putting its weight behind the city.

On April 19, the KCNA filed a profile report on Rason’s tourism industry, touting its historic relics, cultural facilities and fantastic seascape “and introducing tourist hot spots in and near the city.

In an earlier, March 30 report, the KCNA said that the city has adopted “a preferential tariff system” for foreign investors and traders.

“Choe Kwang-nam, an official in charge of economic cooperation of the Rason City People’s Committee, told the KCNA that the zone provides favorable business conditions to foreign investors through the preferential tariff system,” it said.

“Foreign investors and businesses are allowed to conduct diverse economic and trade activities and have a free choice of investment forms and business,” it quoted Choe as saying.

Read the full stories here:

N.Korea’s Rason Special District could open country to China
Hankyoreh
Park Min-hee
2011-5-4

Investment, projects seemingly brim in N. Korea border city
Korea Herald
2011-5-4

The pictures above are from Google Earth.  The picture on the left is dated 2009-4-9.  The picture on the right is dated 2010-3-28.

The Phyongsong (Pyongsong, Pyeongseong, 평성) wholesale market was the DPRK’s largest.  The market emerged spontaneously to achieve this position due to its strategic location just outside the boundaries of Pyongyang. Merchants from across the country could travel here without obtaining a Pyongyang permit, yet it was close enough to Pyongyang that shoppers and merchants from the capital could “easily” travel here to conduct business.

Rumors first emerged in June 2009 that the market had been closed either as part of a larger campaign to crack down on market activity or to reduce the scale of the Phyongsong market relative to other markets.  IFES later reported in July 2009 that the market was briefly closed in April but reopened after just over a week due to its importance in the nation’s supply chains.

In September 2009, however, IFES reported that the Phyongsong market was permanently closed in June 2009.  The motivations for the closing appear to be political: cracking down on corruption, etc.

In January 2010, IFES reported that not only had the Pyongsong Market been closed in 2009, but that the second- and third-largest national wholesale markets in Chongjin  and Hamhung were also in Pyongyang’s cross-hairs.  Google Earth satellite imagery of the Sunam market in Chongjin (41°47’25.24″N, 129°46’0.07″E) was captured in 2006, so it is not possible to determine the market’s status in this way. However, Google Earth imagery of the Chupyong Market in Hamhung (39°53’42.92″N, 127°32’20.11″E) is dated 2010-4-14, and it indicates that market activity continued until at least mid-April of last year.

Sadly we cannot say the same of Phyongsong.  Although current Google Earth imagery (dated March 2010) was shot nearly 9 months after the Phyongsong market was reportedly closed,  there does not appear to be any new official market places under construction.

There is room for hope, however.  Maybe the Phyongsong market closing is only temporary and the facility is simply being upgraded (this has happened before).  If anyone has more recent satellite imagery of the market, please send it to me!

Another point to remember is that the closing of official market places does not mean the end of market activities.  It does mean that transactions costs and thus dead-weight losses will grow, but satellite imagery reveals that Phyongsong citizens continue to carry out their business activities to the best of their abilities in the alleys and residential areas:

Finally, if the market has been permanently closed, satellite imagery reminds us that the story of the Phyongsong market runs contrary to the trend of market growth  in other [distant] cities around the country.  This might imply that the Phyongsong market was closed because of its obvious importance to and corrupting influence on the Pyongyang consumer economy, but Workers Party cadres are content to let citizens in far-flung cities continue to meet their needs through market exchange.

UPDATE 1 (2011-4-29): Martyn Williams claims to have identified the name and purpose of the large communications center I identified on satellite imagery of North Korea:

If you’ve ever listened to The Voice of Korea on shortwave, you’ve probably heard broadcasts from this transmitter site. Kujang is one of the largest transmitter locations in the DPRK with, according to official records, 5 shortwave transmitters each capable of delivering a 200kW signal. That’s powerful enough to reach most corners of the world, given a clear frequency and good conditions.

I am not convinced that the site posted below is actually the Kujang short-wave transmitter. First of all, the towers are not located in the right county (Hyangsan, not Kuajng) and there are many more than five transmission towers.

I will post more as I uncover it.

ORIGINAL POST (2010-2-11): In Myohyangsan County ( 40.078134°, 126.111790°) is the largest collection of communications towers I have found in the DPRK…more than 20 towers clustered together.

You can click on the image to see a larger version.

Hat tip to a reader.

From the Choson Exchange Facebook Page (May 1, 2011):

We are looking for volunteers with an interest in North Korea and the right skill sets to lead workshops in Pyongyang in the September-October period, and for North Koreans outside of Pyongyang in the July-August period.

Those with the following skill sets would be most appreciated and are welcome to email us at CEteam@chosonexchange.org to discuss volunteering opportunities. Those with relevant experiences outside of these areas are welcome to join our mailing list and Facebook page to stay in touch about future opportunities:

Economic Policy
1. Fiscal & Monetary Policy
2. Business Environment Development
3. Investment Policy & Sourcing

Banking
1. Risk Management – Credit, FX, Market, Liquidity, Operational…etc.
2. Asset-Liability Matching
3. Banking IT Systems

Entrepreneurship
1. Developing Business Plans
2. Feasibility Studies

The Korea Economic Institute has published the latest in its Academic Paper Series:

“Similar Policies, Different Outcomes: Two Decades of Economic Reforms in North Korea and Cuba”
Dr. José Luis León-Manríquez, Universidad Autonoma Metropolitana

North Korea and Cuba benefitted economically from Soviet Union support, but after the collapse of the Soviet bloc, both countries had to reexamine their policies. Since 1990, these two countries have tried various economic reforms under their centrally planned economies. Which country has been more effective in their efforts? As the two nations are both undergoing leadership transitions, how likely are further economic reforms?

Download the paper (PDF) here. Listen the presentation here.  See the presentation video here.

UPDATE 1 (2011-5-3): The Korea Herald offers some more information on the mission:

The World Food Program will increase its personnel residing in North Korea to tighten monitoring of the distribution of donated food, a U.S.-funded radio station reported Tuesday.

The plan comes as the U.N. agency prepares to launch an emergency operation to help feed 3.5 million starving North Koreans by providing 310,000 tons of food within the next year.

The WFP plans to keep 59 agents in the North, an increase from the previous 10. Up to 60 percent of these agents will be tasked with checking whether the food goes to ordinary people rather than the military in the impoverished state, according to the Voice of America.

Pyongyang’s reclusive Kim Jong-il regime has often refused to let outsiders monitor its food distribution process, triggering suspicions that most of the outside aid is being used to feed its army and political elite.

Apparently getting more desperate for outside assistance, the North has agreed to let the WFP agents monitor its food situations in some 400 regions every month, the U.N. body said.

South Korea and the U.S., which remain lukewarm toward resuming full-scale food aid to Pyongyang, suspect that the Kim regime may be stockpiling rice to prepare for potential war or to release on the 100th anniversary of its late founder Kim Il-sung next year.

While the WFP has been calling on the international community to donate 434,000 tons of food to feed starving North Koreans, the two traditional allies also question the accuracy of the assessment made based on Pyongyang’s own statistics on its harvest and rationing.

Among the newly dispatched agents, 12 can speak fluent Korean, the U.S. radio station said, quoting WFP officials.

A total of seven offices, including one in the capital Pyongyang, will open during the emergency operation period, with food being distributed in eight provinces and 109 districts in the North, it added.

In a recent statement, the WFP had stressed that the aid operation in the authoritarian single-party state “will include the highest standards of monitoring and control to ensure that food gets to where it is needed.”

ORIGINAL POST (2011-5-1): According to the UN press release:

The United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) and the UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) today announced plans to introduce emergency operations in the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) to feed an estimated 3.5 million people in desperate need after crop losses and a particularly bitter winter.

Women and children will be the focus of the one-year WFP operation, which follows an assessment by several aid agencies of food security inside the DPRK, according to a press release issued by the agency. The operation is expected to cost just over $200 million.

UNICEF has launched a $20 million appeal to fund assistance programmes in the five DPRK provinces with the highest rates of malnutrition and in other counties with similar problems.

Although WFP said overall rates of acute malnutrition have not yet reached crisis levels, it warned that the situation could deteriorate rapidly if there is any further reduction in the food intake of those in need.

Many families have already resorted to cutting out the size or number of meals each day, and Government-supplied rations provide only about half of a person’s daily food needs.

“We face a critical window to get supplies into the country and reach the millions who are already hungry,” said Amir Abdulla, WFP’s Deputy Executive Director and Chief Operating Officer.

“Our primary concern is for those who are most vulnerable to shocks in the food supply – children, mothers, the elderly and large families.”

WFP spokesperson Emilia Casella told reporters in Geneva that the assessment found that the severe winter this year had damaged a large proportion of the seed potato stocks needed to plant the next crop.

The vegetable harvest late last year was also down 44 per cent on the expected volume, she said.

Under the operation WFP will provide cereals and the ingredients for the local production of such foods as corn-soy milk, rice-milk blend and high-nutrient biscuits through a public distribution system.

International staff working for the agency will make more than 400 visits each month to provincial markets and distribution points during the operation, and will only have to give 24 hours’ notice to local authorities.

The operation will continue through the harvest expected in October, with specialized nutritious products expected to be distributed then. WFP aims to procure food from neighbouring countries so that it can be distributed as fast as possible.

“WFP has worked in the DPRK for 15 years and we will be drawing on all that experience and expertise to ensure this operation provides vital, timely food and nutrition to those who cannot support themselves through these difficult months,” Mr. Abdulla noted.

UNICEF’s assistance programme will tackle behavioural and structural issues, such as hygiene, infant feeding practices, water and sanitation, as well as direct nutritional needs, agency spokesperson Marixie Mercado said.

Its operation will target more than 400,000 young children and an estimated 165,000 pregnant or lactating women, regarded as among the most vulnerable groups in the current crisis.

Ms. Mercado said the programme will also aim to help children living permanently in institutions as they do not have extended families from which to draw support.

A survey carried out in 2009 found that 32 per cent of DPRK children were stunted, with even higher rates in some rural areas.

Additionally, Greta Van Susteren (Fox News) has announced that she is returning to the DPRK soon.  She always travels with Samaritan’s Purse, so they will probably be launching a program in the DPRK as well. (SMALL UPDATE: Samaritan’s Purse announced they are launching a program)  Wouln’t it be nice if they got get to see Jun, the American detained in the DPRK–reportedly for clandestine evangelism.

The South Korean and US governments have hesitated in providing food aid this spring but they seem to be allowing limited private aid.

There is some debate as to how severe the food shortage is and what should/could be done about it.  Articles from all sides of the debate are cataloged here.

Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
(NK Brief 11-04-27)

Kim Jong Il is continuing to make field guidance visits around Ryanggang and the Northern Hamgyong Province.

The Rodong Sinmun reported on April 23 that Kim Jong Il visited Rajin Shipyard. Rajin Shipyard is known for producing ships necessary for advancing fishing, marine transportation, and foreign trade industries. Chairman Kim emphasized the importance of self-reliance, especially on the need to adopt the latest science and technology and partake in the mass technical innovation movement by implementing CNC (Computer Numerical Control) technology into ship design, assembly, and manufacturing.

According to the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on April 20, Kim also gave field guidance at Kim Chaek Iron and Steel Complex and newly built Susongchon General Foodstuff Factory in Northern Hamgyong Province. The Rodong Sinmun on April 22 also reported that the DPRK leader provided field guidance at Hyesan Youth Mine in Ryanggang Province. At the Hyesan Youth Mine, he said “The major project of the Party is to complete the technological modernization to radically increase the production of mineral ores.”

At the recent visitation to Songjin Steel Complex at Kim Chaek City, Kim once again emphasized self-reliance. Kim stated, “The self-reliance of the metal industry is the permanent path of our economy.” He further added, “Despite the imperialist’s sanctions and blockade, we reached the highest level of metal production from the revolutionary spirit of self-reliance. The Party’s traditional slogan of self-reliance is the only weapon of victory leading to our nation’s triumph and prosperity.”

North Korea announced that Songjin Steel Complex established Juche steel production system at the end of 2009. At the complex, Kim gave praise to the facility by saying, “The completion of steelmaking process of Juche steel with our own technology is a greater victory than the success of a third nuclear test.”

However, Kim Jong Un, the vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission and the named successor of the DPRK was not included in the list of entourage in the recent field guidance given by the senior Kim at Kim Chaek Iron and Steel Complex, Hyesan Youth Mine and Najin Shipyard.

Kim Jong Il is reported to have conducted 35 official activities in the first quarter of 2011. Although it is a decrease from last year’s number of 41, it is still higher than the average of 21(1999-2010) in the first quarter. The breakdown of the activities of Kim is as follows: 12 economy-related visitations, 10 attendances at performances, 9 inspections at military bases or other military related activities and lastly, 4 meetings with diplomatic delegations.

The economy-related inspections were the highest in the first quarter since 2009. This trend reflects Kim’s intentions of concentrating on inspecting the economic sectors early on in the year to encourage results in this sector. A notable point is that self-reliance and incorporation of CNC was mentioned at all industrial facilities that Kim inspected.

Among the entourage, Kim Jong Il’s sister, Kim Kyong Hui, director of the Light Industry Department of the Korean Workers’ Party (KWP), accompanied the leader 28 times on his recent inspections. Kim Ki Nam, the KWP Secretary and Director of Publicity and Information Department made 24 trips, Kim Jong Un and Tae Jong Su, KWP Secretary and Director of the General Affairs Department made 22 trips each, and Chang Song Taek (Jang Song Thaek), the husband of Kim Kyong Hui and vice-chairman of the National Defence Commission, is known to have made 20 accompaniments.

Recently, North Korea has been making changes in the planned economy by naming the new Central Bank chief, upgrading the State Price Bureau to the State Price Commission, and establishing the State General Bureau of Economic Development.

Kim Jong Il has conducted a total of 161 official activities last year, his most active year since the official launch of the Kim Jong-Il regime in 1998.

UPDATE: DPRK to Set Up Special International Tour Zone at Mount Kumgang
Institute for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief (11-05-2)
2011-5-3

According to KCNA news agency, the Presidium of the DPRK Supreme People’s Assembly issued a decree on April 29 to set up a special zone for international tours at Mount Kumgang. It reported the special zone in Kangwon Province would include Kosong-eup and Onjong-ri of Kosong County; Samil-po, Hae-Kumgang, and Nae-Kumgang areas in Kumgang County, and Thongchon County.

The Central Tourist Guidance Agency expressed its intentions of increasing new tourist destinations depending on the progress made in the special zone. In addition, it also announced the annulment of October 2002 decree on the Kumgang Special Tourism Zone, which rescinded the exclusive rights of Hyundai Asan.

Previously on April 8, the DPRK’s Korean Asia-Pacific Peace Committee (KAPPC) informed Hyundai Asan that it would retract the monopoly rights of Hyundai. Instead, it expressed plans of entrusting the tours from the North through foreign businesses while Hyundai will continue to lead the tours from the South. The North announced the Mt. Kumgang tours will be renewed through appropriate national measures.

The KCNA explained, “The DPRK’s sovereignty will be exercised in the special tour zone.” Additionally, the DPRK is encouraging free investment in the special zone by corporations, individuals and other economic bodies and such investments are protected by law.

On the May issue of South Korean monthly magazine Minjog 21, the Committee of Investment and Joint Ventures of the DPRK and Kempinski Group was reported to have reached an agreement on its entrance into the Kumgang tourism project. The magazine also reported the Kempinski Group’s plans of modernizing the Wonsan Airport, development of Wonsan City into a resort town, and building roads connecting Wonsan with Kumgang.

Kempinski Hotels is a luxury hotel group known for its five-star hotels and resorts and recently expanded into Asia with current projects underway with India and China. Kempinski is majority owned by the Crown Property Bureau of Thailand and the royal family in Bahrain. Once the Kempinski Hotel is completed in Wonsan, it is expected to become an international resort town linked with Mt. Kumgang Special Zone.

The Mt. Kumgang tours from the North are expected to be managed by the Kempinski Hotels while the tours from the South will be still managed from Hyundai. An interview on April 13 by Ri Jong Hyok, vice-chairman of the KAPPC commented, “The buildings and facilities built by Hyundai will come to ruins if left at its current unoccupied stage. This is the reason why we are attempting to restart the tours, but only until the South decides to resume the tours.”

The Committee of Investment and Joint Ventures was upgraded from Joint Venture and Investment Guidance Bureau last July, becoming a central state organization in charge of all projects related to investments and joint ventures from overseas.

ORIGINAL POST: According to Yonhap:

North Korea’s rubber-stamp parliament said Friday that it will set up a special zone for international tours of the country’s troubled mountain resort in an apparent move to induce foreign investment.

The North “will encourage free investment in the development of the special zone by corporate bodies, individuals and other economic bodies and will protect by law the invested capital and properties and income and other profits to be gained through business,” the North’s Supreme People’s Assembly said in a decree carried by the country’s official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA).

The legislature said North Korea’s sovereignty will be exercised over the zone that includes several areas on Mount Kumgang, a scenic resort on the country’s east coast.

It also said the agency in charge of tourism will take relevant measures to increase new tourist destinations, depending on the progress in the special zone development. No details were provided.

Lee Jong-joo, a spokeswoman for South Korea’s Unification Ministry handling inter-Korean affairs, said the North’s move appears to be aimed at attracting foreign capital to develop the resort.

A spokesman for Hyundai Asan, a key South Korean tour operator in the mountain resort, said his company had no immediate comment on the North’s announcement. He asked not to be identified as he was not authorized to speak to media.

The decree came weeks after Pyongyang terminated exclusive tourism rights for Hyundai Asan, citing skepticism over the resumption of the joint venture.

The two Koreas launched the joint tour program in 1998 as part of moves to boost cross-border reconciliation and cooperation, providing a legitimate source of hard currency to the cash-strapped North.

However, Seoul suspended the tour program in 2008 when a female South Korean tourist was shot dead after straying into an off-limits military zone near the resort.

Pyongyang claims it has done everything to shed light on the shooting and guarantee the safety of future tourists, but Seoul says it has yet to receive a formal apology for the shooting or government-to-government promises to enhance safety.

Here is the KCNA statement:

Pyongyang, April 29 (KCNA) — A special zone for international tour of Mt. Kumgang will be established in the DPRK.

A decree on this decision was issued by the Presidium of the DPRK Supreme People’s Assembly on Friday.

According to the decree, the special zone is to be set in the area of Mt. Kumgang in Kangwon Province and the zone will include the township and some areas of Onjong-ri in Kosong County, Lagoon Samil, Sea Kumgang area, Inner Kumgang area of Kumgang County and some areas of Thongchon County.

The DPRK sovereignty will be exercised over the zone.

The DPRK will encourage free investment in the development of the special zone by corporate bodies, individuals and other economic bodies and protect by law the invested capital and properties and income and other profits to be gained through business.

The Central Tourist Guidance Agency shall take relevant measures to increase new tourist destinations, depending on the progress made in the SZ development.

The decree of the SPA Presidium on “Setting Up Mt. Kumgang Tourist Zone in the DPRK” issued on Oct. 23, 2002 is no longer valid.

Aside: So there are two DPRK agencies that deal with tourism: KITC and the “Central Tourist Guidance Agency”?

Historical information:

The Kumgangsan resort was the scene of a terrible tragedy, the shooting of a South Korean tourist.  Allowing a joint-Korean investigation of the murder became a precondition by the South Korean government for resuming tourism to the resort.

On March 4th 2010, the DPRK first threatened to revoke contracts with the South Korean Hyundai-asan stating that a future guarantee of safety was sufficient for resuming tourism.

Later in th month, Hyundai-asan’s chief offered to resign.

In April 2010, the DPRK “seized” the Hyundai properties in the Kumgangsan resort.

Shortly afterwards, Chinese tourists began arriving at the resort (here and here).

The Donga Ilbo reported that the NDC took over the properties and put them in the Korea Taepung International Investment Group portfolio.  If the property was under Taepung control and has now been put under normal ministerial control, then this signals that Taepung’s sun might have set.

If possible, I would expect that Hyundai-asan will attempt to bring suit in South Korea against whichever company chooses to set up in the zone.

Read the full sotry here:
N. Korea to set up special int’l tour zone at Mount Kumgang
Yonhap
2011-4-29