North Korean Economy Watch

According to Bloomberg:

The two sides of Chang Gwang Street (Satellite image here) in North Korea’s capital of Pyongyang show the gap between the Stalinist country’s elites and its capitalist-minded citizens. On one side, English-speaking officials mingle with Dutch traders at the Koryo Hotel. There, those with foreign currency can buy Heinekens for about a buck a can at the official exchange rate of 100 North Korean won to the U.S. dollar.

Across the street, a saleswoman at one of the private markets still allowed by the authorities giggles when a foreign guest says he doesn’t have the 200 won needed to buy a steamed vegetable bun. She flips the placard to reveal the cost in dollars, the currency of a country that doesn’t have diplomatic ties with North Korea. The price: 20 cents, implying an unofficial exchange rate of 1,000 won to the dollar.

Old Asia hands say this is one of the biggest spreads between the official and unofficial currency rate they have ever seen in the region. Back in the 1980s the gap between the official and market rates in China was not nearly as great as in North Korea today, says Ken Dewoskin, a director of Deloitte’s China Research and Insight Center in Beijing, who began his career watching China in the mid-1960s and first traveled there in 1977. “Even closed economies like Cambodia in the 1960s had only a 2-to-1 pricing discrepancy,” he says.

President Kim Jong Il moved late last year to revalue the won and limit the amount of cash that North Koreans could exchange for newly printed bills. The policy was designed to clip the wings of the private merchants who were increasingly creating an economy beyond the control of the authorities, according to the University of Vienna’s Rüdiger Frank, a political scientist who specializes in North Korea. The impact of the abrupt policy shift extended far beyond the merchants. “The revaluation not only wiped out people’s savings, but their trust in the government and their currency,” says Ha Tae Keung, founder of Open Radio for North Korea. “There’s a widespread belief among North Koreans that their money is going to get further devalued and they’ll get poorer just by holding onto it.”

The currency turmoil came amid mounting speculation that Kim Jong Il’s health was failing. Last month he promoted his son, Kim Jong Un, to four-star general, setting the stage for the country’s second hereditary power transfer. The government extended an unprecedented invitation to international media to witness the Oct. 10 anniversary celebrations marking the 65th anniversary of the Workers’ Party of Korea.

The next day, Pyongyang residents queued up as usual to spend their won at the Chang Gwang Street market. Twenty-four shoppers patiently lined up to buy a small cone of vanilla ice cream at 20 won each. A similar number waited for shaved ice with sweet bean paste at 5 won a bowl. Fifteen were there to buy sweet potatoes at 60 won per kilo. No one was seen lining up to purchase sausages, which at 1,700 won each were priced at the equivalent of 16 cans of Heineken beer at the Koryo Hotel.

While price tags at the hotel are in won, the national currency isn’t accepted there. That wasn’t a concern for guests and shoppers buying foreign goods—Scotch whisky and Syrian olive oil were on offer—with dollars, euros, and Chinese yuan.

One hotel worker, who said he made about 2,500 won a month, said the government provided people with food and other necessities such as clothing and housing. The free markets like the one across the street were there to supplement their diets, he said, adding: “We don’t operate like a capitalist country.”

Read the full story here:
In Pyongyang, the Dollar Commands Respect
Bloomberg
Michael Forsythe, Bomi Lim, Frances Yoon and Zeb Eckert
10/21/2010

Low-resolution satellite image of the Tumen-Namyang border.

UPDATE: Here is the original story in Asahi:

Goods from North Korea are being traded freely in a thriving market that opened last week in a Chinese city near the border with the reclusive state, according to sources from the region.

Marine products–frozen squid is a specialty–are prominently displayed, the sources said.

The market in Tumen, Jilin province, opened on Oct. 13. It appears to be the latest development in growing economic exchanges between Beijing and Pyongyang following a visit to China by North Korean leader Kim Jong Il in August and moves to secure a smooth transition of power to his third son, Kim Jong Un, the sources said.

Earlier this month, it was learned that Tumen is preparing to accept an influx of cheap labor from North Korea.

The market, which has a total space of about 10,000 square meters, is located on the banks of the Tumenjiang (Tumengang in Korean) river, which serves as the common border between the two countries.

Currently, the market is open twice a week, but there are plans for it to become a daily feature in the near future, the sources said.

According to the sources, Chinese residents in Tumen, which is located inside the Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture within Jilin province, can obtain travel permits to North Korea by presenting identification.

With entry permits in hand, the Chinese are able to cross the river to Namyang, where they are allowed to buy products at designated areas, provided they return to China the same day.

Purchases worth up to 8,000 yuan (about 96,000 yen, or $1180) are treated as duty-free and can be sold at the Tumen market.

The sources said about 150 people showed up at the market on Oct. 13, including merchants as well as ordinary citizens.

North Korean marine products, whose prices are considerably cheaper than Chinese products, dominated the goods on display.

A Tumen city official declined to provide details on the market, saying “it is still in the experimental stage.”

But sources suggest that the market is part of efforts to enhance commerce in northeastern China, which has trailed in economic development compared with coastal regions in the rest of the country.

The market also provides a crucial means for North Korea to earn hard currency by freely selling goods in China.

The idea of setting up such a market is not entirely new. In 2005, the Jilin provincial government authorized the opening of a market as a means to revitalize the border region. However, the project had to be shelved after an international uproar over an underground nuclear test conducted by North Korea.

The plan resurfaced after the region encompassing the Tumenjiang river district and the cities of Jilin and Changchun was designated in 2009 as a development and deregulation promotion zone, the first such national-level development project for a border region.

Jilin province has since taken strident measures to encourage exchanges with North Korea with which it shares a sprawling border.

Sun Zhengcai, a top Chinese Communist Party official from Jilin province, joined a delegation of party officials to North Korea this month on the occasion of the 65th anniversary of the founding of the Workers’ Party of Korea, and is believed to have engaged in talks with the North Korean side on boosting commerce.

The opening of the market follows reports that North Korean laborers may soon be able to work in Chinese factories in Tumen legally, and that Chinese businesses have acquired rights to use and develop wharf facilities at the ports of Rajin and Chongjin in northern North Korea.

Chinese businesses are also reportedly moving toward participating in the construction of infrastructure such as railways and roads to access the ports.

ORIGINAL POST: According to KBS:

A Japanese daily says a “free market” operated by North Korean and Chinese citizens has opened near the Tumen River, which flows between China and North Korea.

The Asahi Shimbun said Wednesday that the market was established in the city of Tumen in China’s Jilin Province a week ago.

The paper said the ten-thousand-square-meter market allows Chinese people to buy up to eight-thousand yuan worth of North Korean goods tax-free each day for resell in China.

The paper said that on the day the market opened last Wednesday, some 150 Chinese purchased tax-exempt frozen squid from North Koreans at the market for resell.

The Asahi said North Korea and China are apparently expanding bilateral economic exchanges following North Korean leader Kim Jong-il’s visit to China in August, citing Chinese firms’ recent move to employ North Korean workers.

Unfortunately high-resolution satellite imagery of the area is not yet available on Google Earth, but we do know that Namyang contains 1 of 4 railway links the DPRK maintains to China and 1 of 8 ground transportation crossings.  Besides Sinuiju, it is the only other DPRK border crossing with both rail and automobile bridges.

Read the full story here:
Market for North Korean goods opens in Chinese border city
Asahi
Daisuke Nishimura
10/21/2010

Asahi: NK-China Tax-Free Market Opens in Tumen City
KBS
10/20/2010

Reuters published a concise report of the DPRK’s recent restrictions on market activity which is compiled from work by Marcus Noland and Stephan Haggard.  Here is the Reuters report:

Reclusive North Korea has imposed a series of measures since 2008 to rein in market activity, foreign trade, and activity across the border.

A Peterson Institute for International Economics policy brief published this year outlines some of the rules put in place:

2008
January – Women under 40 banned from trading in markets, followed by efforts to redeploy them to workplaces.

April – Wide-ranging Antisocialist Conscience Investigation of Sinuiju, the country’s main land port with China, including the books of trading organizations. Restrictions placed on carrying merchandise on bicycles and carts in Sinuiju.

July – Party, police, and market management office coordinate efforts to limit large sales in the Pyongsung market, an emerging wholesale center for the country in Pyongan province.

October – Nationwide ban on sale of shoes in markets and new restrictions limiting trade in foodstuffs to individually cultivated fruits and vegetables.

November – Major directive announcing the conversion of markets back to the more restrictive farmers’ market format. Markets to be open only on the 1st, 11th, and 21st of each month, and to be limited to retail sales of individually cultivated food; other foodstuffs and manufactures to be sold through the ‘public distribution system’ and state-run stores. Major cities, including Pyongyang, Hamheung, Soochun, Kaesung, and Chungjin, set up model farmers markets.

2009
January – National Security Agency special investigative unit scrutinizes names, number of family members, and livelihoods of households in the National Border Area suspected of involvement in border crossing and trade. Public education campaigns and increased punishment for border crossing.

March – New controls over lodging and movement without passes in National Border Area [and] imposition of strict movement controls in connection with the Supreme Peoples Assembly elections; intensified controls following the elections.

May – Announcement of 150-day campaign accompanied by renewed implementation of market restrictions on women under 40 and restricted items, including products of joint ventures, industrial goods, and American and South Korean products. Punishment of emergent back-alley markets and ‘sell and run’ sales. Public education campaigns against market activities.

June – Closure of Pyongsung market in Pyongan province.

July – Increased control and surveillance over households in National Border Area with defectors.

November – North Korea announces a reform to replace all currency in circulation with new bills and coins.

The Peterson Institute report mentioned in this article can be found here (PDF).

I should also point out that many of these dictates were uniformly unenforceable and many have been rescinded (including the 10-day rule) since the currency reform was implemented.

Read the full story here:
Factbox: How North Korea has tightened controls
Reuters
10/20/2010

Tania Branigan visited Pyongyang for The Guardian and wrote a long article on North Korean culture.  Most of the information is familiar to long-time DPRK watchers, though there were a few nuggets of information I had not heard before.  I have posted these below:

But who knew that The Da Vinci Code was a hit in this strictly controlled city? That Céline Dion is a karaoke favourite? Or that the mass performances are not only a tribute to the leadership and motherland, but the way that many young people find partners?

…

Few foreigners see this city at all. Around 2,000 western tourists visited last year, plus perhaps 10 times as many Chinese visitors. The expatriate population, excluding Chinese and Russian diplomats, and including children, stands at 150.

…

There are certainly signs of change here: Air Koryo has new planes and three gleaming airport buses to ferry passengers from runway to terminal. Last week a vast new theatre opened, as did an apartment complex, although it may be destined for officials. The 105-storey Ryugyong hotel – more than two decades in construction – is finally glass-sheathed and due to open in 2012. That year will mark the 100th birthday of the country’s founder, Kim Il-sung. But it is hard to see how it can achieve its pledge to become “a great, powerful and prosperous nation” by then – even given the Stakhanovite industrial efforts lauded in its newspapers.

…

Pyongyang is lucky: no one is plump, but nor is there noticeable emaciation. Dr Andrei Lankov, associate professor at Kookmin University in Seoul, says the official income in Pyongyang is around 3,000 won a month, but many have ways of making money on the side and – unlike other North Koreans – its residents receive subsistence food rations. Most top those up at markets that are legal though never formally acknowledged (officials insist that “everything is public”). At the turn of the year, the government embarked on currency reforms to eradicate an increasingly independent group of “kiosk capitalists”. But wiping out hard-won savings caused highly unusual public discontent and even, reportedly, unrest.

You can read the full article here:
The cultural life of North Korea
The Guardian
Tania Branigan
10/15/2010

I have added links to satellite imagery of the markets mentioned in the story as well as made one correction.

According to the Chosun Ilbo:

About 300 markets are doing lively business throughout North Korea despite the regime’s attempt to suppress them, according to data an intelligence agency submitted to Grand National Party lawmaker Yoon Sang-hyun of the National Assembly’s Foreign Affairs, Trade and Unification Committee on Wednesday.

“Markets in the North are places where goods are transacted and information is exchanged at the same time, Yoon said. “They pose a threat to a regime that is hostile to markets.”

The regime has tacitly allowed markets to expand to make up for the shortage of daily necessities in the wake of a botched currency reform and international sanctions, but they have boomed alarmingly.

Typical examples are the Tongilgori (satellite image) and Jungang (satellite image) markets in Pyongyang. The Tongilgori Market, in Rakrang District, opened in August 2003. It has three buildings and a parking lot. The Jungang Market in Jung District is a single domed building with a parking area.

There are two famous markets in South Pyongan Province: the Kangso Market (satellite image), which opened in 2004, and the Doksan Market, which opened the following year. The Doksan Market is the largest center of wholesale and retail goods in the North and has played a role as a distribution point of goods from Rajin-Sonbong, Sinuiju and Wonsan. But it was reportedly closed down during a crackdown in June last year. [I believe the article mistakes the “Doksan Market” with the “Phyongsong Market” (satellite image) which is actually the largest market in the country]

The Chaeha Market (satellite image) in Sinuiju, near the Chinese border, is a distribution point for goods imported from China. Goods bought there are distributed throughout the North.

The Hoeryong Market (satellite image) in Hoeryong, North Hamgyong Province across from China, was established by the regime to secure financial sources and put foreign goods under easy control. The regime has allowed Chinese vendors to sell goods there.

In a bid to rein in the markets, the regime set out one control policy after another, including the ban on grain transactions in the markets in October 2005, a crack-down on illegal markets in 2007, and an attempt to turn general open-air markets into farmers’ markets in late 2008, but apparently failed to achieve tangible results.

Last year, the regime banned the sale of industrial products and the circulation of foreign currency. But it had to begin relaxing the bans in February in the face of protests and violent attacks on market control officials.

“We have to pay attention to what happens in North Korean markets because that is where a change will occur first and they will be the first places where we can see the impact,” Yoon said.

Read the full story here:
Markets Booming in N.Korea
Chosun Ilbo
10/14/2010

Even when the official marketplace is closed, there is still plenty of street trading.

Click image for larger version
38°21’32.50″N, 125°29’1.18″E
Sept 9, 2009
Google Earth/GeoEye

Sinchon also appears to be getting some 2012 construction support.  The city is building a new stadium and park with open air theater and pavilion:

Click images for larger versions
38°21’16.36″N, 125°28’48.94″E
October 2, 2006 (L), Sept 9, 2010 (R)
Google Earth/GeoEye

Aiden Foster-Carter has written an long piece in the Asia Times on North Korea’s geopolitics.  It is a fairly long piece, so here is the punch line:

So there’s our winner. Its rivals’ missteps have helped, but Beijing has long played a skillful, patient game. Like Moscow, it irked the North by recognizing South Korea (in 1992), but unlike the abrupt Russians it worked hard to soothe sensitivities.

Eighteen years on, guess which power is the top trade partner of both Koreas? Now, there’s subtle hegemony for you. No prizes either for guessing who’s snapping up North Korea’s mines, and beginning the lengthy, costly process of modernizing its decrepit infrastructure.

Face it: who else has the motive, or the means? As all agree, China’s overriding worry about North Korea is not Kim’s nukes but fear of collapse, and the chaos this could cause on its own borders. Beijing’s consistent strategy is not to paint Kim into a corner, no matter what.

Knowing that, how did policymakers in Seoul or Washington delude themselves that China would hurry to join a chorus of condemnation over the Cheonan? No way. Beijing squirmed a bit, but the game was worth the candle. Let Washington and Seoul huff and puff. All that achieved was to push an ever-more isolated North Korea further into China’s orbit and influence.

Nothing is certain, especially about North Korea where forecasts (this writer’s not least) have a habit of turning out wrong. I expected North Korea to collapse long ago: guilty as charged, m’lud. I understimated this tough regime’s staying power, or the horrors it would impose on its people – including famine – to cling to power while refusing to see sense.

But this can’t go on forever. The old game of militant mendicancy is finally up. Kim Jong-il’s frail health, a delicate succession, and an empty treasury – United Nations sanctions have hit arms exports, and crime doesn’t pay like it used to – make defying the entire world just too risky.

North Korea needs a sugar daddy. There is only one candidate left standing, and one who fits the bill perfectly. It may not be a marriage made in heaven, mind you. Pyongyang will keep squawking, and even try the old game of playing off its interlocutors – as in its latest thaw with Seoul.

But at the end of the day Beijing is making an offer no one else can match, and which North Korea can’t refuse. It goes roughly like this: Okay, we’ll bail you out, we’ll guarantee your security, we’ll even stomach your weird monarchical tendencies – unless the kid turns out to be a complete klutz, in which case you know what to do. Jang Song-taek (brother-in-law to Kim Jong-il) knows the score.

You can count on us too not to shame you by spelling all this out and giving the game away. But yes, we do need something in return. Two things. First: markets. For goodness sake just leave them alone, nay let ’em rip – as we’ve been telling you to, ever since Deng Xiaoping.

Look where we are now, and where you are. We’ll do the heavy lifting of investment, so you have functioning factories and railways again. But you have to let it happen. No going back.

Second: no more trouble. We know it may take time for you to give up your footling pesky nukes. But we need an absolute guarantee of no more tests, or else. No other provocations, either. Our People’s Liberation Army will teach your Korean People’s Army how to adapt and how to make money. The new North Korea will be a good global citizen, trading like we do. The returns are good. It beats mugging any day.

And guess what? You’ll love it, all of you. You’ll prosper. No more worries. Your people will eat; your elite will make money. What’s not to like? Just stop all that shouting and marching; what a relief, eh? The rest of the cult can stay, if you must. All hail the young general Kim Jong-eun, finally fulfilling grandpa’s dream of peace and prosperity for all! (With a bit of help from his friends, but we’re modest.) You’ll love him. You really will.

This seems to me a plausible scenario for North Korea’s future. In fact, I struggle to imagine any other. Korean reunification? Maybe in the very long run – but right now, who wants it?

Not the North, whose elite know the fate of their East German counterparts after unification. Can we really expect them to put their faith in the tender mercies of Lee Myung-bak? Even under Kim Dae-jung or Roh Moo-hyun it would have been tricky. What place would there be for most of them, frankly, in a reunified peninsula? Not a privileged one, that’s for sure.

Ordinary North Koreans, too, have learned, from the trickle who have made it to Seoul, that South Korea is no land of milk and honey. True, they’d like a life, and to eat. But China, or a North Korea open to and learning from China, might look a better bet on that score.

Nor is the South enthusiastic, despite all the rhetoric. It would be embarrassing and galling to see the North become a Chinese satellite – yet perhaps also a huge relief. Let Beijing bear the brunt, the burden, and the costs of transforming the madhouse they have long sustained.

Further down the line, blood could prove thicker. By 2040 or so, a by then semi-transformed North Korea may tire of great Han chauvinism, slough off the Chinese yoke, and embrace the cousins south of the demilitarized zone (which would long ago have become more permeable). They’d be easier to absorb, too, now smoothed by a few decades of Chinese-style modernity.

Speculative, to be sure. But what other scenarios are there? And though from one viewpoint China has edged out rival powers as argued above, presumably to their chagrin, might some of them in truth be quietly relieved to be spared the responsibility? Let China take it on and deliver a new-style North Korea, vibrant and fit for a new century. It could last a long time, and spare the region and world much headache and risk. Does anyone have an alternative?

Aidan Foster-Carter is honorary senior research fellow in sociology and modern Korea at Leeds University, and a freelance consultant, writer and broadcaster on Korean affairs. A regular visitor to the peninsula, he has followed North Korea for over 40 years.

You can read the full article here:
How North Korea was lost – to China
Asia Times
Aidan Foster-Carter
9/16/2010

According ot the Daily NK:

Since the North Korean security forces have been on special alert for the last two weeks in advance of the Delegates’ Conference, there has been a contraction in market activity, and this is forcing up rice prices.

In September, when farmers normally start harvesting, rice prices tend to drop, but because regular citizens do not know when the Delegates’ Conference is going to start, things are not easy this year.

A source from North Hamkyung Province told The Daily NK yesterday, “In Hoiryeong Market, rice was 1,000 won per kilo in late August, but today it is 1,300 won. The reason is that the special alert has been in force for around two weeks in the run up to the Delegates’ Conference, so there is less food trading going on.”

During any “special alert,” which the authorities impose in preparation for important political events, controls over migration and so-called “anti-socialist” activities are reinforced on pretexts of national security and rooting out espionage agents. The selling of rice is one thing which is subject to control.

Meanwhile, the most desirable corn is currently worth 750 won per kilo, according to source. This is corn produced last year; newly harvested corn costs 500 won. People tend to prefer old corn to this year’s corn because when they put it in water to cook, its volume increases more.

The source also explained that the people know exactly who to blame, saying, “People are complaining that last spring the authorities irritated them in order to wage war against South Chosun, and now they are being bothered with the Delegates’ Conference, which is still on hold.”

“Due to a crackdown on ‘grasshopper traders’ around markets, only traders who can afford a stall within the market can do business,” he went on. “It is natural for rice prices to rise because there are fewer rice sellers.”

Grasshopper trader means one who does business in alley markets, moving location in order to avoid the authorities.

The source noted, “In late October or early November, food prices may stabilize, but I am not sure because flood damage was so serious this year.”

With rising rice prices, exchange rates also rose; in Hoiryeong, one Yuan is now worth 235 won, which is 10% more than in late August.

See Andrei Lankov’s comments on the delay in the party conference here.

Read the full story here:
Conference Security Hitting Cost of Rice
Daily NK
Yoo Gwan Hee
9/14/2010

According to the Daily NK:

An inside source reports that popular dependence on foreign currencies for trading continues in spite of last year’s currency redenomination, to the extent that market traders are openly setting separate prices in U.S. dollars or Yuan alongside the depreciating North Korean won.

The inside source from Pyongyang explained to The Daily NK on September 5th, “In recent market trading, usage of dollars has increased rapidly, and now market prices are being set according to a dollar standard. Even when money is loaned and repaid, the amount for repayment is decided based on the dollar standard.”

As of September 2nd, the exchange rate in Pyongyang was around 150,000 won to $100, as North Korean people refer to it. Loans made in North Korean won are always calculated according to the value of the dollar, and the value of the loan fluctuates accordingly.

The source added, “Recently, market merchants have been setting separate Yuan or dollar prices, except for on rice, corn, and ingredients for side-dishes. The fabric stalls in Sunkyo market in Pyongyang put up all their prices in dollars.”

“Especially in the case of wholesalers,” he added, “they are all trading in dollars or Yuan. They depend on foreign currency since the value of the North Korean currency has fallen so badly and also because there is a lack of large-denomination bills.”

Since 2000, Yuan has been in common use alongside the North Korean currency in border regions. The popularity of dollars is higher in Pyongyang and North and South Hwanghae Provinces. Especially in cases where the unit price of the item is high, such as for home appliances or industrial products, most are dealt with in dollars or Yuan.

However, this is also now spreading to lower value consumer goods like shoes and clothing. Dollar and Yuan prices are applied to such items even when the seller is not a foreign currency store or international hotel.

Despite the fact that the North Korean currency was redenominated at a rate of 100:1 on November 30th, 2009, the monetary authorities have not been able to break North Korea’s inflationary cycle. Currently, rice in North Korean markets goes for around 900 won per kilo, which is only around half the 2,000 won it cost prior to the redenomination, far from the approximately 20 won it would cost in a more stable economy.

The source explained, “The value of the won is unstable, making foreign currency exchange rates more volatile. So merchants are selling products at higher prices than normal to compensate for their losses. This phenomenon is creating in them the mentality of raising their product prices.”

He also emphasized, “Prices for all products imported from China are set in dollars or Yuan. Considering the fact more than 90% of products in the North Korean market come from China, it looks like a world in which the North Korean currency is useless is coming.”

The source added, “Since Yuan are used quite commonly in North Hamkyung Province, Yangkang Province, and Shinuiju, a phrase, ‘This is Chinese land!’ is spreading. At the same time, since the dollar is used a lot in Pyongyang, Sariwon, Haeju, and Wonsan, another joke suggesting that ‘here is U.S. soil!’ is going around as well.”

IFES also covered this story:

With last November’s currency reform, North Korea’s dependence on foreign currency has increased to the point that market prices today are determined in terms of dollars or yuan.

According to Daily NK’s internal sources in Pyongyang, a recent surge in the use of dollars in market transactions has meant that market prices of goods are now determined based on dollars. Moreover, it has been revealed that individuals lending and borrowing money from one another collect and pay the interest in dollars.

As of September 2, the exchange rate in Pyongyang was about 100 US dollars to 150,000 won. If someone was to borrow 150,000 North Korean won from a friend, he would later have to repay that loan in however much North Korean won is equivalent to 100 US dollars at the time.

The source said, “These days, the merchants in the market charge everything in yuan and dollars, except for rice, corn or side dishes,” and, “Clothing stores in Pyongyang’s Seonkyo Market have actually put up signs indicating prices in dollars.”

The source added, “Wholesale merchants, especially, do all of their business in dollars or yuan now,” and “The value of North Korean money has fallen, and there are no more large bills anymore, so everyone is dependent on foreign currency.”

After 2000, the yuan and the North Korean won were both came into common use in the border area between North Korea and China, while the dollar became popular in Pyongyang and Hwanghae Province. Expensive items, such as electric home appliance or industrial goods, were more often than not bought and sold in terms of dollars or yuan, bypassing North Korean currency altogether.

However, recent trends show that the use of dollars and yuan has spread to the sale of shoes, clothes, and other everyday consumer goods. Stores put up signs indicating prices in dollars and yuan, once done exclusively by currency exchange shops or hotel restaurants frequented by foreigners.

Last year, North Korea depreciated its currency at a rate of 1:100 in an attempt to reform its currency, but the efforts to control inflation throughout the country failed. The price of rice in North Korean markets today is about 900 won per kilogram, about half the price it was before currency reform (about 2000 won per kilogram).
The source explained, “Because the value of the won is unstable, the exchange rate varies wildly. In order to not lose money, merchants have been fixing their prices higher than normal.”

The source emphasized, “Goods from China are all sold in dollars or yuan,” and “Considering that over 90% of the commodities circulating in the markets today are from China, it appears that North Korean money will be rendered useless in the near future.”

“In North Hamkyeong Province, Yangkang Province, and Sinuiju, where the yuan is often used, they say ‘This is Chinese land,’ and in Pyongyang, Sariwon, Haeju, and Wonsan, where the dollar is often used, they joke, ‘This is American land,’” added the [sic].

Read the full stories here:
North Korea’s Fiscal Sovereignty Collapsing
Daily NK
Park In-ho
9/6/2010

North Korea’s dependence on foreign currency increases
Institute for Far Eastern Studies
NK Brief No.10-09-07-2
9/7/2010

Institutie for Far Eastern Studies (IFES)
NK Brief No. 10-08-25-1
8/25/2010

The quality of life among North Korea’s agricultural workers has reportedly worsened sharply in recent times. It appears that the aftermath of last November’s currency reform measure has finally reached as far as the farmhouse. According to a report by the group Daily NK, in the town of Onsong, North Hamgyong Province, only 4~5 families per neighborhood unit (around 30 families) manage to eat rice, in the way of ‘corn rice’, three times per day. Most households eat boiled ears of corn or gruel-like corn soup.

While it was thought that the currency reforms would ease the food shortages of farming households, their lives have grown more difficult due to the sudden fluctuations of market prices, driving down the number of farmers able to sell their yields at market. In the Onsong market, rice sold for an average of 1050 won per kilogram on August 20. Compared to the beginning of the month, prices were down approximately 100 won, but are still more than twice as high as just a few months ago. This is, in part, due to the foreign currency exchange rate. One Chinese Yuan is trading for 215 North Korean won.

Actually, North Korean farmers were about the only beneficiaries of the currency reform. Last December saw the biggest public distribution of goods ever. Commerce was up around 15~20 percent over the year prior. In addition, follow-up measures allowed families to collect 10,000-20,000 won each. However, as market prices became increasingly unstable during the first half of this year, it became harder for farmers to sell their goods. Because rice prices would double or triple, then drop again, month after month, it was difficult for a farmer to take 20~30 kilograms of corn to market and get the price they wanted. On top of this, the price of household goods was climbing, driving up the cost of living.

In North Korea, all farmers are obligated to work on cooperative farms, but are also allowed private plots to raise goods for supplementary income. Therefore, when they have an opportunity, most make their way to a local market to sell their goods. The regime considers this ‘supplementary’ income, but actually, the money earned from this practice is what most live off of, using profits from their corn sales to buy other food or necessities. For these farmers, not only is it difficult to sell their crops, but circumstances make it tough even to harvest them. In the case of one farmer in Onsong who works a 1500 pyong private plot, he harvests approximately three tons of corn per year. As those at the cooperative farm receive only 300 kilograms of corn in rations, three tons is not an insignificant amount. However, due to the cost of fertilizer, bribes to authorities, bribes to inspectors, etc., he is left with only around one ton. With fertilizer shortages this spring, considerably less fertilizer was available for private plots.

Even if the farmer saw yields similar to last fall, at today’s prices, he would be able to make only around 500,000 won. This is little more than the 40,000 won/month market traders can make. Farmers with plots of only 500~600 pyong have an even more difficult time. A source explained, “As stories of growing starvation in Kangwon Province spread, people are becoming more distraught,” and, “a family of four lives off of gruel made from one kilogram of potatoes or corn per day.”