North Korean Economy Watch

According to Reuters:

China said Thursday it had offered to help North Korea tackle cross-border crime — two months after North Korean soldiers killed three suspected Chinese smugglers, raising tensions between the allies.

Beijing, Pyongyang’s most important ally and trading partner, said it had handed over military equipment to North Korea’s National Defence Commission during a visit by China’s Deputy Public Security Minister Liu Jing on Sunday.

China said in a statement that it was willing to work with North Korea in cracking down on cross-border crime and building up its law enforcement forces.

The statement gave o details of what type of equipment China had provided or which type of crimes could be targeted.

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China offers to help N.Korea crack down on crime
Reuters
8/12/2010

According to the Daily NK:

It has been suggested that pets should added to the list of “luxury goods” sanctioned and supposedly out of reach of the Kim Jong Il regime.

While “thoroughbred horses” are already a luxury good on the EU’s list of banned products published in the final version of the “Report to the Security Council from the Panel of Experts Established Pursuant to Resolution 1874”, there is nothing about pets.

However, according to one anonymous source well-versed in North Korea matters, Kim Jong Il has been known to spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on pets from France and Switzerland.

The money for his purchases apparently comes from the No. 39 Department of the Central Committee of the Party, according to a Daily NK source, and since the funds generated by the No. 39 Department come from illicit activities such as selling weapons, drugs, counterfeit cigarettes and super notes, he believes this pet-related trading must also be put on the list of sanctioned “luxury goods.”

Among dogs, for example, Kim apparently has a preference for the Shitzu and has spent many thousands of dollars purchasing and raising them. Kim Chun Hyung, a Seoul-based veterinarian, confirmed the price of such fine breeds, saying, “The price of pets is very diverse, but when you import a purebred you may need to pay tens of thousands of dollars.”

Jang Jin Sung, a poet who was said to be Kim Jong Il’s favorite poet in North Korea until he defected in 2004, described how much Kim Jong Il loves his pet dogs in an interview on Wednesday, explaining, “I was invited to a no.1 event, in which Kim Jong Il is set to appear, at Kim’s Kalmacheon Villa in Wonsan, Kangwon Province. Security was so fussy that they forced us to disinfect our hands, and then I waited for him nervously.”

“All of sudden a small white puppy appeared, which made me wonder, but then Kim Jong Il entered the hall behind it,” Jang said. “While Kim was having dinner, the puppy walked around without restriction. When it approached Kim, he petted it many times.”

The anonymous source said that Kim is always accompanied by dogs to his onsite inspections, adding that their food and shampoo is all imported, from France in the case of shampoo.

When the animals fall sick, top quality vets from foreign countries are invited to Pyongyang or the animals are taken overseas for treatment, the source said, adding, “The reason why they go by plane is for ease of customs clearance.”

The responsibility for importing pets is the job of overseas-based officials, but due to Kim Jong Il’s picky taste, especially in cats, they find it hard to match the color of fur or eyes that Kim likes, according to the source. 

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Pets Are Luxury Goods, Too
Daily NK
Shin Joo Hyun
8/12/2010

According to the Joong Ang Daily:

The northern Gyeonggi area, sharing the border with North Korea, is vulnerable to malaria because the mosquitoes with malaria parasites come from the North. Without vector controls in North Korea, our quarantine efforts are limited.

The spread of malaria had been expected because South Korea has stopped all North-bound shipments of aid, including pesticides and malaria drugs, as part of the sanctions against North Korea following its attack against the naval vessel Cheonan in March.

Health authorities warned in April about a possible breakout of malaria along the border regions. Although they saw the disease coming, nothing could be done about it.

On June 24, the Unification Ministry belatedly permitted a local civilian group to send quarantine aid to North Korea, but shipments have not taken place because of procedural difficulties. Even if the aid is delivered, it will be too late to contain the disease. Any action should have taken place before May.

If the Unification Ministry had seriously considered preventing the spread of malaria from the North, it should not have stopped at approving a delivery of local aid, but instead should have sought support from international groups. From 2001 to last year, the government had been shipping anti-malaria supplies to North Korea via the World Health Organization. This aid protects our people as much as it does North Koreans.

Malaria is not the only adverse result from severed ties with North Korea. The government announced on May 24 that it would cease all inter-Korean trade.

The measure, though understandable, dealt a heavy blow to 800 small- and mid-sized companies whose business primarily involves trade with North Korea. It was motivated by revenge and generated the same adverse fallout as that suffered by the people who have been infected by malaria from the North.

The tardy response to the problems created also proved of little help. The government on July 26 announced it will offer special aid loans to the Kaesong firms to save them from possible bankruptcy. The loans, though cheaper than regular corporate loans, will nonetheless have to be repaid and it may have come too late.

The May announcement of sanctions against North Korea should have included help to our companies to compensate for the damage from the trade sanctions.

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Hard-line policies affect us, too
Joong Ang Daily
http://joongangdaily.joins.com/article/view.asp?aid=2924376
Cho Dong-ho
8/10/2010

According to the Daily NK:

The 1718 Committee of the UN Security Council has published the final version of its “Report to the Security Council from the Panel of Experts established Pursuant to Resolution 1874,”

In the report, of which the Daily NK has obtained a copy, the 1718 Committee revealed North Korean overseas accounts which had likely been used for North Korea’s illicit activities such as conventional weapons transactions and luxury goods, and the names of entities and individuals involved in those activities. The lists were submitted by UN member states.

The report singles out 17 North Korean officials thought likely to violate UN Resolutions 1718 and 1874, and outlines the reasons why they were designated by the UN member states.

They are Jang Sung Taek, Vice-chairman of the National Defense Commission and the closest associate of Kim Jong Il, Vice-chairman of the National Defense Commission Oh Keuk Ryul, Kim Young Chun, the Minister for the People’s Armed Forces, Director of No. 39 Department Kim Dong Woon, Military Supplies Secretary in the Central Committee of the Party Jeon Byung Ho, former Yongbyon technical director Jeon Chi Bu, First Vice-director of the Ministry of the Munitions Industry Chu Kyu Chang, Standing Vice-director of the People’s Army’s General Political Department Hyun Cheul Hae, President of the Tanchon Commercial Bank Kim Dong Myung, Member of the National Defence Commission Baek Se Bong, Deputy Director of the General Political Department of the People’s Armed Forces Park Jae Kyung, President of the Academy of Science Byeon Youong Rip, Director of the General Bureau of Atomic Energy Ryeom Young, Head of the Department of Nuclear Physics of Kim Il Sung University Seo Sang Il, President of Kohas AG Jacop Steiger and Alex H.T. Tsai, who is known to have provided financial, technological and other support for KOMID, and his wife, Su Lu-chi.

It also released a list of autonomous designations provided by member states, covering 19 North Korean entities. That list was made based on information collected as of April 30th this year.

They are Amroggang Development Banking Corporation, Global Interface Company Inc., Hesong Trading Corporation, Korea Complex Equipment Import Corporation, Kohas AG, Korea International Chemical Joint Venture Company, Korea Kwangson Banking Corp, Korea Kwangsong Trading Corporation, Korea Pugang Trading Corporation, Korea Pugang Mining and Machinery Corporation ltd., Korea Ryongwang Trading Corporation, Korea Ryonha Machinery Joint Venture Corporation, Korea Tonghae Shipping Company, Ponghwa Hospital, Pyongyang Informatics Centre, Sobaeku United Corp., Tosong Technology Trading Corporation, Trans Merits Co. Ltd., and Yongbyon Nuclear Research Centre.

13 out of the 19 have direct or indirect links to Tanchon Commercial Bank and Korea Mining Development Trading Corporation (KOMID).

Amroggang Development Banking Corporation is the financial arm of KOMID and related to Tanchon Commercial Bank, which has also been designated by the 1718 Committee. Additionally, Global Interface Company Inc. is owned by Alex Tsai, who is thought to have provided, or attempted to provide, support to KOMID.

Sobaeku United Corp. is involved in activities related to natural graphite, producing graphite blocks that can be used in missiles.

The report points out, “North Korea has established a highly sophisticated international network for the acquisition, marketing and sale of arms and military equipment, and arms exports have become one of the country’s principal sources for obtaining foreign exchange,” and goes on to say, “Agencies under the National Defense Commission (NDC), the Workers’ Party of Korea (WPK) and the Korean People’s Army (KPA) are most active in this regard.”

The report explains, “The Second Economic Committee of the National Defense Commission plays the largest and most prominent role in nuclear, other WMD and missile-related development programs as well as in arranging and conducting arms-related exports.”

It adds, “The General Bureau of Surveillance of the Korean People’s Army is involved in the production and sale of conventional armaments.”

The report points out that North Korea has opened 39 accounts with 18 overseas banks in 14 countries. 17 of which are held with Chinese banks.

Besides China, 11 banks in eight European and former Soviet countries (Russia, Switzerland, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Italy, German, Belarus and Kazakhstan) hold 18 North Korean accounts. There is one account in Malaysia.

“The DPRK also employs a broad range of techniques to mask its financial transactions, including the use of overseas entities, shell companies, informal transfer mechanisms, cash couriers and barter arrangements,” the report notes.

According to experts on North Korea, since North Korean overseas illegal activities are all led by the loyal group surrounding Kim Jong Il, U.S. financial sanctions in accordance with UN Security Council resolutions 1817 and 1874 and also U.S. Executive Order (E.O.) 13382 have the potential to be a great pressure on the Kim Jong Il regime.

The Panel of Experts, which was appointed by the UN Secretary-General on 12 August 2009 to author the report, are David J. Birch (United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, coordinator), Masahiko Asada (Japan), Victor D. Comras (United States of America), Erik Marzolf (France), Young Wan Song (Republic of Korea), Alexander Vilnin (Russian Federation), and Xiaodong Xue (People’s Republic of China).

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Report Explains Sanctions Decisions
Daily NK
Kim Yong Hun
8/6/2010

According to Yonhap:

Inter-Korean trade has fallen more than 30 percent since the South cut almost all business relations with the North after Pyongyang was blamed for torpedoing one of its naval ships in late March, the customs office here said Friday.

According to data provided by the Korea Customs Service, the trade between the two Koreas came to US$123.06 million in June, down 32 percent from April, when they still kept their ordinary business relations despite a probe into the naval disaster.

…

South Korea’s exports to the North amounted to $56.88 million in June, down 27 percent from April, while imports decreased 36.5 percent to $66.18 million over the same period, the data showed.

Inter-Korean trade also dropped 21 percent from May, with its exports to and imports from the North falling 4 percent and 32 percent, respectively.

Despite such a sharp shrinkage, the customs office said the decline was not as steep as expected thanks to the Kaesong complex, which takes up most inter-Korean trade.

“The reason why the decline was not as sharp as expected is because we still keep a trade channel open in the Kaesong complex, which accounts for around 70 percent of total trade with the North,” a customs official said.

South Korea is the North’s second-largest trade partner after China. A suspension of inter-Korean business would cause a significant impact on the efforts of the reclusive communist nation to secure cash, according to experts.

Earlier, a state-run think tank here said inter-Korean trade suspension could cost North Korea about $280 million annually, adding to pressure on the North’s cash-strapped regime in governing its country.

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Inter-Korean trade falls more than 30 pct amid heightened tensions
Yonhap
8/6/2010

According to the Sophia News Agency:

North Korea has expressed interest in buying Bulgarian foods, pharmaceuticals and software, among other products.

This has been announced by the Bulgarian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI), which is researching the opportunities for organizing a business delegation trip to North Korea or North Korea and China in the fall of 2010.

According to the announcement of the International Organizations and International Cooperation Directorate of the BCCI, the North Korean side has shown interest in Bulgarian software products, pharmaceuticals, food products – including canned food, wines, juice, yellow cheese, and compotes; as well as metals – cesium, potassium, zinc, radium.

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North Korea Interested in Buying Bulgarian Compotes, Software
Sophia News Agency
8/5/2010

According to the Daily NK:

Despite the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1874 in June, 2009, North Korea’s weapons exports last year earned the country approximately the same amount as they have since Resolution 1718 was passed in 2006.

Song Young Sun, a lawmaker sitting on the National Defense Committee of the National Assembly, told reporters on Wednesday, “South Korea’s intelligence organizations have obtained a figure of around $50 million, and they assume that in practice the North has exported much more than that.”

Intelligence authorities apparently believe that the reason is that North Korea has exported parts and supported foreign munitions factories in other ways, rather than exporting finished weapons.

In September of last year, a Georgian cargo plane containing 35 tons of weapons parts including those for the Taepo-dong 2 was intercepted in Bangkok. Two months later, a ship heading for Congo was also revealed by South Africa to contain parts of the T-54 and T-55, North Korean tanks based on Soviet designs.

Meanwhile, the most successful period for the sanctions regime was immediately after UN Resolution 1718 was imposed on North Korea in 2006, when North Korean exports are estimated to have been reduced to $30 million, just 1/7th of the previous year’s total.

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North Korea’s Arms Exports Stay Steady
Daily NK
Kim Min Su
8/5/2010

According to KBS:

The Voice of America (VOA) says that, as of end of March, North Korea has a total of 67 million U.S. dollars in foreign banks in the name of individuals or groups.

Quoting a report from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the broadcaster said that the deposit stood at 106 million dollars at the end of last year, but plunged by 37 percent in just three months.

An official at the U.S. Congressional Research Service said that a substantial amount of the deposit is euro-denominated, and the drop over the three months might be a result of the euro’s depreciation.

The BIS report, released on July 10th, compiled quarterly reports presented by central banks of 43 nations.

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VOA: NK Has $67Mln in Foreign Banks
KBS
8/3/2010

According to Yonhap:

South Korea began examining applications for low-interest loans Monday for companies troubled by a government ban on trade with North Korea, an official said.

The measure is part of the South Korean government’s efforts to alleviate the financial troubles of private enterprises that had to stop trading with North Korea after Seoul announced in May that Pyongyang was responsible for the March 26 sinking of its warship.

North Korean firms are moving business to China.

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S. Korea launches support for companies banned from trading with N. Korea
Yonhap
8/2/2010

According to the AFP:

North Korea has found Chinese partners to make up for losses in trade with South Korean firms, weakening the impact of Seoul’s measures to punish the communist country, a report said Sunday.

South Korea banned most cross-border trade in May after a multinational investigation concluded that a North Korean torpedo sank one of Seoul’s warships with the loss of 46 lives.

Before the ban was announced, the North had produced goods after receiving raw materials from more than 500 South Korean firms, Yonhap news agency said.

“After the South Korean companies became unable to send the raw materials, North Korean factories have been manufacturing products ordered by China,” a source familiar with North Korean affairs told Yonhap.

Seoul partially lifted the ban to allow South Korean firms to proceed on deals which had been signed earlier.

“North Koreans said they already signed contracts with Chinese firms and told us they will manufacture the orders from the Chinese side first,” the source was quoted as saying.

Most of the goods made on consignment trade with China are for export to Europe, Yonhap said.

The ban would cost the impoverished North hundreds of millions of dollars a year, a state think-tank here said last month.

Washington announced further sanctions last month to stop the North from selling nuclear weapons or related material as well as blocking money laundering and other illicit activities.

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Trade ban prompts N.Korea to find Chinese partners: report
AFP
8/1/2010